卡尔达诺（ADA）价格分析和预测：分析师警告称，修正尚未结束

据加密货币分析师 Nick Regan 称，卡尔达诺的 ADA 代币最近有所下跌，自 12 月 24 日以来价值下跌了 10.52%。

Crypto analyst Nick Regan has observed a decline in Cardano’s ADA token, with a 10.52% loss since December 24. His analysis examines short-term and long-term price movements, highlighting key ADA price levels and potential trends.

加密货币分析师 Nick Regan 观察到 Cardano 的 ADA 代币下跌，自 12 月 24 日以来下跌了 10.52%。他的分析考察了短期和长期价格走势，强调了关键的 ADA 价格水平和潜在趋势。

At press time, ADA trades at $0.8713, showing a 3.70% dip in the last 24 hours and a 10.06% decrease over the past week, according to CoinGecko data. This analysis aims to provide insights into ADA’s immediate and future price trajectories.

根据 CoinGecko 数据，截至发稿时，ADA 交易价格为 0.8713 美元，过去 24 小时内下跌 3.70%，过去一周下跌 10.06%。该分析旨在深入了解 ADA 的当前和未来价格轨迹。

Cardano Technicals Hint at Further Downside

卡尔达诺技术面暗示进一步下行

Regan’s technical analysis suggests a continuation of the downward trend. On the 1-hour chart, support is at $0.7620, with resistance near the 50 EMA and 50 SMA. Previously established support levels are now turning into resistance, indicating bearish momentum.

里根的技术分析表明下降趋势将持续。 1小时图上，支撑位在0.7620美元，阻力位在50均线和50均线附近。先前建立的支撑位现已转变为阻力位，表明看跌势头。

The Fibonacci retracement tool pinpoints potential short-term targets between $0.7890 and $0.8183. Regan anticipates another downward move before stabilization, stating,

斐波那契回撤工具精确定位了 0.7890 美元至 0.8183 美元之间的潜在短期目标。里根预计在稳定之前会再次下跌，他表示，

“This pull to the downside is not yet complete. I anticipate another run lower before we see stabilization.”

“这种下行趋势尚未完成。我预计在我们看到稳定之前还会出现下跌。”

Momentum indicators, like the MACD histogram, show increasing volume but suggest a likely rejection near the resistance zones. Overbought momentum conditions further support the potential for additional corrections.

动量指标（如 MACD 柱状图）显示成交量增加，但表明阻力区附近可能会遭到拒绝。超买动量状况进一步支持了进一步修正的可能性。

A Strategic Opportunity: Shorting ADA

战略机遇：做空 ADA

The analysis presents a shorting strategy for traders, suggesting entering a short position near $0.8818, with a stop loss at $0.9260 and a target at $0.8140. This aligns with Fibonacci levels and momentum indicators, according to Regan.

该分析为交易者提供了做空策略，建议在 0.8818 美元附近建立空头头寸，止损为 0.9260 美元，目标为 0.8140 美元。里根表示，这与斐波那契水平和动量指标一致。

ADA is in the corrective phase of a larger downward move, as per Regan. The anticipated five-wave structure is expected to complete before a potential upswing begins.

根据 Regan 的说法，ADA 正处于更大幅度下跌的修正阶段。预期的五浪结构预计将在潜在的上涨开始之前完成。

Also Read: Expert Charts XRP’s Price Path to $8.67 – Here’s the Outlook

另请阅读：专家绘制 XRP 价格走势至 8.67 美元——展望如下

Long-Term Projections and Risks

长期预测和风险

On a daily time frame, ADA appears to be in Wave 2 of a larger Wave 5 structure.

在每日时间范围内，ADA 似乎处于更大的第 5 波结构的第 2 波中。

Regan’s analysis projects a target range between $1.51 and $1.88, contingent on breaking critical Fibonacci levels at $1.38 and $1.67. A failure to surpass $2.27 could result in a diagonal price structure, which might lead to prolonged volatility.

Regan 的分析预计目标区间为 1.51 美元至 1.88 美元，具体取决于突破关键斐波那契水平 1.38 美元至 1.67 美元。如果未能超过 2.27 美元，可能会导致对角线价格结构，从而导致长期波动。

“Failing to hit $2.27 puts us in a diagonal pattern—an emotional roller coaster for Cardano fans,” he noted.

“未能达到 2.27 美元会让我们陷入对角线模式——对于卡尔达诺粉丝来说，就像坐过山车一样，”他指出。

While the immediate outlook for ADA points to further declines, the long-term view suggests a potential recovery toward higher price levels. Watching critical resistance zones and assessing the price action for signs of a breakout above $1.67 to confirm bullish momentum will be key.

虽然 ADA 的近期前景表明价格将进一步下跌，但长期观点表明价格可能会回升至更高水平。观察关键阻力区并评估价格走势，寻找突破 1.67 美元上方的迹象，以确认看涨势头将是关键。

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