狗狗币风险指标最近发出红色信号

狗狗币在过去一周大幅上涨 16%。以下是这位分析师的“风险指标”在这次运行后寻找 DOGE 的方式。

CryptoQuant community manager Maartunn has shared a “Risk Indicator” for Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) in a new post on Medium.

CryptoQuant 社区经理 Maartunn 在 Medium 上的一篇新帖子中分享了狗狗币（加密货币：DOGE）的“风险指标”。

The indicator calculates the percentage change over the last 168 hours (one week). When the percentage change exceeds a specific threshold, it indicates a potential risk zone.

该指标计算过去 168 小时（一周）的百分比变化。当百分比变化超过特定阈值时，表明存在潜在风险区域。

The risk here is toward Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) and, since the rest of the sector usually follows in its lead, it would also be toward cryptocurrencies as a whole.

这里的风险是针对比特币（加密货币：BTC），并且由于该行业的其他部分通常会跟随其领先，因此它也将针对整个加密货币。

Here is the chart for the indicator posted by Maartunn.

这是 Maartunn 发布的指标图表。

“This indicator is signaling right now as the DOGE price has enjoyed a sharp 16% rally during the past week. Each time the indicator has lit up in the past few months, the BTC price has hit some top.”

“该指标目前正在发出信号，因为 DOGE 价格在过去一周大幅上涨了 16%。过去几个月，每次该指标亮起时，比特币价格都会触及某个顶部。”

Since the latest signal, the BTC rally has been derailed. Could this mean that fast growth in the memecoin's price is once again signaling more downside to come for the sector?

自最新信号发出以来，BTC的涨势已脱轨。这是否意味着模因币价格的快速增长再次表明该行业将面临更多下行风险？

The logic behind this pattern is that when memecoins break away from Bitcoin and the company, it's usually a sign that greed is taking over the market.

这种模式背后的逻辑是，当模因币脱离比特币和公司时，通常是贪婪正在占领市场的迹象。

Historically, cryptocurrencies have tended to move in the direction that the crowd expects, so excessive greed often leads to a bearish outcome.

从历史上看，加密货币往往会朝着大众预期的方向发展，因此过度贪婪往往会导致看跌的结果。

Investors have recently been piling into memecoins like Dogecoin in a bid to make a quick buck, but if this previous pattern is to be believed, then DOGE and its peers may have to slow down if the market is to continue its rally.

投资者最近纷纷涌入狗狗币等模因币，以期快速赚钱，但如果之前的模式可信，那么如果市场要继续上涨，狗狗币及其同行可能不得不放慢脚步。

In other news, market intelligence platform IntoTheBlock has shared an update on how the average holding time compares between the major cryptocurrency networks in an IntoTheBlock post.

在其他新闻中，市场情报平台 IntoTheBlock 在 IntoTheBlock 帖子中分享了主要加密货币网络之间平均持有时间比较的最新情况。

Here is how the platform's analysis compares the average holding time across several cryptocurrency networks.

以下是该平台的分析如何比较多个加密货币网络的平均持有时间。

As displayed in the above table, Bitcoin is leading in this metric, with cryptocurrency investors holding for an average period of 4.4 years before transferring their coins.

如上表所示，比特币在这一指标上处于领先地位，加密货币投资者在转移比特币之前平均持有 4.4 年。

Interestingly, Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH), Dogecoin, and Shiba Inu (CRYPTO: SHIB) are all tied for second, with the figure at 2.4 years for each.

有趣的是，以太坊（加密货币：ETH）、狗狗币和柴犬（加密货币：SHIB）都并列第二，各为 2.4 年。

Thus, while the memecoins do get a lot of speculative activity, they have still managed to establish a userbase that's as sticky as that of Ethereum.

因此，虽然模因币确实有很多投机活动，但它们仍然成功地建立了像以太坊一样粘性的用户群。

DOGE Price Action: At the time of writing on Monday, Dogecoin was trading at an average price of $0.142, down by 0.66% over the past 24 hours and up by 6.31% over the past seven days.

DOGE 价格走势：截至周一撰写本文时，Dogecoin 的平均价格为 0.142 美元，过去 24 小时下跌 0.66%，过去 7 天上涨 6.31%。