以太坊（ETH）价格预测：世界第二大加密货币是否会继续其上升趋势？

以太坊在测试支持水平接近2,463美元后发现了坚实的基础。全球第二大加密货币在最近的收益上表现出了新的力量。

Ethereum (ETH) price tested the critical support zone at $2,463, finding buyers and bouncing back up in recent trading.

以太坊（ETH）的价格测试了关键支持区，为2,463美元，发现买家并在最近的交易中弹跳。

The world’s second-largest cryptocurrency is showing renewed strength as it builds on recent gains and attempts to break above the $2,500-$2,720 trading range.

全球第二大加密货币正在以最近的收益为基础，并试图超过2,500-2,720美元的交易范围，这表现出了新的实力。

After Bitcoin’s price action saw the apex cryptocurrency set a new all-time high, ETH initially tested the $2,720 zone and experienced a correction that brought it below $2,500.

在比特币的价格动作看到Apex加密货币设定了新的历史最高水平之后，ETH最初测试了2,720美元的区域，并进行了更正，使其低于2,500美元。

The cryptocurrency found a low at $2,463, which coincides with the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent high to low move, and began climbing again.

加密货币发现低至2,463美元，这与最近高至低移动的0.382％的斐波那契回缩水平相吻合，并再次开始攀升。

ETH successfully moved above the $2,500 resistance level and broke through the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level from its recent high to low move, offering encouragement to bulls.

ETH成功地超过了2,500美元的电阻水平，并从最近的高转移到低移动中闯入了23.6％的斐波那契回撤水平，为公牛提供了鼓励。

Technical analysis shows Ethereum trading above $2,520 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. The price also broke above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $2,540.

技术分析表明，以太坊交易高于$ 2,520和100小时的简单移动平均线。价格还超过了连接的看跌趋势线，阻力为2,540美元。

Key Resistance Levels Ahead

关键阻力水平

The next major hurdle sits at the $2,600 level. This corresponds to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the downward move from $2,729 to $2,463.

下一个主要障碍是2,600美元的水平。这对应于从2,729美元下降到2,463美元的50％斐波那契回溯水平。

Additional resistance zones appear at $2,630 and $2,650. These levels are defined by Fibnocci retracement levels and confluence with the Bollinger Bands.

额外的阻力区为$ 2,630和2,650美元。这些水平由纤维环反回的水平和与布林带的汇合来定义。

A clear break above $2,650 could send ETH toward the $2,720 resistance level, which is crucial for bulls to overcome.

高于2,650美元的明显中断可能会将ETH送入2,720美元的电阻水平，这对于公牛队要克服至关重要。

This zone is closely followed by the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level and coincides with a key psychological price point.

该区域紧随其后的是38.2％的斐波那契反回回发，并与关键的心理价格点相吻合。

Technical analysis suggests that breaking above $2,720 would likely be followed by a strong buying spree, setting the stage for further gains.

技术分析表明，超过2,720美元的收入可能会发生强劲的购买狂潮，为进一步的收益奠定了基础。

In such a scenario, Ethereum could target the $2,800 resistance zone or even $2,850, which is defined by Fibnocci retracement levels.

在这种情况下，以太坊可以针对2,800美元的电阻区甚至2,850美元，这是由fibnocci撤回水平定义的。

However, on-chain data reveals potential challenges ahead as highlighted by Glassnode analysis.

但是，链链数据揭示了玻璃节分析强调的潜在挑战。

There is a cluster of investor cost basis levels around $2,800, indicating that many holders who bought at these levels have been underwater for months.

有一群投资者的成本基础水平约为2,800美元，这表明许多在这些水平购买的持有人已经在水下持续了几个月。

As ETH approaches this zone, there could be selling pressure from investors looking to exit at break-even prices.

随着ETH接近该区域，希望以收支平衡价格退出的投资者可能会出售压力。

Futures Market Sentiment Shifts

期货市场情绪变化

Recent data reveals that futures market sentiment appears to be shifting. The Taker Buy-Sell Ratio has dropped sharply over a 14-day moving average period.

最近的数据表明，期货市场情绪似乎正在发生变化。在14天移动的平均值中，Taker买卖比率急剧下降。

This metric typically measures whether aggressive market participants, known as "takers," are engaging in more buying or selling activity.

该指标通常衡量积极的市场参与者（称为“接受者”）是否正在从事更多的买卖活动。

The declining ratio suggests that sellers are gaining a slight upper hand in the derivatives market.

比率下降表明，卖方在衍生品市场中占据了一定的优势。

Spot market activity over a 24-hour period shows selling pressure. Recent data indicates that 113,100 ETH was sold compared to 90,000 ETH bought.

24小时内的现货市场活动显示出销售压力。最近的数据表明，售出113,100张ETH，而90,000张ETH购买。

Large holder activity reveals mixed behavior. The Large Holder Netflow metric turned negative at -12,700 ETH, indicating that whales were selling more than they bought.

大型持有人活动揭示了混合行为。大型持有人Netflow指标的负面为-12,700 ETH，表明鲸鱼的售出超出了他们购买的销售。

However, ETH remains above key moving averages on the daily chart, maintaining its position above both 50-day and 100-day moving averages.

但是，ETH在每日图表上仍然高于关键移动平均值，保持其位置高于50天和100天的移动平均值。

This technical indicator supports the longer-term upward trend,suggesting that buyers are still in control over longer time periods.

该技术指标支持长期上升趋势，这表明买家仍在较长的时间段中控制。

The Relative Strength Index sits at approximately 63.9, remaining in bullish territory without being overbought.

相对强度指数约为63.9，留在看涨的领土而不会被过分购买。

Bollinger Bands have begun to tighten following earlier expansion, suggesting that volatility may be decreasing.

在较早的扩张之后，布林乐队已经开始收紧，表明波动率可能正在减少。

Two potential scenarios could unfold from current levels. A decisive break above the $2,800 resistance could trigger a swift rally toward $3,000 and beyond.

目前的水平可以展现两个潜在的情况。超过2,800美元的电阻的决定性突破可能会引发3,000美元及以后的迅速集会。

Alternatively, if sellers defend the $2,720 zone and manage to push the price lower, the next support level appears at $2,520.

另外，如果卖方为$ 2,720的区域辩护并设法降低了价格，则下一个支持水平的价格为2,520美元。

The SEC’s decision on Ethereum ETF staking is due by June 1st. Institutional demand through yield-bearing ETFs could provide strong support for higher prices.

SEC对以太坊ETF的决定的决定将于6月1日到期。通过承重ETF的机构需求可以为更高的价格提供强有力的支持。