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阿里·马丁内斯(Ali Martinez)。更新于2025年5月17日上午12:00 PDT。
Dogecoin (DOGE) price has experienced notable turbulence over the past week, slipping by more than 11% amid broader market volatility.
在过去的一周中,Dogecoin(Doge)的价格在过去一周中经历了明显的动荡,在更广泛的市场波动中下滑了11%以上。
While short-term losses have sparked concern among retail traders, technical analysts and blockchain activity suggest that DOGE may be positioning itself for a much larger move.
尽管短期损失引起了零售商人的关注,但技术分析师和区块链活动表明,Doge可能会为更大的举动定位。
Dogecoin price analysis: Bulls await $0.225 Kijun-sen breakout
Dogecoin价格分析:公牛在等待$ 0.225 Kijun-sen Breakout
Over the past few days, Dogecoin has slipped from a local high of $0.25 to hover around the $0.2161 mark, reflecting a strong pullback after a sustained rally earlier this month.
在过去的几天中,Dogecoin从当地高点下跌0.25美元,徘徊在$ 0.2161的大约左右,反映了本月初持续的集会后的强劲回调。
Despite this decline, it has not yet invalidated the broader bullish structure that analysts have been tracking over recent months.
尽管有这种下降,但尚未使分析师在最近几个月一直在追踪的更广泛的看涨结构无效。
On the four-hour chart, DOGE is currently trading within a defined falling wedge pattern, which is widely regarded as a bullish formation when confirmed by a breakout.
在四个小时的图表上,Doge目前正在定义的掉落楔形模式中进行交易,当通过突破确认时,该图案被广泛认为是看涨的形成。
Highlighting this setup, an analyst on X has noted that Dogecoin’s price has compressed between descending resistance near $0.219 and support just above $0.212, forming a tightening range.
X上的一位分析师强调了这种设置,指出Dogecoin的价格已在降落的抵抗力接近$ 0.219和支撑量高于0.212美元之间,形成了收紧范围。
4h $DOGE FW pic.twitter.com/aBCf1y5jaO
4h $ doge fw pic.twitter.com/abcf1y5jao
— #333kByJuly2025 (@CarpeNoctom) May 17, 2025
- #333KbyJuly2025(@CarpenoCtom)2025年5月17日
This compression is also evident in the Ichimoku Cloud indicators, with the price trading in the equilibrium zone between the Kijun-sen (baseline) and Tenkan-sen (conversion line).
这种压缩在Ichimoku云指标中也很明显,在Kijun-Sen(基线)和Tenkan-Sen(转换线)之间的均衡区域价格交易。
The high-confluence support zone between $0.212 and $0.214, further bolstered by the Ichimoku Span B, has already prompted intraday rebounds, hinting at strong buyer interest.
由Ichimoku Span B进一步支持的0.212至0.214美元之间的高冲突支持区已经促使了盘中篮板,这暗示了强大的买家利息。
Conversely, resistance at the upper wedge boundary coincides with the Kijun-sen at $0.225, setting up a well-defined ceiling that needs to be breached for bullish momentum to resume.
相反,上楔边界的阻力与Kijun-Sen的限额为0.225美元,建立了一个定义明确的天花板,需要违反看涨的动量才能恢复。
Dogecoin price outlook: Towards $0.65 or deeper fib levels
Dogecoin Price Outlook:达到$ 0.65或更深的FIB水平
If Dogecoin manages a decisive four-hour candle close above $0.219, Ali Martinez believes that the coin could quickly target the previous supply zone between $0.24 and $0.26.
如果Dogecoin管理着一支果断的四小时蜡烛,则收于0.219美元以上,阿里·马丁内斯(Ali Martinez)认为,硬币可以迅速针对先前的供应区,在0.24美元至0.26美元之间。
This is a major area of resistance for #Dogecoin $DOGE. A breakout here could spark a new bull run!Don't wait for the breakout; instead, prepare for it! Go to @coinexcom, sign up using my referral link https://t.co/73n8mW9Y5p, and join me in this trade.
这是#DogeCoin $ Doge的主要阻力领域。这里的突破可能会引发新的公牛奔跑!不要等待突破。相反,准备它!转到@coinexcom,使用我的推荐链接https://t.co/73N8MW9Y5P注册,然后加入我的交易。
— Ali (@ali_charts) May 15, 2025
- 阿里(@ali_charts)2025年5月15日
However, a breakdown below the $0.205 support level would likely open the door to steeper declines, potentially revisiting the April pivot low near $0.185.
但是,低于$ 0.205的支持水平的细分可能会为更陡峭的下降打开大门,可能会重新审视4月份的低位低点,接近$ 0.185。
From a medium-term perspective, Dogecoin’s weekly chart paints a more optimistic picture, especially as the token recently closed above the Bull Market Support Band.
从中期的角度来看,Dogecoin的每周图表描绘了一个更加乐观的画面,尤其是当该令牌最近在牛市支持乐队上方关闭时。
This band, defined by the 20-week simple moving average and a two-sigma envelope, has acted as a major barrier since early February, with recent price action flipping it into provisional support.
这支乐队由20周的简单移动平均线和两个sigma的信封所定义,自2月初以来一直是主要障碍,最近的价格动作将其转变为临时支持。
Chart: Cantonese Cat
图表:广东话
Pointing out this development, analyst Cantonese Cat highlighted that a second consecutive weekly candle closing above $0.22378 would be needed to confirm a broader trend reversal.
分析师的广东话猫指出这一发展,指出,将需要连续第二次接近$ 0.22378的蜡烛来确认更广泛的趋势逆转。
Despite the pullback from $0.25, the midline of the Bollinger Bands, which overlaps with the Bull Market Support Band, remains the primary pivot point for sustained bullish follow-through.
尽管有0.25美元的回调,但与牛市支持乐队重叠的Bollinger乐队的中线仍然是持续看涨的后续行动的主要枢纽点。
This view is supported by long-term chart patterns, which suggest that Dogecoin has already completed a breakout above a multi-year descending resistance in late 2023.
这种观点得到了长期图表模式的支持,这表明Dogecoin在2023年末已经完成了超过多年下降的抵抗力的突破。
According to analyst Javon Marks, this structural change, marked by higher highs and higher lows, confirms a bullish reversal from the extended bear market that began after its 2021 peak.
根据分析师Javon Marks的说法,这种结构性变化以较高的高潮和较高的低点为特征,证实了看涨的逆转与2021年峰值之后的扩展熊市的逆转。
$DOGE and a +174% climb to its first target at $0.6533 continues to be in the cards 🃏… https://t.co/7Jt82s0jLy
$ DOGE和A +174%攀升至其第一个目标,价格为0.6533美元。
— JAVON⚡️MARKS (@JavonTM1) May 18, 2025
- Javon⚡️marks(@Javontm1)2025年5月18日
Marks also pointed out that the recent correction found support at $0.16, establishing a higher low that strengthens the case for a continued uptrend.
马克斯还指出,最近的更正发现支持为0.16美元,确立了较高的低点,从而增强了持续上升趋势的情况。
Based on these developments, Marks has maintained a projected price target of $0.6533, representing a potential 174% increase from current levels.
基于这些发展,Marks的目标价格目标为0.6533美元,这比目前的水平增加了174%。
He also noted that Dogecoin could eventually revisit its previous all-time high of $0.74 and even extend gains toward $1.25 if momentum builds and market sentiment improves.
他还指出,Dogecoin最终可以重新审视其以前的0.74美元的历史高价,甚至如果动量建立和市场情绪改善,甚至将收益延长至1.25美元。
Still, another layer of resistance remains between $
尽管如此,另一层阻力仍然在$之间
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