以太坊下跌趋势加深，预计进一步下跌

以太坊（ETH）在 5 月 1 日面临抛售压力，跌破 20 日移动平均线并触及 2852 美元的低点。自 4 月 10 日以来，ETH 期货未平仓合约大幅下降，表明多头头寸兴趣减弱。包括 MACD、阿隆下行线、RSI 和 MFI 在内的技术指标表明看跌趋势，动能指标表明需求下降。

Ethereum's Downtrend Intensifies, Further Decline Likely in Short Term

以太坊跌势加剧，短期内可能进一步下跌

Amidst a broader market correction, Ethereum [ETH] has recently plunged below critical technical support levels, signaling a potential for further decline in the short term.

在更广泛的市场调整中，以太坊 [ETH] 最近跌破了关键技术支撑位，表明短期内有可能进一步下跌。

On May 1, ETH breached its 20-day simple moving average (SMA), a bearish indicator suggesting a shift in market sentiment towards selling. This technical break signaled a departure from a recent uptrend and raised the possibility of a prolonged downtrend.

5 月 1 日，ETH 突破了 20 日简单移动平均线（SMA），这是一个看跌指标，表明市场情绪转向抛售。这一技术突破标志着近期上涨趋势的背离，并增加了长期下跌趋势的可能性。

Selling Pressure Mounts

销售压力山

As coin selloffs intensified, ETH broke below a key support level and closed the trading session on May 1 at a low of $2,850. The decline was exacerbated by a sharp drop in ETH's futures open interest, which has been on a downward trajectory since April 10. This suggests that speculators are unwinding their bullish positions, further fueling the sell-off.

随着代币抛售加剧，ETH 跌破关键支撑位，并于 5 月 1 日收盘于 2,850 美元的低点。 ETH 期货未平仓合约急剧下降加剧了跌势，自 4 月 10 日以来，ETH 期货未平仓合约一直处于下降轨道。这表明投机者正在解除多头头寸，进一步加剧了抛售。

Bearish Technical Indicators

看跌技术指标

A confluence of technical indicators confirms the bearish trend in ETH's price action. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line crossed below its signal line in a downtrend, signaling a potential for further declines. Additionally, ETH's Aroon Down Line is hovering near 93%, indicating a strong downtrend.

一系列技术指标证实了 ETH 价格走势的看跌趋势。移动平均趋同分歧（MACD）线在下降趋势中穿过其信号线下方，表明有可能进一步下跌。此外，ETH 的阿隆下行线徘徊在 93% 附近，表明下跌趋势强劲。

Weakened Momentum

动力减弱

ETH's momentum indicators also point towards a significant decline in demand for the altcoin. Its Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dipped below 37, indicating oversold conditions and a lack of buying interest. Similarly, the Money Flow Index (MFI) is hovering around 34, suggesting that selling pressure is overwhelming accumulation.

ETH 的动量指标也表明对该山寨币的需求大幅下降。其相对强弱指数 (RSI) 已跌破 37，表明超卖状况和缺乏购买兴趣。同样，资金流量指数（MFI）徘徊在34左右，表明抛售压力正在压倒性积累。

Declining Network Activity

网络活动下降

An analysis of ETH's network activity using a 30-day average confirms the dwindling demand for the altcoin. The daily count of addresses involved in ETH transactions has dropped by 7%, while the number of new addresses created has decreased by 10%. This on-chain data further supports the bearish outlook for ETH in the short term.

使用 30 天平均值对 ETH 网络活动进行的分析证实了对山寨币的需求正在下降。每日涉及 ETH 交易的地址数量下降了 7%，而创建的新地址数量则下降了 10%。这一链上数据进一步支持了 ETH 短期的看跌前景。

Conclusion

结论

Based on technical indicators, market sentiment, and on-chain data, Ethereum [ETH] appears to be poised for a further decline in the short term. The breach of key support levels, weak momentum indicators, and declining network activity suggest that bears are firmly in control of the market. Traders should exercise caution and consider taking a defensive approach until the market sentiment shifts in favor of buyers.

根据技术指标、市场情绪和链上数据，以太坊 [ETH] 似乎有望在短期内进一步下跌。关键支撑位的突破、动量指标疲软以及网络活动下降表明空头牢牢控制着市场。交易者应谨慎行事，并考虑采取防御性策略，直到市场情绪转向有利于买家为止。