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截至发稿时,比特币 [BTC] 和以太坊 [ETH] 的交易价格均低于关键阻力位,分别为 6 万美元和 2600 美元。他们的三天和每周时间框架的市场结构也看跌。
![以太坊 [ETH] 比比特币 [BTC] 有优势,原因如下 以太坊 [ETH] 比比特币 [BTC] 有优势,原因如下](/uploads/2024/08/18/cryptocurrencies-news/articles/ethereum-eth-edge-bitcoin-btc/image-1.jpg)
Bitcoin [BTC] and Ethereum [ETH] were both seen trading below key resistance levels at $60k and $2.6k respectively, at press time. Their market structures on the 3-day and weekly timeframes were bearish as well.
截至发稿时,比特币 [BTC] 和以太坊 [ETH] 的交易价格均低于关键阻力位,分别为 6 万美元和 2600 美元。他们的三天和每周时间框架的市场结构也看跌。
The rapid sell-off in early August brought panic, but it also presented an interesting proposition for market participants- to load up on these top crypto assets as they slid lower. AMBCrypto examined these trends to understand the market sentiment. And, we found that Ethereum had an advantage.
8月初的快速抛售带来了恐慌,但也为市场参与者提出了一个有趣的建议——在这些顶级加密资产下跌时买入它们。 AMBCrypto 研究了这些趋势以了解市场情绪。而且,我们发现以太坊有优势。
Price action and technical indicators showed seller supremacy
价格走势和技术指标显示卖方至上
Source: BTC/USDT on TradingView
来源:TradingView 上的 BTC/USDT
The chart showed the orange structure break, while the lower high at $72k remained unconquered. This, coupled with the bearish RSI on the D3 chart and the downtrend in the OBV, made it likely that the sellers would force BTC below $56.1k again.
该图表显示橙色结构突破,而 72,000 美元的较低高点仍未被征服。再加上 D3 图表上的看跌 RSI 和 OBV 的下降趋势,卖家很可能会再次迫使 BTC 跌破 56.1 万美元。
The first sign of recovery would be a sustained push above $60k. However, at the time of writing, the demand was not present to pull this reversal off.
复苏的第一个迹象将是持续突破 6 万美元。然而,在撰写本文时,尚未出现实现这一逆转的需求。
Source: ETH/USDT on TradingView
来源:TradingView 上的 ETH/USDT
The technical outlook for ETH is even more bearish. The fair value was around the $2.8k region, with the Fibonacci level of $2.9k left to conquer. This could spell huge trouble for Ethereum bulls.
ETH 的技术前景更加悲观。公允价值约为 2800 美元区域,斐波那契水平 2900 美元尚待征服。这可能会给以太坊多头带来巨大麻烦。
The RSI and OBV indicated that bearish pressure can be anticipated. This could pave the way for a move towards $2.2k.
RSI 和 OBV 表明看跌压力是可以预期的。这可能为迈向 2200 美元铺平道路。
Netflows revealed accumulation trends more consistent for Ethereum
网络流量显示以太坊的积累趋势更加一致
Source: CryptoQuant
来源:CryptoQuant
The hike in stablecoin reserves covered in an earlier report highlighted the climbing buying power in the crypto market. Just after the massive price drop on 5 August, the BTC netflows were negative.
早些时候的一份报告中提到的稳定币储备的上涨凸显了加密货币市场购买力的不断攀升。就在 8 月 5 日价格大幅下跌之后,BTC 净流量为负。
This showed coins leaving exchanges – A sign of accumulation.
这表明硬币离开交易所——这是积累的迹象。
Source: CryptoQuant
来源:CryptoQuant
Ethereum has also recorded accumulation since late July. Its netflow metric’s downtrend was steadier than BTC’s.
自7月下旬以来,以太坊也出现了积累。其净流量指标的下降趋势比 BTC 更稳定。
This is a sign that Ethereum’s accumulation proceeded apace while BTC holders wavered more. However, it is not a definitive guarantee that Ethereum has been more bullish.
这表明以太坊的积累在快速进行,而比特币持有者则更加摇摆不定。然而,这并不能明确保证以太坊更加看涨。
Source: CryptoQuant
来源:CryptoQuant
Finally, the Coinbase Premium for Bitcoin and Ethereum were both positive. This underlined greater demand from U.S.-based investors.
最后,比特币和以太坊的 Coinbase 溢价均为正值。这突显了美国投资者的更大需求。
Even so, the premium has fallen for Bitcoin over the past two weeks.
即便如此,过去两周比特币的溢价还是有所下降。
Source: CryptoQuant
来源:CryptoQuant
Meanwhile, the Ethereum Coinbase Premium was slightly more positive, another sign that demand for ETH has been higher over the past ten days than for BTC.
与此同时,以太坊 Coinbase 溢价略为乐观,这是过去十天对 ETH 需求高于 BTC 的另一个迹象。
Read Bitcoin’s [BTC] Price Prediction 2024-25
阅读比特币 [BTC] 2024-25 价格预测
Overall, the metrics showed Ethereum has an advantage over Bitcoin. The price action advantage was BTC’s, though both assets were bearish on the selected timeframes.
总体而言,这些指标显示以太坊比比特币具有优势。价格行为优势是比特币,尽管这两种资产在选定的时间范围内都看跌。
A move past the key resistances at $60k and $2.6k could inspire confidence in the crypto markets.
突破 6 万美元和 2600 美元的关键阻力位可能会激发人们对加密货币市场的信心。
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