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著名的加密货币分析师 Dan Gambardello 将卡尔达诺当前的市场行为与其历史模式进行了比较。

Prominent crypto analyst Dan Gambardello has drawn parallels between Cardano’s current market behavior and its historical patterns, suggesting that ADA’s prolonged sideways movement might be nearing its end.
著名加密货币分析师 Dan Gambardello 将卡尔达诺当前的市场行为与其历史模式进行了比较,表明 ADA 的长期横盘整理可能已接近尾声。
Despite Bitcoin’s approach toward all-time highs, Cardano’s apparent stagnation at 88% below its peak has raised concerns among investors, who eagerly await the next bull cycle.
尽管比特币接近历史新高,但卡尔达诺明显停滞在低于峰值 88% 的水平,引起了投资者的担忧,他们热切等待下一个牛市周期。
Cardano's Historical Patterns Signal Potential Breakout
卡尔达诺的历史模式预示着潜在的突破
In his latest video analysis, Gambardello closely examines Cardano’s performance in the previous cycle, specifically focusing on the October-November 2020 period before ADA’s major breakout.
Gambardello 在最新的视频分析中仔细研究了卡尔达诺在上一个周期的表现,特别关注 ADA 重大突破之前的 2020 年 10 月至 11 月期间。
He highlights the significance of comparing Bitcoin’s and Cardano's movements in relation to their respective all-time highs.
他强调了将比特币和卡尔达诺的走势与其各自的历史高点进行比较的重要性。
Cardano's 'Boring' Phase Ends HERE (Watch ADA Closely!)Intro 00:00Bitcoin OS news 1:05Cardano has been here before 3:10Bitcoin vs. Cardano 5:45Pay attention to this ADA move 6:45 pic.twitter.com/UmTf9RglqR
卡尔达诺的“无聊”阶段在此结束(密切关注 ADA!)介绍 00:00 比特币操作系统新闻 1:05卡尔达诺之前就已经出现过 3:10 比特币 vs. 卡尔达诺 5:45 注意 ADA 的举动 6:45 pic.twitter.com/UmTf9RglqR
Gambardello's analysis begins with a striking observation: while Bitcoin is trading at a loss of around 20% from its all-time high, Cardano is still down approximately 88%.
Gambardello 的分析始于一个惊人的观察:虽然比特币的交易价格较历史高点下跌了约 20%,但卡尔达诺仍下跌了约 88%。
He notes that during the last cycle, Bitcoin demonstrated a similar behavior, slowly grinding up toward new highs while other altcoins like ADA remained significantly below their peaks.
他指出,在上一个周期中,比特币表现出了类似的行为,慢慢升至新高,而 ADA 等其他山寨币仍明显低于峰值。
“Bitcoin higher highs, higher lows, approaching all-time high, Cardano down still like 88%. If you look at ADA on the weekly, it is going to shock everybody once again. This is the key.”
“比特币的高点更高,低点更高,接近历史高点,卡尔达诺仍下跌 88%。如果你看看每周的 ADA,你会再次震惊所有人。这就是关键。”
As Bitcoin approached new all-time highs in the previous cycle, ADA price action on the weekly is setting up for another move.
随着比特币在上一个周期接近历史新高,ADA 每周的价格走势正在为另一波走势做好准备。
The analyst's attention is also drawn to the recent Bitcoin OS announcement, which was even shared by Charles Hoskinson, who described it as “probably the biggest news item Cardano has ever had.” He added,
这位分析师的注意力还被最近的比特币操作系统公告所吸引,查尔斯·霍斯金森 (Charles Hoskinson) 也分享了这一消息,他称其“可能是卡尔达诺有史以来最大的新闻”。他补充说,
“A 1.3 trillion dollar opportunity all accessible using BTC as gas – Bitcoiners won’t even know they’re using ADA.”
“1.3 万亿美元的机会都可以使用 BTC 作为天然气来获得——比特币用户甚至不知道他们正在使用 ADA。”
He suggested that this integration could be more important than the anticipated USDC integration, which might provide a short-term boost, while the Bitcoin OS integration represents a fundamental long-term development for the Cardano ecosystem.
他表示,这种整合可能比预期的 USDC 整合更重要,后者可能会带来短期的推动,而比特币操作系统的整合则代表了卡尔达诺生态系统的根本性长期发展。
“People are excited about USDC, and it will help in the short term, but I think something like this is much bigger for the ecosystem as a whole, and it will integrate Bitcoiners into the Cardano chain.”
“人们对 USDC 感到兴奋,它在短期内会有所帮助,但我认为这样的事情对于整个生态系统来说要大得多,它将把比特币用户整合到卡尔达诺链中。”
Gambardello further elaborated on the weekly chart, identifying several bullish indicators that are aligning with previous cycle patterns:
Gambardello 进一步阐述了周线图,确定了与之前周期模式一致的几个看涨指标:
The analyst noted that during the last cycle, ADA was down approximately 90% before breaking above the 20-week moving average.
该分析师指出,在上一个周期中,ADA 在突破 20 周移动平均线之前下跌了约 90%。
This breakout was followed by a month of volatile trading above this crucial level, eventually leading to significant price appreciation.
此次突破之后,在这一关键水平之上进行了一个月的波动交易,最终导致价格大幅上涨。
Highlighting the potential for further gains in the upcoming cycle, he stated, “If you’re prepared for something like this, it doesn’t matter if it happens or not. But if it does happen, you’re ready to go.”
他强调了下一个周期中进一步收益的潜力,他表示:“如果你为这样的事情做好了准备,那么它是否发生并不重要。但如果真的发生了,你就准备好了。”
Cardano Shows Modest 2% Rise in 24 hours
卡尔达诺 24 小时内小幅上涨 2%
At press time, Cardano (ADA) holds the 12th position in market capitalization. ADA was trading at $0.3554 with a 2.2% increase in the last 24 hours.
截至发稿时,卡尔达诺(ADA)市值排名第 12 位。 ADA 交易价格为 0.3554 美元,过去 24 小时内上涨 2.2%。
However, the cryptocurrency has experienced a 7.5% decline over the past 30 days. ADA was also down from its all-time high of $3.09, recorded on September 2, 2021. As per the latest data, ADA is currently down by 88.5% from that peak.
然而,加密货币在过去 30 天内下跌了 7.5%。 ADA 也较 2021 年 9 月 2 日记录的历史高点 3.09 美元有所下降。根据最新数据,ADA 目前较该峰值下跌了 88.5%。
While Gambardello maintains a bullish outlook based on these technical and fundamental factors, he emphasizes the importance of preparation rather than certainty.
虽然甘巴德洛基于这些技术和基本面因素保持看涨前景,但他强调准备的重要性而不是确定性。
“There’s no guarantee that this will repeat. But isn’t it a good idea to be prepared for it? We’re prepared either way.”
“不能保证这种情况会重演。但为此做好准备不是一个好主意吗?不管怎样,我们都做好了准备。”
The analyst’s comparison between current market conditions and the previous cycle suggests that Cardano might be approaching a major turning point.
分析师对当前市场状况与上一个周期的比较表明,卡尔达诺可能正在接近一个重大转折点。
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