这是Dogecoin的夏季升起吗？

Dogecoin在周三下午在欧洲易手易手$ 0.198，比3月后期高的20％，但仍在紧密地持续到11个月

Benzinga - The cryptocurrency markets have seen better days as prices continue to decline. Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) is now trading at levels last seen in March, despite recent reports of a potential shift in macroeconomic trends that could benefit cryptocurrencies.

Benzinga-随着价格继续下跌，加密货币市场的日子已经好转。 Dogecoin（Crypto：Doge）现在在3月最后一次出现的水平交易，尽管最近有报道称宏观经济趋势可能会受益，这可能受益于加密货币。

What Happened: According to the independent analyst VisionPulsed, Dogecoin is changing hands near $0.198 on Wednesday afternoon in Europe, almost 20 % below its late-March high yet still clinging to an eleven-month up-trend that now converges with a formidable technical inflection.

发生了什么：根据独立分析师Visionpulsed的说法，Dogecoin在欧洲周三下午在欧洲的0.198美元接近$ 0.198，几乎低20％，低于其3月后期的高点，但仍持续到11个月的上升趋势，现在与巨大的技术变化融为一体。

Speaking in a 10 June video, the analyst told viewers he had been "making the case that the first two weeks of June should be when we start moving up—if we're bullish. He conceded that "there is a chance the move has started" after Dogecoin closed a two-day candle back above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement drawn from the December 2024 swing high.

分析师在6月10日的视频中告诉观众，他一直在“表明6月的前两个星期应该是我们开始上升时 - 如果我们看涨。

The backdrop VisionPulsed describes is notably risk-on. Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is hovering around $109,500, roughly 3% shy of its all-time high, while Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) has punched out a fresh twelve-month high above $2,790. In equities, the S&P Small-Cap 600—an index the analyst referenced when he quipped that "the S&P broke 600 yesterday"—posted its strongest five-day advance since March, a move the analyst interprets as validation of a global-liquidity gauge Global M2.

背景视觉的描述显然是风险。比特币（Crypto：BTC）徘徊在109,500美元左右，占其历史最高高的3％，而以太坊（Crypto：ETH）却打出了一个新鲜的十二个月高，高于$ 2,790。在股票中，标准普尔小型600号（S＆P Smill-Cap 600） - 分析师在他打趣“昨天的标准普尔600分”时提到的分析师提到了自3月以来最强的五天进步，分析师将其解释为对全球液体仪表全球M2的验证。

Hash-ribbon signals on Bitcoin flipped positive two weeks ago, the analyst noted, historically an early marker of revived demand for risk assets. "Bitcoin at 110K says we should go up. Ethereum breaking out says we should go up. If we still don't go up… just pick a different investment choice."

这位分析师指出，两周前，比特币上的Hash-ribbon信号翻转了阳性，这是历史上早期对风险资产需求恢复的标志。 “ 110k的比特币表示我们应该上升。

Central to VisionPulsed's thesis is a 70-day cyclical window counted from Dogecoin's April 1 local low. "We're approaching that 70-day mark.… It is now the time for it to be bullish," he said, warning that failure to rally before mid-June would all but invalidate the setup.

VisionPulsed论文的核心是一个为期70天的周期性窗口，该窗口从Dogecoin的4月1日本地低点计数。他说：“我们正在接近这70天的标记。现在是时候看好它了。”他警告说，未能在6月中旬之前集会几乎将其无效。

Yet the analyst concedes that Dogecoin's fate is tethered to the ETH/BTC pair and to Bitcoin dominance, which has remained stubbornly elevated: "When the ETH-BTC move does occur, that's going to be when the dominance falls and we need the dominance to fall because that's when Dogecoin goes to the moon." Until that rotation happens, any up-ticks in DOGE may remain prone to stalling beneath long-term resistance.

然而，分析师承认，狗狗的命运被束缚在ETH/BTC对，并占据了比特币的优势，这一直固执地提升：“当Eth-BTC移动确实发生时，那是统治地位，我们需要统治地位才能下降，因为那是Dogecoin到达月球的时候。”在旋转发生之前，门多格的任何上踢都可能仍然容易停滞在长期阻力之下。

VisionPulsed identifies three price milestones that will decide sentiment. A daily close above $0.23 would constitute the first clear break of the descending trend-line in place since December, while $0.30—the 0.618 retracement of the entire 2021–2024 bear market—marks the level at which, he says, "people will start talking about Dogecoin at your summer camp… it's going to be euphoric." Should time drag on, he allows that the trigger could slide to $0.27, but the message is stark: "If we just shoot up, it's still $0.30. If we take longer, it could be lower, but it's the same concept."

VisionPulsed确定了三个将决定情感的价格里程碑。自12月以来，每天关闭$ 0.23的每日关闭将构成下降趋势线的第一个明显突破，而0.30美元（整个2021 - 2024年熊市的0.618回溯，他都会在您的夏令营上谈论Dogecoin，这将是令人欣喜的。”如果时间拖延，他允许扳机可以滑到0.27美元，但信息很明显：“如果我们只是射击，那仍然是0.30美元。如果我们花了更长的时间，它可能会较低，但这是相同的概念。”

With Bitcoin firm above six figures, Ethereum printing new local highs, and global liquidity gauges flashing green, the stage is set for an upside resolution. Whether Dogecoin can convert that macro tail-wind into a decisive break above $0.23—and ignite the $0.30 euphoria line—will become evident within the next fortnight.

由于比特币公司高于六位数，以太坊打印了新的本地高点以及全球流动性测量表闪烁绿色，因此舞台旨在提出上行分辨率。 Dogecoin是否可以将宏观尾声转换为果断的巨额休息，并在下一周内显而易见。

At press time, DOGE traded at $0.197.

发稿时，Doge的交易价格为0.197美元。