加密货币市场情绪处于一年多以来的最低点，比特币仍徘徊在 60,000 美元大关附近

加密货币市场情绪处于一年多以来的最低点，比特币仍徘徊在 60,000 美元大关附近。

Bitcoin has been trading within a narrow range for the past few weeks, and analysts are now searching for catalysts that could drive the price to new all-time highs. However, nothing seems to be working for Bitcoin at the moment.

过去几周，比特币一直在窄幅波动，分析师现在正在寻找可能推动价格升至历史新高的催化剂。然而，目前似乎没有什么对比特币有效。

After failing to break through the $64,000 resistance level, Bitcoin has fallen below this range and is now retesting the lower boundary, which was previously a support level and has now become resistance. One important level to watch is $58,400, which marks the first major all-time high in February 2021. Bitcoin is currently trading near this level.

在未能突破 64,000 美元阻力位后，比特币已跌破该区间，目前正在重新测试下限，该下限此前是支撑位，现在已成为阻力位。值得关注的一个重要水平是 58,400 美元，这是 2021 年 2 月的第一个主要历史高点。比特币目前交易在该水平附近。

The next 28 days are crucial as the monthly close will determine future price direction. According to the analyst, until a “circuit breaker” occurs, this downtrend may continue. However, given the upcoming election and other major macro events, Q4 usually sees better market conditions. We might need to bear a few more weeks of choppy markets, but the analyst believes we could see a rise in activity and volume as Q4 begins.

接下来的 28 天至关重要，因为月度收盘价将决定未来的价格走向。分析师表示，在“熔断”发生之前，这种下跌趋势可能会持续下去。然而，考虑到即将到来的大选和其他重大宏观事件，第四季度通常会看到更好的市场状况。我们可能需要再承受几周的波动市场，但分析师认为，随着第四季度的开始，我们可能会看到活动和交易量的增加。

Many retail investors have exited the market, and it still remains unclear when they will return. The analyst observed that Bitcoin flows have been negative recently, contributing to its price drop. Interestingly, Bitcoin has moved away from its usual pattern of following tech stocks. While the NASDAQ has continued to rise, Bitcoin has lost some of its gains. This might seem concerning, but when you look at the bigger picture, it’s less worrying. After a strong rally following the ETF news, Bitcoin is naturally cooling off.

许多散户已经离场，何时回归仍不明朗。该分析师观察到，最近比特币的流动量为负，导致其价格下跌。有趣的是，比特币已经摆脱了追随科技股的通常模式。虽然纳斯达克持续上涨，但比特币却失去了部分涨幅。这似乎令人担忧，但当你放眼全局时，就不那么令人担忧了。在 ETF 消息引发的强劲反弹之后，比特币自然开始降温。

According to Miles, Bitcoin’s current price movements are very similar to what happened in the summer of 2021. While history doesn’t always repeat, these similarities could mean that Bitcoin and the crypto market might see major gains in the last quarter of 2024.

Miles 表示，比特币当前的价格走势与 2021 年夏天发生的情况非常相似。虽然历史并不总是重演，但这些相似之处可能意味着比特币和加密市场可能会在 2024 年最后一个季度出现大幅上涨。