加密货币研究负责人认为比特币（BTC）将在未来几个月内看到“精彩的”上行波动走势

加密货币经纪公司 FalconX 的研究主管认为，未来几个月，比特币（BTC）将卷土重来，出现巨大的上行波动。

The head of research at crypto brokerage firm FalconX is predicting big upside volatile moves for Bitcoin (BTC) in the coming months.

加密货币经纪公司 FalconX 的研究主管预测，未来几个月比特币（BTC）将出现大幅上行波动。

David Lawant says on social media platform X that the current discount on the Coinbase BTC premium is reminiscent of August 2023 conditions when Bitcoin was trading at around $25,00<_0_>00 before igniting a rally to record highs close to $74,000.

David Lawant 在社交媒体平台 X 上表示，目前 Coinbase BTC 溢价的折扣让人想起 2023 年 8 月的情况，当时比特币的交易价格约为 25,00<_0_>00 美元，然后引发反弹至接近 74,000 美元的历史高位。

“Always darkest before the dawn?

“黎明前总是最黑暗的？

According to my calculations, the last time the Coinbase premium was this negative was a couple of months before the massive rally from Oct 2023 to March 2024.”

根据我的计算，Coinbase 溢价上次出现如此负数是在 2023 年 10 月至 2024 年 3 月大幅上涨之前的几个月。”

The Coinbase Bitcoin premium index tracks the percentage difference between the price of BTC on Coinbase Pro and its price on the crypto exchange Binance. Coinbase primarily serves US customers, including large institutions while Binance caters to a more global customer base.

Coinbase 比特币溢价指数追踪 Coinbase Pro 上的 BTC 价格与其在加密货币交易所 Binance 上的价格之间的百分比差异。 Coinbase 主要服务于美国客户，包括大型机构，而 Binance 则服务于更全球化的客户群。

A deeply discounted Coinbase premium index indicates weak buying pressure from US investors, a condition that has coincided with Bitcoin price bottoms in the past.

Coinbase 溢价指数大幅折扣表明美国投资者的购买压力较弱，这种情况与过去比特币价格触底的情况一致。

According to Lawant, the next few months will likely see Bitcoin soar to new heights as he believes US investors will eventually return and bid on BTC.

Lawant 表示，未来几个月比特币可能会飙升至新的高度，因为他相信美国投资者最终将回归并竞购 BTC。

“Something tells me the next six-12 months will be splendid – and probably volatile. Let’s see!”

“有迹象表明，接下来的 6 到 12 个月将会非常美好，但也可能会很不稳定。让我们来看看！”

Last month, macro guru Raoul Pal said that crypto is inching closer toward the “Banana Zone” or a period of sustained uptrend for digital assets. He noted that politicians tend to “hand out candy” in the form of stimulus packages during elections, leading to higher inflation and in turn, higher prices for Bitcoin and crypto.

上个月，宏观大师 Raoul Pal 表示，加密货币正在慢慢接近“香蕉区”，即数字资产持续上升趋势的时期。他指出，政客们倾向于在选举期间以经济刺激计划的形式“发放糖果”，从而导致通胀上升，进而推高比特币和加密货币的价格。

“Look, the backend quarter of an election year is true banana zone for all assets. It always is. So you know that you’ve got a very, very, very high probability that by autumn things are utterly ripping.

“看，选举年的最后一个季度对所有资产来说都是真正的香蕉区。总是如此。所以你知道，到了秋天，事情将彻底崩溃的可能性非常非常高。

I mean, how long before ETH, Bitcoin [and] SOL break their recent highs? It could be two weeks. It could be two months. It doesn’t really matter, but then it accelerates.”

我的意思是，ETH、比特币 [和] SOL 还要多久才能突破近期高点？可能要两周。可能要两个月。这并不重要，但随后它会加速。”

At time of writing, Bitcoin is valued at $62,063.

截至撰写本文时，比特币的价值为 62,063 美元。