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自 4 月 30 日以来,比特币价格暴跌 12%,导致超过 4.75 亿美元的加密货币头寸被清算,投资者情绪悲观。此次下跌已经突破了关键支撑位,进一步下行潜力为 55,000 美元和 52,000 美元的 200 日均线。然而,RSI 指标显示市场超买,可能预示着触底并随后反弹至 70,000 美元。
Bitcoin Slumps Amidst Market Correction and Bearish Sentiment
比特币在市场调整和看跌情绪中暴跌
As of 4:30 am EST, the value of Bitcoin has plunged to $57,224, marking a significant 5% decline over the past 24 hours. This sharp drop represents a substantial correction from the all-time high of $64,719 reached on April 30, as Bitcoin has shed over $8,000 in value. The intra-day low on May 1 reached an unsettling $56,663.
截至美国东部时间凌晨 4:30,比特币的价值已暴跌至 57,224 美元,在过去 24 小时内大幅下跌 5%。此次大幅下跌代表着对 4 月 30 日达到的历史高点 64,719 美元的大幅回调,比特币价值已下跌超过 8,000 美元。 5 月 1 日的盘中低点达到令人不安的 56,663 美元。
Analysts attribute this bearish trend to a confluence of factors, including the underperformance of Hong Kong's recently launched spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on their market debut. Further contributing to the market's volatility are hawkish monetary policy signals from United States Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and the ongoing legal challenges faced by cryptocurrency exchange Binance and its CEO, Changpeng Zhao.
分析师将这种看跌趋势归因于多种因素,其中包括香港最近推出的现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)在首次上市时表现不佳。美国财政部长珍妮特·耶伦发出的鹰派货币政策信号以及加密货币交易所币安及其首席执行官赵长鹏面临的持续法律挑战进一步加剧了市场波动。
Independent data from Alternative, a platform that tracks investor sentiment in the cryptocurrency market, reveals a significant decline in overall sentiment. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index, which measures investor emotions towards cryptocurrencies, has dropped precipitously from "extreme greed" in April to a mere "neutral" at present. This shift indicates that fear, uncertainty, and doubt are currently driving market dynamics.
跟踪加密货币市场投资者情绪的平台 Alternative 的独立数据显示,整体情绪显着下降。衡量投资者对加密货币情绪的加密货币恐惧和贪婪指数已从 4 月份的“极度贪婪”急剧下降至目前的“中性”。这种转变表明恐惧、不确定性和怀疑目前正在推动市场动态。
While extreme fear can often signal an optimal buying opportunity for investors seeking to capitalize on market dips, it remains crucial to approach such opportunities with caution. The current decline in Bitcoin prices has triggered a wave of liquidations across the derivatives market. In the past 24 hours, long derivatives traders, who had anticipated continued price increases, have been caught off guard by the sell-off.
虽然极度恐惧往往预示着寻求利用市场下跌的投资者的最佳买入机会,但谨慎对待此类机会仍然至关重要。当前比特币价格的下跌引发了整个衍生品市场的清算浪潮。过去24小时内,原本预计价格会持续上涨的衍生品多头交易者对抛售感到措手不及。
Over $475.79 million in crypto positions have been liquidated in the past 24 hours, with $172.46 million lost in the last 12 hours alone. Long Bitcoin positions account for over $145.51 million of these liquidations. Notably, over 144,852 traders were liquidated, with the largest single liquidation being an Ether/USD position valued at $6.07 million on the OKX exchange.
过去 24 小时内,已有超过 4.7579 亿美元的加密货币头寸被清算,仅过去 12 小时内就损失了 1.7246 亿美元。其中,比特币多头头寸占清算金额超过 1.4551 亿美元。值得注意的是,超过 144,852 名交易者被清算,其中最大的单笔清算是 OKX 交易所价值 607 万美元的以太币/美元头寸。
From a technical analysis perspective, Bitcoin has breached two critical support levels during this recent correction. The 100-day exponential moving average (EMA), currently at $59,932, has been breached, implying that the long-term trend may be shifting. If the sell-off persists, Bitcoin could face further downside pressure towards the psychological level of $55,000 and potentially even the 200-day EMA at $52,000.
从技术分析的角度来看,比特币在最近的调整中突破了两个关键支撑位。目前 59,932 美元的 100 天指数移动平均线 (EMA) 已被突破,这意味着长期趋势可能正在发生转变。如果抛售持续下去,比特币可能面临进一步下行压力,跌至 55,000 美元的心理水平,甚至可能触及 52,000 美元的 200 日均线。
It is worth noting that the 200-day EMA has historically provided significant support for Bitcoin's upward trajectory since October 2021. Therefore, this level represents a potential downside limit for the current correction.
值得注意的是,200日均线历史上为比特币自2021年10月以来的上行轨迹提供了重要支撑。因此,该水平代表了当前修正的潜在下行限制。
The relative strength index (RSI), an indicator of price momentum, is currently trending downwards towards the oversold region, further confirming the strength of the selling pressure. However, the RSI's proximity to the overbought region suggests that the market may soon reach a bottom, potentially followed by a sustained recovery towards $70,000.
作为价格动量指标的相对强弱指数(RSI)目前正向超卖区域下行,进一步证实了抛售压力的强度。然而,RSI 接近超买区域表明市场可能很快触底,随后可能持续反弹至 70,000 美元。
In conclusion, the cryptocurrency market is currently undergoing a period of correction, with Bitcoin leading the decline. Bearish sentiment, coupled with factors such as lacklustre ETF performance and regulatory concerns, has driven the market's downward momentum. Investors should exercise caution and consider the potential for further volatility before making any significant trading decisions.
综上所述,目前加密货币市场正处于调整期,比特币领跌。看跌情绪,加上 ETF 表现不佳和监管担忧等因素,推动了市场的下行势头。在做出任何重大交易决定之前,投资者应谨慎行事并考虑进一步波动的可能性。
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