以太坊 (ETH) ETF 可能会在 2024 年 7 月 2 日之前获得 SEC 批准

彭博社高级分析师 Eric Balchunas 表示，最近的更新表明以太坊 ETF 可能在 7 月初获得批准。

Recent updates suggest a potential early July approval for Ethereum ETFs, as indicated by Bloomberg’s senior analyst Eric Balchunas. Following a positive review by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Balchunas pinpointed July 2 as a likely start date for these ETFs. This prediction aligns with SEC Chair Gary Gensler’s earlier statement forecasting approvals during the summer.

彭博社高级分析师 Eric Balchunas 表示，最近的更新表明以太坊 ETF 可能在 7 月初获得批准。在美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 进行积极审查后，Balchunas 指出 7 月 2 日可能是这些 ETF 的启动日期。这一预测与 SEC 主席加里·詹斯勒 (Gary Gensler) 早些时候预测夏季批准的声明一致。

“UPDATE: we are moving up our over/under date for the launch of spot Ether ETF to July 2nd, hearing the Staff sent issuers comments on S-1s today, and they're pretty light, nothing major, asking for them back in a week. Decent chance they work to declare them effective the next…” – Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) June 14, 2024

“更新：我们将推出以太坊现货 ETF 的超额/不足日期提前至 7 月 2 日，听到工作人员今天向发行人发送了有关 S-1 的评论，而且这些评论很轻，没什么大不了的，要求他们回来一周。他们有很好的机会宣布它们在下一个生效......” – Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) 2024 年 6 月 14 日

The SEC’s recent feedback on S-1 filings from ETF issuers was noted by Balchunas to be minor and primarily procedural, requesting responses within a week. This interaction suggests that the SEC could finalize the ETFs’ approval just before the July 4 holiday. Such timing could coincide strategically with national celebrations, enhancing the launch’s visibility.

Balchunas 指出，SEC 最近对 ETF 发行人 S-1 申请的反馈是次要的，而且主要是程序性的，要求在一周内做出回应。这种互动表明 SEC 可能会在 7 月 4 日假期之前最终确定 ETF 的批准。这样的时机可以在战略上与国家庆祝活动同时进行，从而提高发布的知名度。

“Note: our previous over/under was July 4th so this isn’t major shift but 1) we startted to feel like it would take longer so this is kinda good news and b) we basically decide the over/under on where are most torn 50-50 on where to bet and July 2nd is that date right now.” – Balchunas stated in his tweet.

“注：我们之前的上/下盘是在 7 月 4 日，所以这不是重大转变，但是 1) 我们开始觉得需要更长的时间，所以这是一个好消息，b) 我们基本上决定上/下盘的最重要因素是哪里在该下注的问题上，双方争论的焦点是 50 比 50，而 7 月 2 日就是现在的那个日期。” ——巴尔丘纳斯在他的推文中说道。

The anticipated rapid approval of Ethereum ETFs is in contrast to the lengthy process Bitcoin ETFs underwent. The application process for Bitcoin ETFs began in July 2013 with the Winklevoss twins and concluded only in January 2024, with multiple approvals following extensive regulatory reviews.

以太坊 ETF 的预期快速批准与比特币 ETF 经历的漫长过程形成鲜明对比。比特币 ETF 的申请流程于 2013 年 7 月由 Winklevoss 双胞胎开始，直到 2024 年 1 月才结束，经过广泛的监管审查后获得了多项批准。

In contrast, Ethereum’s ETF journey appears to be proceeding more swiftly, which could reflect evolving regulatory perspectives or differing market dynamics.

相比之下，以太坊的 ETF 之旅似乎进展得更快，这可能反映了不断变化的监管观点或不同的市场动态。

As the approval process for Ethereum ETFs progresses, Ethereum has demonstrated a slight increase in value, rising just over 1% recently. This is in contrast to the broader cryptocurrency market, where Bitcoin and several other cryptocurrencies have shown declines.

随着以太坊 ETF 审批流程的进展，以太坊的价值略有上涨，近期涨幅略高于 1%。这与更广泛的加密货币市场形成鲜明对比，其中比特币和其他几种加密货币均出现下跌。

Recent data also indicate significant outflows from Bitcoin ETFs, with a notable $416.1 million exiting on June 13 and 14. The market is showing mixed signals at the moment, with a decline in Bitcoin’s value and a slight increase in Ethereum's.

最近的数据还显示比特币 ETF 出现大量资金流出，其中 6 月 13 日和 14 日流出了 4.161 亿美元。目前市场显示出混合信号，比特币价值下跌，以太坊价值小幅上涨。

Social dominance metrics for both Bitcoin and Ethereum are on the rise, according to data from Santiment, though the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for both remains flat, indicating a lack of strong market momentum in either direction.

根据 Santiment 的数据，比特币和以太坊的社会主导地位指标都在上升，尽管两者的相对强度指数（RSI）仍然持平，表明两个方向都缺乏强劲的市场动力。