BitMEX 前首席执行官预测加密货币反弹

加密货币专家阿瑟·海耶斯 (Arthur Hayes) 预计，比特币在近期下跌后将会上涨。海耶斯将市场低迷归因于美国纳税季节和美联储行动的不确定性等因素，但认为抛售是市场清理所必需的。他预计，由于美联储的量化紧缩和美国财政部的发债计划，美元流动性增加将推动比特币价格飙升，这将稳定负面的价格走势，并促进比特币的逐步上涨。

Cryptocurrency Market Poised for Rebound, Predicts Former BitMEX CEO

BitMEX 前首席执行官预测加密货币市场将反弹

Jakarta, 7th May 2022 - The cryptocurrency market has once again been presented with significant predictions from Arthur Hayes, one of the leading experts in the field. Hayes, the founder and former CEO of the BitMEX crypto exchange, shared his insights on the future price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) in a blog post published on Friday.

雅加达，2022 年 5 月 7 日 - 该领域领先专家之一 Arthur Hayes 再次对加密货币市场做出了重大预测。 BitMEX 加密货币交易所创始人兼前首席执行官 Hayes 在周五发布的一篇博文中分享了他对比特币 (BTC) 未来价格走势的见解。

Hayes, renowned for his astute analysis, believes that Bitcoin may have bottomed out and is poised to resume its upward trajectory in the coming days. He attributes the recent market downturn to a combination of factors, including the United States tax season, uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve actions, and "sell-the-news" events related to Bitcoin's halving.

海耶斯以其敏锐的分析而闻名，他认为比特币可能已经触底，并准备在未来几天恢复上升轨迹。他将最近的市场低迷归因于多种因素，包括美国纳税季节、美联储行动的不确定性以及与比特币减半相关的“抛售新闻”事件。

"Everything that happens is just a much-needed 'market cleaning'," Hayes wrote in his blog post.

海耶斯在他的博客文章中写道：“所发生的一切只是一次急需的‘市场清理’。”

The former BitMEX chief believes that after the recent capitulation of sellers, it is the turn of the cryptocurrency market to rally. He envisions a surge driven by two key factors: an increase in dollar liquidity and a decrease in quantitative easing.

这位前 BitMEX 首席执行官认为，在最近卖家投降之后，现在轮到加密货币市场反弹了。他预计这一增长将由两个关键因素推动：美元流动性的增加和量化宽松政策的减少。

According to Hayes' analysis, the Federal Reserve's quantitative tightening (QT) and the U.S. Treasury Department's debt issuance plan will result in an increase in dollar liquidity. This liquidity is expected to flow into risky assets such as cryptocurrencies, creating buying pressure and fueling price increases.

海耶斯分析称，美联储的量化紧缩（QT）和美国财政部的发债计划将导致美元流动性增加。这种流动性预计将流入加密货币等风险资产，从而造成购买压力并推动价格上涨。

Hayes highlights that the Fed's reduction in QT from $95 billion to $60 billion per month will inject $35 billion of dollar liquidity into the market each month. He believes this will arrest the downward price action and pave the way for Bitcoin's gradual but sustained upward movement.

海耶斯强调，美联储将 QT 从每月 950 亿美元削减至 600 亿美元，将为市场每月注入 350 亿美元的美元流动性。他认为这将阻止价格下跌，并为比特币逐步但持续的上涨铺平道路。

Hayes' optimistic outlook is not an isolated view. Dr. Jeff Ross, founder and CEO of Vailshire Capital Management, also believes that Bitcoin's bull run may not have run its course. In a social media post on May 2, Ross argued that analysts may be underestimating the potential for Bitcoin's bullish momentum to continue.

海耶斯的乐观前景并非孤立的观点。 Vailshire Capital Management 创始人兼首席执行官 Jeff Ross 博士也认为，比特币的牛市可能尚未走到尽头。罗斯在 5 月 2 日的社交媒体帖子中表示，分析师可能低估了比特币看涨势头持续的潜力。

However, it is important to note that Bitcoin's price has not yet shown any significant signs of recovery. According to Coinecko data, Bitcoin has risen by 2.9% over the past 24 hours, trading at $59,279 (approximately IDR 890 million). Despite this uptick, it remains around 10% below its value a month ago.

然而，值得注意的是，比特币的价格尚未显示出任何明显的复苏迹象。根据 Coinecko 数据，比特币在过去 24 小时内上涨了 2.9%，交易价格为 59,279 美元（约合 8.9 亿印尼盾）。尽管有所上升，但仍比一个月前的价格低 10% 左右。