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重新测试 25 美元支撑位后,以太坊经典 (ETC) 市场结构转向看跌

2024/06/08 20:00

此前美国五月就业报告不利。其短期势头似乎也看跌。

重新测试 25 美元支撑位后,以太坊经典 (ETC) 市场结构转向看跌

Ethereum Classic [ETC] dropped to the $25-support level and seemed poised to flip its higher timeframe market structure bearishly. This came after an unfavorable U.S May Jobs Report. Its short-term momentum appeared bearish too.

以太坊经典 [ETC] 跌至 25 美元的支撑位,似乎准备好扭转其较高时间框架的市场结构看跌。此前美国五月就业报告不利。其短期势头也显得看跌。

In a recent analysis, AMBCrypto highlighted that the $28.4-$29 zone could be revisited before a bounce. However, ETC dropped more than expected. Ergo, the question – How do traders react to the recent price action?

在最近的分析中,AMBCrypto 强调,在反弹之前可能会重新审视 28.4-29 美元区域。然而,ETC 的跌幅超出预期。因此,问题是——交易者对最近的价格走势有何反应?

The $29-support level did not hold (4-hour chart)

29 美元支撑位未能守住(4 小时图)

Source: ETC/USDT on TradingView

来源:TradingView 上的 ETC/USDT

The recent higher low was set at $25.19 on 13 May. The price drop on 7 June, touched $25.07, but did not close a daily session below $25.19. Hence, the bulls appeared to have the upper hand on the higher timeframe, though it seemed tenuous.

5 月 13 日创下的近期低点为 25.19 美元。 6 月 7 日价格下跌,触及 25.07 美元,但每日收盘价并未低于 25.19 美元。因此,多头似乎在较高的时间框架上占据了上风,尽管它看起来很脆弱。

The Directional Movement Index saw the -DI (red) jump above the 20-mark. It was an early sign that the trend could be shifting bearishly, as the ADX (yellow) would also need to climb past 20 to signal a strong downtrend in progress.

方向性运动指数 -DI(红色)跃升至 20 关口上方。这是趋势可能转向看跌的早期迹象,因为 ADX(黄色)也需要攀升至 20 以上才能表明强劲的下降趋势正在进行中。

The CMF was at -0.09, indicating significant capital flow out of the market. This selling pressure has been present for a week. It would need to turn around for bulls to regain some hope.

CMF 为-0.09,表明大量资金流出市场。这种抛售压力已经存在一周了。多头需要扭转局面才能重新获得一些希望。

Futures market highlighted intense bearishness (4-hour)

期货市场凸显强烈看跌情绪(4小时)

Source: Coinalyze

来源:Coinalyze

Over the past 10 days, Ethereum Classic has steadily risen from $31 to $28.6. The past 24 hours saw a flurry of selling activity spurred by Bitcoin [BTC] though. Hence, ETC fell by 14.32% in a single 4-hour trading session, followed by a bounce from $25.07 to $27.

在过去的 10 天里,以太坊经典从 31 美元稳步上涨至 28.6 美元。不过,在过去 24 小时内,比特币 [BTC] 刺激了一系列抛售活动。因此,ETC 在单个 4 小时交易日内下跌了 14.32%,随后从 25.07 美元反弹至 27 美元。

The Open Interest also fell sharply alongside the price, showing bearish sentiment and a reluctance to enter positions due to volatility. The spot CVD continued its downtrend too. The volume indicators agreed that selling pressure was firm.

未平仓合约也随着价格大幅下跌,显示出看跌情绪以及由于波动而不愿建仓的情况。现货CVD也继续其下降趋势。成交量指标表明抛售压力强劲。

The bulls would need to change this to re-establish an uptrend on the lower timeframes.

多头需要改变这一点,以在较低的时间范围内重新建立上升趋势。

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