Dogecoin（Doge）价格预测：最近的集会会继续吗？

Dogecoin最近的集会在其社区中重新激发了热情，资产在短短一周内就攀升了36％。

Dogecoin’s recent rally has reignited enthusiasm across its community, with the asset climbing 36% in just a week. But beneath the surface, key indicators suggest the uptrend could be fragile — especially as veteran holders begin to take profits.

Dogecoin最近的集会在其社区中重新激发了热情，资产在短短一周内就攀升了36％。但是在表面下，关键指标表明上升趋势可能是脆弱的，尤其是当资深持有人开始利润时。

On-chain data from ChainMind shows a surge in “age consumed,” a metric used to track the movement of dormant coins. This spike indicates that long-term holders, usually viewed as stabilizing forces in the market, are selling off a significant portion of their coins. It’s the most aggressive selling activity from this group since mid-2023.

来自链链的链上数据显示了“年龄消耗”的激增，这是一种用于跟踪休眠硬币运动的度量。这种尖峰表明，通常被视为市场上稳定力量的长期持有人正在出售其大部分硬币。这是自2023年中以来该集团的最激进的销售活动。

This coincides with a decline in the "Hodl Count," which measures the number of coins that have not moved for at least 155 days or more. This metric is now at its lowest since February 2023, further supporting the narrative of long-term coins being spent.

这与“ HODL计数”的下降相吻合，该计数衡量了至少155天或更长时间没有移动的硬币数量。自2023年2月以来，该指标现在处于最低水平，进一步支持了长期硬币的叙述。

However, short-term momentum still paints a hopeful picture. The relative strength index (RSI) on the four-hour chart is showing strength, suggesting that buyers have the upper hand in this timeframe.

但是，短期势头仍然描绘了有希望的图片。四小时图表上的相对强度指数（RSI）显示出强度，这表明买家在这个时间范围内具有上风。

Additionally, Dogecoin is trading above the Ichimoku Cloud on the same chart, which could be a bullish technical signal. This indicates that the current price is within a supportive zone, although sustained sell-offs from long-term wallets could undermine this strength and trigger a swift reversal.

此外，Dogecoin在同一图表上的Ichimoku Cloud上方交易，这可能是看涨的技术信号。这表明目前的价格位于支持区域内，尽管长期钱包的持续抛售可能会破坏这种力量并迅速逆转。

Dogecoin is currently trading around $0.234, but analysts at Glass Node are eyeing $0.220 as a key level to watch. A break below this point could send the coin sliding toward $0.198, wiping out much of the recent gains.

Dogecoin目前的交易额约为0.234美元，但Glass节点的分析师将$ 0.220视为要观看的关键水平。低于此点的休息可能会使硬币滑向0.198美元，从而消除了最近的大部分收益。

With whales quietly exiting and macro sentiment turning cautious, Dogecoin’s next move will likely hinge on whether buyers can absorb this pressure — or fold under it.

随着鲸鱼悄悄地退出，宏观情绪变得谨慎，Dogecoin的下一步行动很可能会取决于买家是否可以吸收这种压力或在其下方折叠。