比特币波动持续存在，矿工关注潜在的大规模抛售

在调整阶段，比特币（BTC）在支撑位附近出现买盘，表明市场情绪积极。然而，矿商潜在的抛售可能会延长横盘市场状况。需要关注的修正潜在结束的关键阻力包括 BTC 的移动平均线和 ETH 的 20 日均线。相反，如果 BTC 和 ETH 跌破支撑位，可能会引发价格进一步下跌。其他加密货币，包括 BNB、SOL、XRP、TON、DOGE 和 ADA，也分析了其技术设置和潜在的方向性变动。

Bitcoin Volatility Persists as Miners Eye Potential Sell-Off

矿工关注潜在抛售，比特币波动持续存在

Amidst last week's intense Bitcoin (BTC) sell-off, a glimmer of optimism emerged as buyers stepped up at support levels near $61,000. This suggests that positive sentiment remains, with traders viewing dips as buying opportunities. However, the downward pressure may not have fully abated yet.

在上周比特币 (BTC) 的剧烈抛售中，随着买家在 61,000 美元附近的支撑位上涨，出现了一丝乐观情绪。这表明积极情绪依然存在，交易员将下跌视为买入机会。然而，下行压力可能尚未完全减轻。

Markus Thielen, head of research at 10x Research, predicts that Bitcoin miners could potentially offload $5 billion worth of BTC over the next four to six months following the recent halving event. This could keep Bitcoin "sideways for the next few months," as Thielen posits.

10x Research 研究主管 Markus Thielen 预测，在最近的减半事件发生后，比特币矿商可能会在未来四到六个月内抛售价值 50 亿美元的 BTC。正如蒂伦所言，这可能会使比特币“在未来几个月内保持横盘整理”。

A sideways market can be a trap for both bullish and bearish traders, providing false breakout signals in both directions. Caution is advised, and traders should refrain from hasty buy or sell decisions. Patience is key, awaiting sustained breakouts before making significant bets.

横向市场对于看涨和看跌交易者来说都可能是陷阱，在两个方向上提供错误的突破信号。建议谨慎行事，交易者应避免仓促做出买入或卖出决定。耐心是关键，在做出重大押注之前等待持续突破。

Analyzing Key Resistance Levels for Bitcoin's Recovery

分析比特币复苏的关键阻力位

To gauge the potential end of the correction, it is crucial to examine key resistance levels that Bitcoin must overcome.

为了衡量修正的潜在结束，至关重要的是检查比特币必须克服的关键阻力位。

U.S. Stock Market: S&P 500 Index

美国股市：标准普尔 500 指数

The S&P 500 Index's steep decline to the 50-day simple moving average (5,115) on April 12 indicates that bears are seeking control. A further drop below this level could trigger a corrective phase. Support is present at 4,900, while a rebound from this level may face resistance at the 20-day exponential moving average (5,174). A failure to sustain above the 20-day EMA increases the likelihood of a decline below 4,900.

4 月 12 日，标准普尔 500 指数急剧下跌至 50 日简单移动平均线 (5,115)，表明空头正在寻求控制。进一步跌破该水平可能会触发调整阶段。支撑位为4,900点，而从该水平反弹可能会遇到20日指数移动平均线(5,174点)的阻力。如果未能维持在 20 日均线上方，则跌破 4,900 点的可能性就会增加。

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)

美元指数（DXY）

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has surged above the 105 overhead resistance, completing an ascending triangle pattern. The bulls have pushed the price to 106, where strong opposition is anticipated. A retreat from this level with a rebound from 105 would signal a successful conversion of the resistance into support. This would improve the prospects of a rally to 107, with a potential upside target of 109.

美元指数(DXY)已飙升至105上方阻力位上方，完成上升三角形形态。多头已将价格推至 106，预计将出现强烈反对。如果从该水平回落并从 105 反弹，则表明阻力位已成功转化为支撑位。这将改善反弹至 107 点的前景，潜在上行目标为 109 点。

Conversely, a sharp reversal below 105 would indicate market rejection of the breakout, potentially leading to a slide towards the triangle's uptrend line.

相反，如果急剧反转低于 105，则表明市场拒绝突破，可能导致跌向三角形的上升趋势线。

Bitcoin (BTC)

比特币（BTC）

Bitcoin's bounce from $60,775 has encountered resistance at the moving averages, where bears are likely to defend their position. A rejection from these averages could lead to another attempt to break below $60,775, signaling the initiation of a more significant correction. The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $54,298 could become the next downside target.

比特币从 60,775 美元的反弹遇到了移动平均线的阻力，空头可能会捍卫自己的立场。拒绝这些平均线可能会导致再次尝试跌破 60,775 美元，这标志着更重大的调整的开始。 61.8% 斐波那契回撤位 54,298 美元可能成为下一个下行目标。

Alternatively, a breakout above the moving averages would suggest that Bitcoin may remain within the $60,775 to $73,777 range for the foreseeable future. A decisive break above $73,777 would indicate a resumption of the uptrend towards $80,000.

或者，突破移动平均线将表明比特币在可预见的未来可能会保持在 60,775 美元至 73,777 美元的范围内。决定性突破 73,777 美元将表明上涨趋势将恢复至 80,000 美元。

Ether (ETH)

以太币（ETH）

Ether (ETH) briefly dipped below $3,056 on April 13, but the bears were unable to extend the decline. A recovery has brought the price back above this level, with the 20-day EMA ($3,369) emerging as a crucial resistance point.

4 月 13 日，以太坊 (ETH) 一度跌破 3,056 美元，但空头未能扩大跌势。复苏使价格回到该水平之上，20 日均线（3,369 美元）成为关键阻力点。

A reversal below this level could push the ETH/USDT pair back to $3,056 and subsequently down to $2,852. Conversely, sustaining above $3,056 would indicate the continuation of range-bound action. A breakout above the 20-day EMA would strengthen bullish sentiment, potentially leading to a rally towards $3,679. Buyers must overcome this overhead resistance to initiate a sustained upward movement towards $4,100.

反转低于该水平可能会将 ETH/USDT 货币对推回到 3,056 美元，随后跌至 2,852 美元。相反，维持在 3,056 美元上方将表明区间波动的继续。突破 20 日均线将增强看涨情绪，可能导致反弹至 3,679 美元。买家必须克服这一上方阻力，才能持续上涨至 4,100 美元。

Binance Coin (BNB)

币安币 (BNB)

BNB (BNB) has consolidated within a wide range between $495 and $635, reflecting uncertainty over the next directional move. The flat 20-day EMA ($574) and a relatively neutral RSI do not provide clear advantage to either bulls or bears.

BNB (BNB) 在 495 美元至 635 美元之间的宽幅区间内盘整，反映出下一步走势的不确定性。持平的 20 日均线（574 美元）和相对中性的 RSI 并没有为多头或空头提供明显的优势。

An upward break and sustain above the 20-day EMA could lift the BNB/USDT pair to $635, eventually signaling the start of the next phase of the uptrend towards $692. However, a decline below the 20-day EMA would suggest bearish dominance, potentially leading to a drop towards $495.

向上突破并维持在 20 日均线之上可能会将 BNB/USDT 货币对提升至 635 美元，最终标志着下一阶段上涨趋势开始至 692 美元。然而，跌破 20 日均线将表明看跌主导，可能导致跌向 495 美元。

Solana (SOL)

索拉纳 (太阳)

Solana (SOL) has faced resistance at the 20-day EMA ($167) and slipped below the 50-day SMA ($164). Continued selling pressure on April 13 pushed the price to a crucial support level at $126.

Solana (SOL) 在 20 日均线（167 美元）处遇到阻力，并跌破 50 日均线（164 美元）。 4 月 13 日持续的抛售压力将价格推至关键支撑位 126 美元。

The long tail on the April 13 candlestick demonstrates strong buying at lower levels. Bulls are attempting to push the price back to the moving averages, which are likely to act as a significant hurdle.

4 月 13 日烛台上的长尾表明较低水平的强劲买盘。多头正试图将价格推回到移动平均线，这可能会成为一个重大障碍。

A sharp reversal from the moving averages would provide an opportunity for bears to drive the SOL/USDT pair below $126, potentially leading to a further decline towards $100. A rise above the moving averages would negate the bearish outlook, setting the stage for a potential rally to $205.

移动平均线的急剧逆转将为空头提供将 SOL/USDT 货币对推至 126 美元下方的机会，可能导致进一步跌向 100 美元。升破移动平均线将否定看跌前景，为潜在反弹至 205 美元奠定基础。

XRP (XRP)

瑞波币 (XRP)

XRP (XRP) has been trading within a broad range between $0.41 and $0.74 for several months.

XRP (XRP) 几个月来一直在 0.41 美元至 0.74 美元之间的宽阔区间内交易。

A recent dip towards the support of the range on April 13 was met with strong buying, as indicated by the long tail on the candlestick. Bulls are attempting a recovery, but may encounter resistance near the 20-day EMA ($0.57).

最近跌向 4 月 13 日区间支撑位时遇到了强劲的买盘，如烛台上的长尾所示。多头正在尝试复苏，但可能会在 20 日均线（0.57 美元）附近遇到阻力。

A reversal from the current level or the 20-day EMA could lead to another test of $0.41. Alternatively, maintaining above $0.46 and rising above the moving averages would suggest a shift in sentiment. The XRP/USDT pair could then remain within the range for an extended period.

当前水平或 20 日均线的逆转可能导致再次测试 0.41 美元。或者，维持在 0.46 美元上方并升至移动平均线上方将表明情绪发生转变。 XRP/USDT 货币对可能会在较长一段时间内保持在该区间内。

Toncoin (TON)

东币 (TON)

Toncoin (TON) continues to trade within an ascending channel pattern, indicating an overall bullish bias.

Toncoin (TON) 继续在上升通道模式内交易，表明整体看涨偏见。

The price has reached the resistance line of the channel, where bears are expected to mount a strong defense. A reversal from this point could lead to a decline towards the support line. A break and close below the channel would signal a potential trend change.

价格已达到通道阻力线，预计空头将在此进行强有力的防御。从这一点开始的逆转可能会导致跌向支撑线。突破并收于该通道下方将预示着潜在的趋势变化。

Conversely, a breakout above the resistance line would indicate increased momentum, paving the way for a potential rally to $8.56 and eventually to $10.

相反，突破阻力线将表明势头增强，为潜在反弹至 8.56 美元并最终升至 10 美元铺平道路。

Dogecoin (DOGE)

狗狗币 (DOGE)

Dogecoin (DOGE) breached its 50-day SMA support ($0.17) on April 13, reflecting strong selling pressure.

狗狗币 (DOGE) 于 4 月 13 日突破了 50 日移动平均线支撑位（0.17 美元），反映出强劲的抛售压力。

Bulls are attempting a recovery, but may face substantial resistance at the moving averages. A rejection from these levels would suggest that rallies are being perceived as selling opportunities, increasing the likelihood of a decline towards the strong support at $0.12.

多头正在尝试复苏，但可能在移动平均线处面临巨大阻力。如果拒绝这些水平，则表明反弹被视为卖出机会，从而增加了跌向 0.12 美元强劲支撑位的可能性。

Conversely, a positive response by buyers, driving the price above the moving averages, would highlight solid demand at lower levels. The DOGE/USDT pair could then embark on a rally towards $0.20.

相反，买家的积极反应推动价格高于移动平均线，将凸显较低水平的强劲需求。随后 DOGE/USDT 货币对可能会上涨至 0.20 美元。

Cardano (ADA)

卡尔达诺（ADA）

Cardano (ADA) plunged below the $0.57 support level on April 12, completing a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern. This was followed by another sell-off on April 13, pushing the price below $0.46.

卡尔达诺 (ADA) 于 4 月 12 日跌破 0.57 美元的支撑位，完成了看跌的头肩形态。随后 4 月 13 日再次出现抛售，将价格推低至 0.46 美元以下。

A positive development for the bulls is the recovery above $0.46 on April 14, indicating buying at lower levels. Bulls are attempting to initiate a resurgence, but they will likely face strong opposition at the 20-day EMA ($0.56).

对于多头来说，一个积极的进展是 4 月 14 日价格回升至 0.46 美元上方，表明买盘处于较低水平。多头正试图发起复苏，但他们可能会在 20 日均线（0.56 美元）处面临强烈阻力。

A reversal from this level could result in another drop to $0.46 and subsequently to $0.40. A break below this level could drag the pair down to $0.35. The first sign of strength would be a rise above the 20-day EMA.

此水平的逆转可能导致再次跌至 0.46 美元，随后跌至 0.40 美元。跌破该水平可能会拖累该货币对跌至 0.35 美元。走强的第一个迹象是突破 20 日均线。

Conclusion

结论

The cryptocurrency market remains volatile, with Bitcoin facing potential selling pressure from miners and several altcoins experiencing price declines. Traders should proceed with caution, carefully monitoring market conditions and recognizing both upside and downside opportunities.

加密货币市场仍然不稳定，比特币面临着来自矿工的潜在抛售压力，而几种山寨币的价格也出现了下跌。交易者应谨慎行事，仔细监控市场状况并识别上行和下行机会。