以太坊现货ETF的推出能否成为以太坊价格持续下跌的解药？

目前，以太坊正经历着艰难的处境。其价格已跌至 2,875 美元的低点。仅过去24小时，跌幅就超过10.2%

Ethereum’s price continues to drop, reaching a new low of $2,875. This marks a significant decline of over 10.2% in the last 24 hours. The launch of Spot Ethereum ETFs, initially anticipated for July 2024, is now crucial.

以太坊价格持续下跌，触及2875美元新低。这标志着过去 24 小时内大幅下跌超过 10.2%。最初预计于 2024 年 7 月推出的现货以太坊 ETF 现在至关重要。

The US SEC approved nearly eight applications for spot Ethereum ETFs in May. With this approval, can the launch serve as the antidote to the ongoing Ether price decline? Let’s analyze the possibilities in depth. Are you ready?

美国 SEC 5 月份批准了近 8 项以太坊 ETF 现货申请。获得批准后，此次发布能否成为以太坊价格持续下跌的解药？让我们深入分析一下可能性。你准备好了吗？

Ethereum Market Overview: What We See Now

以太坊市场概览：我们现在所看到的

Sellers have taken control of the Ethereum market, pushing the price to as low as $2,875. A couple of days before, the ETH price was around $3,439.

卖家已经控制了以太坊市场，将价格推低至 2,875 美元。几天前，ETH 价格约为 3,439 美元。

This week, the price has seen extreme volatility. The price primarily oscillated between $3,500 and $2,700. A drop of nearly 16.3% has been observed this week. Notably, on June 5 last month, the price was around $3,864. In the last 30 days, it has dropped over 24.1%. The yearly peak of Ethereum is around $4065, which was reached in mid-March.

本周，价格出现剧烈波动。价格主要在 3,500 美元至 2,700 美元之间波动。本周下跌近 16.3%。值得注意的是，上个月 6 月 5 日，价格约为 3,864 美元。过去 30 天，下跌超过 24.1%。以太坊的年度峰值约为 4065 美元，于 3 月中旬达到。

Ethereum’s performance in 2024 resembles Bitcoin’s journey. Both saw their prices touch the yearly peak in mid-March, weaken afterward, and experience volatility in the last few months, including a steep drop in the last few days.

以太坊在 2024 年的表现类似于比特币的旅程。两者的价格均在 3 月中旬触及年度峰值，随后走软，并在过去几个月经历波动，包括​​在过去几天急剧下跌。

Ethereum Historic Trend: Points to Remember

以太坊历史趋势：需要记住的要点

A week before the SEC approved the spot ETH ETF applications on May 23, the price had started to climb aggressively. That week, at least three long green candlesticks were formed in the daily chart of Ethereum. The longest one was created on May 20, when the price climbed from $3,071 to $3,661 in a single day. The buying pressure formed during that week sustained until early June. Since June 6, sellers have been slowly increasing their strength in the market.

在 5 月 23 日 SEC 批准现货 ETH ETF 申请的前一周，价格开始大幅上涨。那一周，以太坊日线图中至少形成了三个长绿色烛台。最长的一次发生在 5 月 20 日，当时价格单日从 3,071 美元攀升至 3,661 美元。那周形成的买盘压力一直持续到六月初。自6月6日以来，市场上卖家的实力逐渐增强。

Bitcoin Spot ETF Launch: Historic Market Impact Analysis

比特币现货 ETF 推出：历史市场影响分析

The first eleven Bitcoin spot ETFs were approved by the US SEC on Jan 10, 2024. Let’s see how the Bitcoin market reacted to the approval.

首批 11 只比特币现货 ETF 于 2024 年 1 月 10 日获得美国 SEC 批准。让我们看看比特币市场对此批准有何反应。

The launch could not make any immediate reaction in the market. The price oscillated between $47,018 and $42,900 a week before the lunch. On Jan 10, the price was approximately $46,689, slightly lower than that week’s peak.

该产品的推出未能立即引起市场反应。午餐前一周，价格在 47,018 美元至 42,900 美元之间波动。 1 月 10 日，价格约为 46,689 美元，略低于当周的峰值。

The week after the launch, the price saw a few small drops. That week, the price remained between $46,700 and $41,700. But, nearly a month after the lunch, Bitcoin met a strong buying pressure, taking the price from as low as $42,576 to as high as $73,136 in one month.

推出一周后，价格出现了一些小幅下跌。那一周，价格保持在 46,700 美元至 41,700 美元之间。但是，午餐后近一个月，比特币遇到了强大的购买压力，价格在一个月内从最低的 42,576 美元升至最高的 73,136 美元。

The above presented data proves that there is enough ground for the assumption that the launch of Ethereum Spot ETF can help the market in a big way. But, it may take at least a month to create a visible momentum in the chart.

上述数据证明，以太坊现货ETF的推出可以极大地帮助市场这一假设是有足够理由的。但是，可能至少需要一个月的时间才能在图表中形成明显的势头。

Read Also: Bitcoin ETF vs. Ethereum ETF: Can Ether ETFs Surpass Expectations Despite Bitcoin’s Dominance?

另请阅读：比特币 ETF 与以太坊 ETF：尽管比特币占据主导地位，以太坊 ETF 能否超出预期？

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