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这一崛起正好始于一个月前,尽管有些起伏,但它仍在稳定地稳定地攀升,以至于现在仅达到了高点的%。
Another decidedly positive day for the price of Bitcoin, which is continuing its climb towards the highs.
比特币价格的另一个非常积极的一天,它正在继续向高点攀升。
This rise started exactly a month ago, and despite some ups and downs, it is continuing to climb relatively steadily, so much so that it has now reached only -% from the highs.
这一崛起正好始于一个月前,尽管有些起伏,但它仍在稳定地稳定地攀升,以至于现在仅达到了高点的%。
The rise of Bitcoin: where will it stop?
比特币的兴起:它将在哪里停止?
After hitting the bottom of 2025 at below $75,000, in the first half of April, the price of Bitcoin had recorded a first small rebound.
在4月上半年以低于75,000美元的价格达到2025年的底部之后,比特币的价格记录了第一个小篮板。
Many analysts expected another drop by the end of the month, but instead starting from April 21, its price began to rise.
许多分析师预计到本月底会再有所下降,但是从4月21日开始,其价格开始上涨。
The bulk of the rise occurred in three moments.
大部分崛起发生在三个时刻。
The first was at the end of April, when it broke through the resistance of $85,000 and moved back to $95,000.
第一个是在4月底,当时它破坏了85,000美元的抵抗,并返回了95,000美元。
The second was just before mid-May, when it broke through the resistance at $96,000 and returned to $104,000.
第二个是在五月中旬之前的,当时它以96,000美元的价格打破了电阻,并返回了104,000美元。
The third is the one currently underway, which started on Sunday with an initial breakthrough of $104,000, then failed, and continued on Monday with a second, much more convincing breakthrough.
第三个是目前正在进行的活动,该活动从周日开始,最初的突破为104,000美元,然后失败了,并在周一继续以第二秒,更令人信服的突破。
Yesterday, to be honest, it had tried to drop back to $104,000, but as soon as it approached that figure, it registered a strong rebound that during the night then took it above $107,000.
昨天,老实说,它试图降到104,000美元,但是一旦接近该数字,它就会进行了强劲的反弹,然后在夜晚将其拿到了107,000美元以上。
The all-time highs: will Bitcoin’s latest rise help surpass them?
历史最高的高点:比特币的最新崛起有助于超越它们吗?
The current all-time high price is approximately 109,000$ reached in January.
当前的历史高价约为一月份的109,000美元。
To tell the truth, however, it is probably better to take the $108,000 reached in December as a reference, because from December to January it didn’t really rise anymore, but it moved sideways above $100,000.
然而,说实话,最好将12月的108,000美元作为参考,因为从12月到1月,它并没有真正上升,但是它的侧面超过了100,000美元。
Note that before the electoral victory of Donald Trump in November, the price was below $70,000, although at that time the all-time high was $73,000 reached in March.
请注意,在11月唐纳德·特朗普(Donald Trump)的选举胜利之前,价格低于70,000美元,尽管当时的历史最高高点为3月达到了73,000美元。
Previously, the all-time high was that of November 2021, set at $69,000.
以前,历史最高的最高点是2021年11月,定为69,000美元。
So during 2024, after the bear-market of 2022 and the rebound of 2023, initially the price of BTC updated the all-time highs, but only slightly, moving from $69,000 to $73,000.
因此,在2024年,在2022年的熊市和2023年的反弹之后,BTC的价格更新了历史新高,但只有略微从69,000美元转移到73,000美元。
Then, however, with Trump’s electoral victory, it rose for the first time in history above $100,000, only to stop at $108,000.
但是,随着特朗普的选举胜利,它在历史上首次上涨了100,000美元以上,只停止了108,000美元。
In 2025 it then updated the highs, but really by very little, going from 108,000$ to 109,000$.
在2025年,它更新了高点,但实际上很少,从108,000美元到109,000美元。
At this moment it is at $107,000, so much so that there is not only the possibility that it could update the highs, but even that it could also surpass them by a wide margin. If the current bull trend were to persist, it could end up surpassing even $110,000.
目前,它的价格为107,000美元,以至于它不仅有可能更新高点,而且甚至还可以超过它们。如果目前的牛趋势持续存在,它最终可能会超过110,000美元。
The current trend
当前趋势
The medium-term upward trend currently in place started a month ago, and in theory, it could last a while longer. In fact, medium-term trends can also last for months, at least in theory.
目前在一个月前开始的中期上升趋势,从理论上讲,它可以持续一段时间。实际上,至少在理论上,中期趋势也可以持续数月。
Generally, in the years following the USA presidential elections, the bull runs last about 12 months, but never with a single rise.
通常,在美国总统大选之后的几年中,公牛持续了大约12个月,但绝不会增加。
This time too, it made an initial climb, lasting about a month and a half, just after the presidential elections, and now it is making another one.
这次也是在总统大选之后大约一个半月的初步攀登,现在又持续了另一个。
If the ongoing rise were to stop near $109,000, it could not be considered a continuation of the one at the end of 2024, but only a rebound after the correction in March and April. However, medium-term trends rarely last only a month, so there is still room for a further rise, at least in theory.
如果持续的上升是在109,000美元接近$ 109,000的接近$中,则不能在2024年底将其视为延续,而是在3月和4月的更正后的反弹。但是,中期趋势很少持续一个月,因此至少在理论上,仍然有进一步上升的空间。
The strength of the dollar
美元的实力
Supporting this rise is certainly the weakening of the dollar.
支持这一上升无疑是美元的削弱。
It should be remembered that in the medium/long term the price of Bitcoin tends to be inversely correlated with the trend of the Dollar Index, so it is not surprising at all that it is rising now that DXY has fallen.
应该记住的是,在中/长期的情况下,比特币的价格往往与美元指数趋势成反比,因此,由于DXY下降,它的上涨也就不足为奇了。
To tell the truth, at the end of 2024 both have risen, but in the short or medium-short term, the inverse correlation can easily break.
说实话,在2024年底都已经上升,但是在短期或中短期内,反相关很容易破裂。
The fact is that the decline of the Dollar Index during 202
事实是,202年美元指数的下降
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