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在人们热切期待的举措中,美国推出基于以太坊的交易所交易基金(ETF)预计将吸引大量资金流入,并有可能推高以太坊价格。

Key Points:
关键点:
Anticipation builds for the introduction of Ethereum (ETH)-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States.
人们对在美国推出基于以太坊 (ETH) 的交易所交易基金 (ETF) 充满期待。
These ETFs are expected to attract substantial inflows, potentially boosting ETH prices.
这些 ETF 预计将吸引大量资金流入,从而可能推高 ETH 价格。
According to K33 Research, the ETFs could receive between $3 billion and $4.8 billion during their first five months.
根据 K33 Research 的数据,这些 ETF 在上市后的前五个月内可能会收到 30 亿至 48 亿美元的收入。
This would accumulate between 800,000 and 1.26 million ETH, representing a 0.7% to 1.05% share of the total token supply.
这将累积 800,000 至 126 万个 ETH,占代币供应总量的 0.7% 至 1.05%。
The projections are based on the performance of existing ETH-based exchange-traded products worldwide and the open interest in ETH futures contracts on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.
该预测基于全球现有基于 ETH 的交易所交易产品的表现以及芝加哥商品交易所 ETH 期货合约的未平仓合约。
While Ether's open interest on the CME stands at 23% of Bitcoin's futures size, it has averaged 35% since ETH futures began trading in 2021.
虽然 CME 上的以太币未平仓合约规模占比特币期货规模的 23%,但自 2021 年 ETH 期货开始交易以来,这一比例平均为 35%。
Applying these ratios to the nearly $14 billion inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs, K33 estimates ETH ETF inflows could reach $3 billion to $4.8 billion within five months.
将这些比率应用于现货比特币 ETF 的近 140 亿美元流入,K33 估计 ETH ETF 流入可能在五个月内达到 30 亿至 48 亿美元。
At current prices, this influx would accumulate between 800,000 and 1.26 million ETH in the ETFs, significantly impacting the market.
以目前的价格计算,这笔资金的流入将在 ETF 中积累 80 万至 126 万枚 ETH,对市场产生重大影响。
Experts Predict Ethereum to Reach $5,000
专家预测以太坊将达到 5,000 美元
“This substantial supply absorption will likely lead to an increase in ETH prices, considering how Bitcoin surged nearly 60% to record highs following the launch of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs,” said Vetle Lunde, senior analyst at K33 Research.
K33 Research 高级分析师 Vetle Lunde 表示:“考虑到美国现货比特币 ETF 推出后比特币飙升近 60% 并创下历史新高,这种大量的供应吸收可能会导致 ETH 价格上涨。”
K33 analysts predict that Ethereum could experience a similar trend, especially considering the extended downtrend in the ETH-BTC pair, which could set ETH up to outperform Bitcoin in the coming months.
K33 分析师预测,以太坊可能会经历类似的趋势,特别是考虑到 ETH-BTC 货币对的长期下跌趋势,这可能会使 ETH 在未来几个月内跑赢比特币。
Market sentiment remains bullish, with some experts projecting incredible growth for Ethereum. David Brickell of FRNT Financial expects the cryptocurrency to hit $5,000 by the close of June thanks to positive economic outlooks and crypto-friendly legislative developments.
市场情绪仍然看涨,一些专家预计以太坊将出现令人难以置信的增长。 FRNT Financial 的 David Brickell 预计,由于积极的经济前景和加密货币友好的立法发展,到 6 月底,加密货币将达到 5,000 美元。
Meanwhile, Jacob Joseph from CCData expects during the first 100 days $3.9 billion in inflows to U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs.
与此同时,CCData 的 Jacob Joseph 预计在前 100 天内将有 39 亿美元流入美国现货以太坊 ETF。
As the market eagerly awaits the launch of these ETFs, the consensus among analysts is clear. The introduction of spot ETH ETFs will significantly boost institutional demand, creating a supply crunch that is expected to drive Ethereum prices higher in the coming months.
由于市场热切等待这些 ETF 的推出,分析师的共识很明确。现货 ETH ETF 的推出将显着提振机构需求,造成供应紧缩,预计将在未来几个月推高以太坊价格。
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