美联储主席鲍威尔暗示 2025 年鸽派政策减弱，比特币暴跌 5% 至 9.9 万美元

山寨币市场表现较差，XRP、卡尔达诺的 ADA 和莱特币的 LTC 下跌 10%，然后才从低点恢复。

Bitcoin price dropped from $104,000 after the announcement, reaching $99.1K following the speech by the Fed Chair on Thursday, showing a decrease of almost 5% in the past 24 hours.

消息公布后，比特币价格从 10.4 万美元下跌，周四美联储主席发表讲话后跌至 9.91 万美元，过去 24 小时内下跌近 5%。

The altcoin market showed worse performance, with XRP, Cardano’s ADA, and Litecoin’s LTC dropping by 10% before recovering from their lows.

山寨币市场表现较差，XRP、卡尔达诺的 ADA 和莱特币的 LTC 均下跌 10%，然后才从低点回升。

Data from Coinglass showed 278,901 traders were liquidated for the day, with total liquidations amounting to $809 million. The largest single liquidation order was on Binance – ETHUSDT, valued at $7.1 million.

Coinglass 的数据显示，当天有 278,901 名交易者被清算，清算总额达 8.09 亿美元。最大单笔强平订单是币安上的 ETHUSDT，价值 710 万美元。

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Recent data, which showed persistently strong economic growth and sticky inflation, had shifted the focus today to the Fed’s future policy decisions, including the statement, revised economic forecasts, and the upcoming press conference by Chairman Jerome Powell.

最近的数据显示经济增长持续强劲，通胀粘性较高，这使得今天的焦点转向美联储未来的政策决定，包括声明、修订后的经济预测以及主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔即将举行的新闻发布会。

A sustained increase in the value of the US dollar also presents a macro risk to Bitcoin because it is linked to a reduction in the world’s money supply, which is usually bad for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrency assets.

美元价值的持续上涨也给比特币带来了宏观风险，因为它与世界货币供应量的减少有关，这通常对比特币和其他加密货币资产不利。

Bitcoin’s greatest risk is a strong dollar and tightening liquidity. But the theory of a high BTC supply deficit is supported by the fact that on-chain metrics for the cryptocurrency are still very bullish, especially the continuing decline in exchange balances.

比特币最大的风险是美元走强和流动性收紧。但比特币供应短缺的理论得到了以下事实的支持：加密货币的链上指标仍然非常乐观，尤其是外汇余额的持续下降。

According to the Fed’s quarterly economic projections, which include a “dot plot” showing the central bank’s expectations for the trajectory of the Fed funds rate, policymakers expect the rate to fall to 3 percent by the end of 2025 or for an additional 50 basis points in rate cuts next year.

根据美联储的季度经济预测（其中包括显示央行对联邦基金利率轨迹预期的“点阵图”），决策者预计利率将在 2025 年底前降至 3%，或再下降 50 个基点明年降息。

Crypto Market Headwinds in Future Despite Trump Effect

尽管特朗普效应，未来加密市场仍将面临阻力

Arthur Hayes, the co-founder and former CEO of cryptocurrency exchange BitMEX, believes that the current bullish trends in the cryptocurrency market, sparked by Donald Trump’s recent victory in the presidential election, may be short-lived.

加密货币交易所 BitMEX 联合创始人兼前首席执行官 Arthur Hayes 认为，唐纳德·特朗普最近在总统选举中获胜引发的当前加密货币市场的看涨趋势可能是短暂的。

When crypto traders realize this around January 20, 2026, the market could face a “terrifying sell-off,” as described by Hayes. “Once they realize that Trump has at most one year to implement any policy changes starting from January 20, the market will experience a severe sell-off, not just in crypto but also in other Trump 2.0 stock trades. Buyers will experience a lot of pain.”

正如 Hayes 所描述的，当加密货币交易者在 2026 年 1 月 20 日左右意识到这一点时，市场可能会面临“可怕的抛售”。 “一旦他们意识到特朗普从 1 月 20 日开始最多有一年的时间来实施任何政策变化，市场将经历严重的抛售，不仅是加密货币，还有其他特朗普 2.0 股票交易。买家将会经历很多痛苦。”