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下周对于加密市场至关重要,因为来自美国的几项重大经济更新。市场参与者正在关注即将到来的四月
Several major U.S. economic updates are due in the coming week, which could be crucial for the crypto market as several major U.S. economic updates are due.
下周将在美国加密市场至关重要的情况下进行几项主要的美国经济更新,这对于美国的几项主要经济更新至关重要。
Attention will be focused on the April PCE inflation report and the meeting minutes from the Fed. The expected data could influence market opinions amid concerns about inflation, interest rates, and ongoing trade issues.
注意将集中在四月的PCE通货膨胀报告和美联储的会议记录上。预期的数据可能会影响到通货膨胀,利率和持续贸易问题的担忧。
The PCE inflation report, set to be released on Monday, May 30, is anticipated to influence the direction of the market this week. According to median forecasts compiled by Dow Jones and The Wall Street Journal, the core PCE index, which excludes food and energy prices, is expected to remain at 2.6% year-over-year. On a monthly basis, the core index is forecast to show a 0.1% increase.
PCE通货膨胀报告定于5月30日星期一发布,预计将影响本周的市场方向。根据道琼斯和华尔街日报汇编的中位预测,排除食品和能源价格的核心PCE指数预计将保持同比的2.6%。预计核心指数每月显示0.1%。
The headline PCE index, which includes all components, is projected to ease slightly to 2.2% from 2.3% in March. On a monthly basis, it is forecast to rise 0.1%. Personal income is expected to grow by 0.3% in April. Personal spending is seen slowing to 0.2% from the 0.7% increase in March.
包括所有组件的标题PCE指数预计将从三月份的2.3%轻松降至2.2%。每月一次,预计将上升0.1%。个人收入预计将在4月增长0.3%。个人支出从3月增加的0.7%降低到0.2%。
Traders and analysts will be closely examining these figures. The Federal Reserve uses the PCE index as its preferred measure of inflation. A worse-than-expected result might put pressure on the Fed to lower interest rates before the year ends.
交易者和分析师将密切研究这些数字。美联储将PCE指数用作其首选通货膨胀措施。比预期的结果更糟糕的结果可能会给美联储在年底之前降低利率。
However, any surprise to the upside could encourage the Fed to stay cautious. Following last month’s decline in spending and retail sales, the inflation numbers are anticipated to remain around current levels.
但是,上升空间的任何惊喜都可以鼓励美联储保持谨慎。在上个月的支出和零售销售下降之后,预计通货膨胀率将保持在目前的水平附近。
The Cleveland Fed Nowcast model also supports expectations of a steady core reading. However, uncertainty around supply chains and geopolitical events could still influence the final results. Therefore, markets may react sharply if the actual data diverges significantly from expectations.
克利夫兰美联储现有模型还支持对稳定核心阅读的期望。但是,供应链和地缘政治事件的不确定性仍然可能影响最终结果。因此,如果实际数据与预期明显不同,市场可能会急剧做出反应。
On Monday, May 29, the Federal Reserve is set to release the minutes from its May FOMC meeting. While the meeting concluded with no change to interest rates, traders will be studying the tone of the minutes and any comments made by Fed officials regarding the economic outlook.
5月29日,星期一,美联储将从5月的FOMC会议上发布会议记录。虽然会议结束时没有利率的变化,但交易者将研究会议记录的基调以及美联储官员对经济前景的任何评论。
Since the last meeting, several Fed officials have maintained a cautious stance. Most have noted that the progress on inflation has been slower than anticipated, rendering it too early to begin cutting rates. The minutes could reveal whether some policymakers advocated for a more aggressive approach or preferred to keep the policy constant for an extended period.
自上次会议以来,几位美联储官员保持了谨慎的立场。大多数人指出,通货膨胀的进度比预期的要慢,使其开始降低率还为时过早。会议记录可以揭示一些政策制定者是否主张采取更具侵略性的方法,还是更喜欢在长期内保持政策稳定。
The yield on Treasuries has been increasing recently as investors express concerns about debt. The House approval of a large budget bill, which is expected to increase spending by $4 trillion, has caused long-term yields to rise. Fed officials’ worries about fiscal measures might lead to further changes in the bond and currency markets.
由于投资者对债务表示关注,最近国库的收益率一直在增加。众议院的一项大型预算法案的批准预计将使支出增加4万亿美元,已导致长期收益率上升。美联储官员对财政措施的担忧可能会导致债券和货币市场的进一步变化。
Bitcoin has been facing pressure in recent days, with its value currently trading at $107,592.26 after reaching a higher level earlier in the month. As President Trump announced plans to raise the tariff on EU goods to 50% and schedule it for June 1, the stock market experienced another decline.
比特币最近几天一直面临压力,其价值目前的交易价格为107,592.26美元,此前又达到了本月初的较高水平。当特朗普总统宣布将欧盟商品关税提高到50%并安排6月1日的计划时,股票市场又下降了。
The possibility of higher tariffs led many investors to sell off their risk holdings, including cryptocurrencies. The global uncertainty caused Bitcoin to behave more like a risky asset, dropping significantly, although it is usually seen as a hedge. Other digital assets, such as Ethereum, fell alongside Bitcoin.
较高关税的可能性导致许多投资者出售其风险持有,包括加密货币。全球不确定性导致比特币的行为更像是一种风险的资产,尽管通常被视为树篱,但比特币大幅下降。其他数字资产,例如以太坊,与比特币并肩作战。
Technical analysts are keeping an eye on crucial support levels. There is strong support for Bitcoin at $107,252 and $106,080. If these levels are breached, the price could move towards the next target at approximately $104,145. On the plus side, there is some support at around $110,282 and another level at $111,877.
技术分析师一直在关注关键支持水平。对比特币的支持为$ 107,252和106,080美元。如果这些水平被违反,价格可能会以大约104,145美元的价格朝下一个目标转移。从好的方面来说,有一些支持约为110,282美元,另一个级别为111,877美元。
Despite the recent fall, Bitcoin's fundamentals remain strong, with a market capitalization of over $2.15 trillion. However, near-term sentiment is being shaped by macroeconomic developments, including trade policy and interest rate expectations.
尽管最近下降,比特币的基本面仍然很强大,市值超过2.1.5万亿美元。但是,近期情绪正在受宏观经济发展的影响,包括贸易政策和利率期望。
While long-term interest in the crypto market from institutions remains high, short-term positioning may shift based on economic updates. This week’s PCE inflation report and Fed minutes may provide new clues on the timing of a potential rate cut, which would affect risk appetite.
尽管来自机构的加密市场的长期兴趣仍然很高,但短期定位可能会根据经济更新而发生变化。本周的PCE通货膨胀报告和美联储会议记录可能会提供有关降低潜在税率时机的新线索,这将影响风险偏好。
Equity markets have already shown signs of caution. The US Dollar Index has weakened, reflecting some expectation that the Fed may eventually ease policy. However, with long-dated Treasury yields rising and debt worries increasing, volatility may persist.
股票市场已经显示出谨慎的迹象。美元指数削弱了,这反映了人们对美联储最终可能会缓解政策的期望。但是,随着长期的财政部的产量增加,债务的担忧增加,波动率可能会持续下去。
A large volume of trades in crypto markets indicate that institutional investors are still participating. Nevertheless, many financial funds might defer making any moves until they analyze Friday’s data. A high inflation report might trigger a new round of selling in the digital currency space as well as in other risky investments.
加密市场的大量交易表明,机构投资者仍在参与。然而,在分析周五的数据之前,许多财务基金可能会推迟采取任何行动。高通货膨胀报告可能会引发数字货币领域以及其他风险投资的新一轮销售。
If the Fed’s minutes do not appear dovish, it could postpone rate decisions for
如果美联储的分钟不恰当,它可能会推迟比率的决定
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