Dogecoin徘徊在临界水平上。它会突破吗，还是熊会接管？技术分析和未来前景。

Dogecoin Price Prediction: Will the Rally Continue?

Dogecoin价格预测：集会会继续吗？

Dogecoin, the meme-turned-cryptocurrency, is at a pivotal moment. After a recent surge, it's now hovering around a crucial level, leaving investors wondering: will the rally continue, or is a correction on the horizon?

Dogecoin是模因转变为重点货币，正处于关键时刻。在最近的激增之后，它现在徘徊在关键水平上，使投资者想知道：集会会继续，还是要进行更正？

Dogecoin's Make-or-Break Moment

Dogecoin的成败时刻

According to analyst Kevin, Dogecoin is currently testing a confluence of critical indicators around the $0.16 mark. This zone includes the weekly 200 Simple Moving Average (SMA), the weekly 200 EMA, and the macro 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. Kevin emphasizes the importance of this level, noting its historical role as a launchpad during the current bull cycle. He also points to the weekly RSI's resilience, which has remained above 38 during significant corrections, keeping the broader uptrend intact.

根据分析师凯文（Kevin）的说法，Dogecoin目前正在测试约0.16美元的关键指标的汇合。该区域包括每周200个简单的移动平均线（SMA），每周200 EMA和宏观0.382斐波那契反回试。凯文（Kevin）强调了这一水平的重要性，并指出了其在当前牛周期内作为发射台的历史作用。他还指出了每周RSI的弹性，在重大纠正期间，它的弹性保持在38以上，使更广泛的上升趋势保持不变。

Kevin's technical approach has been methodical. His team took profits in late 2024 at euphoric RSI peaks, then accurately re-entered DOGE at $0.14–$0.15 in April 2025, exiting near $0.25–$0.26. He's now back in a swing long from current levels, separate from his long-term DOGE holdings acquired at $0.06.

凯文的技术方法是有条理的。他的团队在2024年末在Euphoric RSI峰上获得了利润，然后在2025年4月将其准确地重新进入Doge $ 0.14- $ 0.15，即将退出0.25- $ 0.25- $ 0.26。现在，他与目前的水平相距甚远，与他的长期门槛持有量分开，以0.06美元的价格获得。

Resistance Ahead

抵抗前方

Dogecoin faces significant resistance ahead. Kevin notes that DOGE is still trading below all major daily moving averages, which remain elevated. Reclaiming $0.19 is crucial for a return to the $0.19–$0.26 range.

Dogecoin面临着明显的阻力。凯文（Kevin）指出，杜格（Doge）仍处于所有主要日常移动平均水平以下的交易，这些平均水平保持较高。回收$ 0.19对于返回0.19美元至0.26美元的范围至关重要。

Bitcoin's Influence

比特币的影响

Dogecoin's next move is tightly linked to Bitcoin's direction. Kevin emphasizes, "BTC runs the show doge will follow Bitcoin at the end of the day." He views Bitcoin's recent false breakdown and bounce from a symmetrical triangle as bullish. For confirmation, BTC needs to break $106,800 and retake the 4-hour 200 SMA. If BTC rallies, Kevin expects Dogecoin to follow but warns that falling below weekly RSI 38 could break the $0.143–$0.127 range and trigger a bearish shift.

Dogecoin的下一步行动与比特币的方向紧密相关。凯文（Kevin）强调：“ BTC主持节目Doge将在一天结束时跟随比特币。”他认为比特币最近从对称的三角形中反弹了比特币作为看涨的弹跳。为了确认，BTC需要打破106,800美元并重新夺回4小时200 SMA。如果BTC集会，凯文（Kevin）预计Dogecoin会遵循，但警告说，每周RSI 38以下可能会破坏$ 0.143- $ 0.127的范围，并引发看跌的转变。

My Two Satoshis

我的两个satoshis

While technical analysis provides valuable insights, remember that the crypto market is inherently volatile. External factors, like regulatory news or Elon Musk's tweets, can send Dogecoin on unexpected rollercoasters. Keep an eye on Bitcoin; its movements will likely dictate Dogecoin's short-term trajectory. However, Dogecoin has proved its resilience and continues to be a player in the crypto space. I remain cautiously optimistic, but caution is advised!

尽管技术分析提供了宝贵的见解，但请记住，加密货币市场本质上是波动的。外部因素，例如监管新闻或埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）的推文，可以在意外的过山车上发送狗狗币。密切关注比特币；它的运动可能会决定多霉素的短期轨迹。但是，Dogecoin证明了它的韧性，并继续成为加密货币领域的球员。我仍然谨慎乐观，但建议您谨慎！

The Bottom Line

底线

Dogecoin's future hangs in the balance. Whether it breaks through resistance or succumbs to bearish pressure remains to be seen. Keep an eye on those key levels and, of course, Bitcoin. It's gonna be an interesting ride, folks. HODL tight!

Dogecoin的未来悬而未决。它是通过电阻破裂还是屈服于看跌压力还有待观察。密切关注这些关键水平，当然还有比特币。伙计们，这将是一个有趣的旅程。霍德紧！