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在比特币价格集会上升至95,000美元之后,主要的市场参与者采取了谨慎的举动。期货市场的热情正在消失,反映了投资者的信心降低。
Major market players are making cautious moves after the Bitcoin (BTC) price rally to $95K, according to a recent report by Alphractal. As the cryptocurrency futures market enthusiasm wanes, it seems like large holders are closing long positions and shifting to shorts.
根据Alphractal的最新报告,主要市场参与者在比特币(BTC)的价格集会上进行谨慎行动。随着加密货币期货市场热情的减弱,大型持有人似乎正在关闭长位置并转向短裤。
This cautious optimism is highlighted by the decrease in the Whale Position Sentiment indicator. As the BTC price hovers near the $95,000 mark, whales are beginning to change their stance.
鲸鱼位置情绪指标的减少强调了这种谨慎的乐观。随着BTC的价格徘徊在95,000美元的大关接近,鲸鱼开始改变其立场。
The indicator, created by Alphractal, measures open interest across major exchanges and tracks large trades exceeding $1 Million, offering insights into market activity.
该指标由Alphractal创建,衡量了跨主要交易所的开放兴趣,并跟踪超过100万美元的大型交易,从而提供了对市场活动的见解。
Even as prices reached new local highs in late April 2025, the sentiment value dropped from a high of around 1.2 to 0.8. Notably, this indicator has historically shown a 93% correlation with BTC price movements.
即使价格在2025年4月下旬达到了新的本地高点,情感价值也从1.2左右下降到0.8。值得注意的是,该指标从历史上显示出与BTC价格变动有93%的相关性。
If the indicator declines while prices increase, it typically signifies that large players are opening short positions, a pattern that has usually been followed by short-term corrections in past cycles.
如果指标在价格上涨时下降,则通常表示大型玩家正在打开短职位,这种模式通常在过去的周期中进行短期校正。
This suggests that major holders are locking in profits or anticipating a pullback. If the sentiment trend continues downward and falls below 0.6, traders can expect more selling pressure in the market.
这表明主要持有人正在锁定利润或预期回调。如果情感趋势持续下降,并且低于0.6,则交易者可以期望市场上的销售压力更大。
However, despite the BTC price remaining above $93,000, another report by CryptoQuant says that bullish momentum in the futures market has faded after April 23, as seen in the Bitcoin Futures Composite Sentiment Index.
然而,尽管BTC价格持续到93,000美元以上,但CryptoQuant的另一份报告称,在4月23日之后,期货市场的看涨势头已经消失,如比特币期货综合情绪指数所示。
The index, which tracks the net flow of futures traders’ positions, spiked several times in sync with big moves higher in the spot price. For instance, the index went above 3.0 on April 21 and April 22, when BTC surged from $84,000 to $95,000.
该指数跟踪了期货交易者头寸的净流,该指数与大型动作的同步价格高出了几次。例如,该指数在4月21日和4月22日超过3.0,当时BTC从84,000美元飙升至95,000美元。
But since April 26, the index has been below 0.5 and is in neutral territory. This means futures traders are becoming more hesitant.
但是自4月26日以来,该指数一直低于0.5,并且处于中立领域。这意味着期货交易者变得越来越犹豫。
This lack of support from the futures market could limit any potential gains as the price faces resistance.
由于价格面临的抵抗,期货市场缺乏支持可能会限制任何潜在的收益。
The report also stated that short-term holders (STHs) are locking in profits at their realized price level. This selling pressure is being added to by the decreasing sentiment as prices approach key resistance.
该报告还指出,短期持有人(STH)正在以实现的价格水平锁定利润。随着价格接近关键阻力,这种销售压力正在增加。
At the same time, BTC miners are joining in to take profits during the price surge. According to CryptoQuant, miners sold 943 Bitcoin between April 16 and April 27.
同时,BTC矿工在价格上涨期间加入了利润。据CryptoQuant称,矿工在4月16日至4月27日之间出售了943个比特币。
This is worth about $850 Million at current market rates as the Bitcoin price increased from $84,000 to over $93,000.
随着比特币价格从84,000美元提高到93,000美元以上,目前的市场利率价值约8.5亿美元。
The Miner Reserve chart shows that it decreased from 1,808,999 BTC on April 16 to 1,808,065 BTC on April 28. Usually, this reduction in reserves occurs as miners cash out to pay for operational costs or to book profits.
矿工储备图显示,它从4月16日的1,808,999 BTC减少到4月28日的1,808,065 BTC。通常,随着矿工的现金出售以支付运营成本或预订利润,储量的减少发生。
Miner selling is common after price increases. However, the decrease in reserves during a rally suggests that some miners are apprehensive about future volatility. If this trend continues, it will exert short-term supply pressure on the market.
价格上涨后,矿工销售很常见。但是,集会期间的储备金减少表明,有些矿工对未来的波动感到担忧。如果这种趋势继续下去,它将在市场上施加短期供应压力。
According to technical analysis on TradingView, BTC has tested the $95,472 resistance level three times without breaking through. This has created a triple top pattern, and a failure to break can indicate a reversal.
根据有关TradingView的技术分析,BTC测试了3次$ 95,472的阻力水平,但未突破。这创建了三重顶部模式,未能打破可能表明逆转。
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart is dropping simultaneously. Momentum weakened as it decreased from above 70 to around 48.66 by April 30. Bitcoin price is below the Alligator indicator’s green moving average line, an early sign of consolidation or correction.
4小时图表上的相对强度指数(RSI)同时下降。动量削弱了,到4月30日到4月30日下降到48.66左右。比特币价格低于鳄鱼指标的绿色移动平均线,这是合并或校正的早期迹象。
If BTC cannot hold minor support at $92,080, the next key level is around $87,570. The previous accumulation occurred in this area and has been marked as an order block. A break below that zone could see more downside pressure.
如果BTC无法以92,080美元的价格持有次要支持,则下一个密钥级别约为87,570美元。先前的积累发生在该区域,并已被标记为订单块。低于该区域的突破可能会看到更多的下行压力。
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