Bitfinex，比特币和$ 116K：导航电阻

比特币的挣扎接近$ 116K是值得关注的关键水平，例如美联储的速率决策和第四季度的季节性即将到来。

Bitfinex, Bitcoin, and $116k: Navigating the Resistance

Bitfinex，比特币和$ 116K：导航电阻

Bitcoin is currently wrestling with resistance around the $116,000 mark, a level identified by Bitfinex analysts as crucial for any further upward momentum. This comes as the market eagerly awaits the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, creating a cocktail of uncertainty and anticipation.

比特币目前正在以$ 116,000的抵抗力搏斗，这是Bitfinex分析师确定的水平，这对于任何进一步的向上势头至关重要。这是因为市场热切地等待美联储的利率决定，创造了不确定性和预期的鸡尾酒。

The $116k Hurdle: Bitfinex's Perspective

$ 116K的障碍：Bitfinex的观点

According to Bitfinex analysts, Bitcoin's inability to decisively reclaim $116,000 is a significant headwind. Since hitting an all-time high of $124,100 on August 14th, Bitcoin's strength has waned, and the price now hovers below the cost basis of many recent buyers who jumped in between $108,000 and $116,000. These investors, who bought during the rally earlier in the year, have been quick to take profits, adding to the selling pressure.

根据Bitfinex分析师的说法，比特币无法果断地回收116,000美元是一个重大逆风。自8月14日达到历史最高额度为124,100美元以来，比特币的实力降低了，现在的价格徘徊在许多近期购买者的成本基础上，这些买家跌至108,000美元至116,000美元之间。这些投资者在今年早些时候在集会上购买的投资者已经很快获得了利润，这增加了销售压力。

Fed's Decision: A Potential Game Changer?

美联储的决定：潜在的游戏规则？

All eyes are on the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision. The market currently anticipates a 25 basis point cut with a high probability. Tom Lee from Fundstrat believes that the first rate cut of the year could be a major catalyst, potentially triggering a “monster move” for both Bitcoin and Ether in the coming months.

所有人的目光都关注美联储即将到来的利率决定。该市场目前预计以很高的可能性削减了25个基点。 Fundstrat的汤姆·李（Tom Lee）认为，今年的一流削减可能是主要的催化剂，可能会在未来几个月内引发比特币和以太的“怪物举动”。

However, not everyone is convinced. Crypto analyst Ted suggests that Bitcoin might first dip to $104,000, or even $92,000, before staging a recovery. This highlights the divided sentiment among market participants regarding the Fed's impact.

但是，并不是每个人都相信。加密分析师TED建议比特币在上台恢复之前首先将比特币首先降至104,000美元，甚至$ 92,000。这凸显了市场参与者对美联储影响的分歧。

Investor Behavior: Long-Term vs. Short-Term

投资者行为：长期与短期

Bitfinex's Alpha report sheds light on how different investor groups are behaving. Long-term holders remain steadfast, using dips as buying opportunities. In contrast, newer investors, particularly those who bought in the last six months, are more inclined to sell and secure profits. This dynamic is contributing to the resistance at $116,000.

Bitfinex的Alpha报告阐明了不同的投资者群体的行为。长期持有人将坚定不移，以蘸酱作为购买机会。相比之下，较新的投资者，尤其是过去六个月购买的投资者，更倾向于出售和获得利润。这种动态促使电阻为116,000美元。

Q4: Historically a Bullish Period

第四季：历史上是看好时期

Looking ahead, October 1st marks the start of the fourth quarter, historically Bitcoin's best-performing quarter. Since 2013, Q4 has delivered an average return of 85.42%. This seasonal trend, combined with established support levels, could pave the way for a potential recovery.

展望未来，10月1日标志着第四季度的开始，历史上比特币表现最好的季度。自2013年以来，第四季度的平均回报率为85.42％。这种季节性趋势以及既定的支持水平都可以为潜在的恢复铺平道路。

The Bottom Line

底线

Bitcoin's path forward hinges on overcoming the $116,000 resistance. The Fed's rate decision and the onset of Q4 are potential catalysts that could provide the necessary boost. However, investor behavior and overall market sentiment will also play crucial roles.

比特币的前进道路取决于克服116,000美元的电阻。美联储的利率决定和第四季度的发作是可能提供必要的提升的潜在催化剂。但是，投资者的行为和整体市场情绪也将扮演至关重要的角色。

So, buckle up, folks! It's going to be an interesting ride. Whether Bitcoin breaks through or takes a detour, one thing's for sure: the crypto market never sleeps. And neither do we, apparently, while trying to decode it all. Keep your eyes peeled and your wits about you, and who knows, maybe we'll all be celebrating a monster move soon enough!

所以，搭扣，伙计们！这将是一个有趣的旅程。无论是比特币突破还是绕行，肯定是一件事：加密货币市场永远不会入睡。显然，我们在试图解码全部时也没有。让您的眼睛剥皮，对您的智慧，谁知道，也许我们都会尽快庆祝怪物的举动！