Bone ShibaSwap（BONE）理论：能否成为未来的领跑者？

Shiba 生态系统的代币 BONE ShibaSwap (BONE) 最近在排行榜上名列前茅。 BONE 的价格在社交媒体上引起了广泛关注

Shiba Inu’s [SHIB] Bone ShibaSwap (BONE) has been garnering attention on social media, with many speculating on its future price movements.

Shiba Inu 的 [SHIB] Bone ShibaSwap (BONE) 一直在社交媒体上引起关注，许多人猜测其未来的价格走势。

On X, a trader and investor with a massive fan following known as @$SHIB KNIGHT speculated 5x gains to the $2.5 mark. The target set by the trader is equivalent to its all-time high ever, which he called a possible second wave pump (DYOR).

在 X 上，一位拥有大量粉丝的交易员和投资者 @$SHIB KNIGHT 推测收益为 5 倍，达到 2.5 美元大关。交易员设定的目标相当于历史最高点，他称之为可能的第二波泵（DYOR）。

Lets delve and dig into some theory, where BONE could be the top runner of the future!

让我们深入研究一些理论，BONE 可能成为未来的领跑者！

What is Bone ShibaSwap (BONE)?

什么是 Bone ShibaSwap (BONE)？

ShibaSwap (BONE) is the governance token for Shibaswap DEX. BONE happens to have a cheap gas fee on Shibarium.

ShibaSwap (BONE) 是 Shibaswap DEX 的治理代币。 BONE 恰好在 Shibarium 上有便宜的 Gas 费。

According to CoinMarketcap, 250 Million BONE is the max supply. Out of that, the floating supply is 229 Million BONE (91.97%).

根据 CoinMarketcap 的数据，最大供应量为 2.5 亿 BONE。其中，浮动供应量为 2.29 亿 BONE (91.97%)。

As per Coincarp, the number of holders had grown massively by December 2023. However, in 2024, the growth is stagnating above 95K, where, as of writing, its holders count stands at 95482.

根据 Coincarp 的数据，到 2023 年 12 月，持有者数量大幅增长。然而，到 2024 年，增长停滞在 9.5 万以上，截至撰写本文时，持有者数量为 95482 人。

Similarly, the rich list signified that the top 100 holds the most of the floating supply with 66.34% in total, and the top 10 holds 43.43%. Meanwhile, the ace address among the list holds 9.61% standalone, and the richest address with the quantity he held was 24 Million.

同样，从富豪榜来看，前100名富豪占据了最大的浮动供应量，合计占比为66.34%，前10名则占据了43.43%。同时，榜单中的王牌地址独立持仓量为9.61%，最富有地址的持仓量为2400万。

On-chain Data

链上数据

Based on Messari, the TVL has plummeted from a $39 Million peak to $20.82 Million, with a price.

根据 Messari 的说法，TVL 已从 3900 万美元的峰值暴跌至 2082 万美元，这是有代价的。

Similarly, its Telegram user base has dipped from nearly 100K to the current 85.35K; despite a major drawdown, X followers stayed constant at 3.88 Million.

同样，其 Telegram 用户群也从近 10 万下降至目前的 8.535 万；尽管 X 粉丝数量大幅减少，但仍保持在 388 万。

Per the Santiment chart, its active addresses have shaken its active addresses too. Where the 30-day average active addresses were 4203, which was above 12K 90 days back on April 1st.

根据 Santiment 图表，其活跃地址也发生了动摇。其中 30 天平均活跃地址为 4203 个，在 4 月 1 日的 90 天前超过 12K。

BONE Price Analysis

BONE 价格分析

BONE has been trapped in a falling wedge for a prolonged span, where the range is concentrated. It has recently taken support from the lower border of the wedge, and struggled near the 50-day EMA.

BONE 长期陷入下降楔形，范围集中。近期受到楔形下边界的支撑，并在50日均线附近挣扎。

Once the price surpasses both EMAs, a long term bullish move would be anticipated. At press time, BONE was trading at $0.4788, with the market cap ranking of 343rd at $110.2 Million.

一旦价格超过两个均线，预计将出现长期看涨走势。截至发稿，BONE 交易价格为 0.4788 美元，市值排名第 343 位，市值为 1.102 亿美元。

Conclusion

结论

BONE price has been on a downhill since April 1, as on-chain metrics like active addresses and Telegram users also depicted a bearish trend. However, its X followers remained largely unaffected by the price dips.

自 4 月 1 日以来，BONE 价格一直在下跌，因为活跃地址和 Telegram 用户等链上指标也呈现看跌趋势。然而，其 X 追随者基本上没有受到价格下跌的影响。

With the price recently taking support from the lower boundary of the falling wedge and showing signs of recovery, some speculated that BONE could be set for a bullish rally. However, a breakout from the upper boundary would be necessary for a sustained uptrend to occur.

随着价格最近受到下降楔形下限的支撑并显示出复苏的迹象，一些人猜测 BONE 可能会迎来看涨反弹。然而，要出现持续的上升趋势，就必须突破上限。