Dogecoin能否在当前市场上升到排气之前达到1美元？

Dogecoin的柔和的春季拉力赛重新点了一个多年生零售问题：世界上最著名的模因硬币是否可以在当前市场上升到排气口之前打破1美元的障碍？

Dogecoin’s muted spring rally has reignited a perennial retail question: can the world’s best-known meme coin break the $1 barrier before the current market upswing exhausts itself? In a 13-minute market update published on Sunday, independent strategist Kevin—known online as Kev Capital TA—answered with an unequivocal “yes,” pointing to a confluence of long-term Fibonacci targets, momentum indicators and a macro backdrop he believes is finally turning supportive for high-beta crypto assets.

Dogecoin的柔和的春季拉力赛重新点了一个多年生零售问题：世界上最著名的模因硬币是否可以在当前市场上升到排气口之前打破1美元的障碍？在周日发布的13分钟市场更新中，独立战略家凯文（在线称为Kev Capital TA）毫不含糊地“是”，指出了长期斐波那契目标，动量指标和宏观背景的融合，他认为最终支持了高蛋白Creta Crypto Assets的支持。

Is $1 Realistic For Dogecoin?

对于Dogecoin来说，$ 1是现实的吗？

“Can Dogecoin hit $1 this cycle? The answer is yes, it absolutely can,” Kevin told his followers at the outset of the video. He argued that Dogecoin is now in its third major cycle and has historically advanced to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension on the monthly chart. That extension currently sits at roughly $3.80, “well above a dollar,” he noted, while stressing that citing the level is “not a price call” but a way to frame upside potential.

凯文（Kevin）在视频开始时告诉他的追随者：“狗狗币可以在这个周期达到$ 1吗？答案是的，绝对可以。”他认为，Dogecoin现在处于第三个主要周期，并且历史上一直升至每月表上的1.618斐波那契扩展。他指出，目前，该扩展名为3.80美元，“远高于一美元”，同时强调说，引用该水平是“不是价格呼叫”，而是一种构成上升潜力的方式。

Kevin’s conviction rests on momentum gauges that, in his reading, show Dogecoin barely warming up. On the monthly relative-strength index, he traced an ascending trend that has been intact since the post-Luna crash lows in June 2022. “We hit roughly 50 cents with the monthly RSI at 75,” he said, adding that in prior cycles the indicator climbed to at least 89.4. “Look how much room we have to go.” A fresh bullish crossover in the monthly stochastic oscillator would, in his view, confirm the move.

凯文（Kevin）的信念基于动力表，在他的阅读中，狗狗币几乎没有热身。在每月的相对强度指数上，他追溯了自2022年6月LUNA崩溃低点以来一直完好无损的上升趋势。“我们以75的每月RSI为75，在75岁时达到了约50美分，”他补充说，在先前的周期中，指标攀升至少为89.4。 “看看我们必须走多少空间。”在他看来，在每月的随机振荡器中，新的看涨跨界将证实这一举动。

The analyst also linked Dogecoin’s prospects to a macro mix he characterises as increasingly benign: expectations for US rate cuts, a deceleration in quantitative tightening and a rise in global liquidity. He contended that these forces, coupled with a downturn in Bitcoin dominance that his desk called on 28 April at 65.45%, create the conditions for a classic “alt-season.” “Altcoins are oscillators to Bitcoin… monetary policy being easier on the economy is what drives that liquidity into the market,” he explained.

该分析师还将Dogecoin的前景与他所描述的宏观混合联系起来，将其描述为越来越良性的宏观组合：对美国降低速度的期望，定量收紧的减速和全球流动性的增加。他争辩说，这些部队在4月28日的桌子上以65.45％的身份在比特币统治下的低迷统治，创造了经典的“ Alt Seases”的条件。他解释说：“ AltCoins是比特币的振荡器……货币政策在经济上更容易驱动流动性进入市场。”

Key chart landmarks remain in focus. Kevin cited a “perfect inverse head-and-shoulders” accumulation which he entered at an average price of $0.15—now “up 65–70%”—and set sequential objectives at $0.48 and the previous all-time high near $0.74. The $1 level would follow only if liquidity trends continue to improve and Bitcoin dominance “durably” breaks down. “Realistically, if we keep seeing this path of easing monetary policy… we can absolutely see Dogecoin at a dollar by the

关键图表地标仍然关注。凯文（Kevin）引用了一个“完美的逆向头和股”积累，他的平均价格为0.15美元，现在“上涨了65-70％”，并将顺序目标定为0.48美元，以前的历史高度接近0.74美元。只有在流动性趋势继续改善并“持久”破裂时，只有$ 1的水平才会遵循。 “实际上，如果我们不断看到这种放松货币政策的道路……我们绝对可以看到Dogecoin的一美元