就业数据疲软、美联储降息后比特币飙升

周二美国非农就业报告发布后，比特币的价值攀升至 62,000 美元以上。该报告引发了人们对利率下降的预期，从而增加了对比特币等风险资产的需求。尽管失业率略超预期，但总体报告显示市场疲软，可能支持美联储降息。

Bitcoin Surges Amidst Labor Market Weakness, Fed Interest Rate Outlook

比特币在劳动力市场疲软和美联储利率前景中飙升

Washington, D.C. - Bitcoin's value experienced a notable surge towards $62,000 following the release of the U.S. government's Nonfarm Payrolls report. The report, published earlier today, revealed an unemployment rate of 3.9% for April, marginally higher than the anticipated 3.8%. This deviation suggests the potential for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, a move that often enhances the allure of risk-oriented assets like Bitcoin.

华盛顿特区 - 在美国政府非农就业报告发布后，比特币的价值显着飙升至 62,000 美元。今天早些时候发布的报告显示，4 月份失业率为 3.9%，略高于预期的 3.8%。这种偏差表明美联储有可能降低利率，此举通常会增强比特币等风险导向资产的吸引力。

Bitcoin's Resurgence After a Volatile Week

比特币在经历了一周的波动后复苏

The U.S. nonfarm payrolls data for April fell short of expectations, highlighting the labor market's persistent challenges. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged this weakness during a press conference on May 1, stating that the Federal Reserve is "prepared to respond to an unexpected weakening in the labor market."

美国4月份非农就业数据不及预期，凸显劳动力市场持续面临的挑战。美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在 5 月 1 日的新闻发布会上承认了这一弱点，并表示美联储“已准备好应对劳动力市场的意外疲软”。

This disappointing nonfarm payroll report stands in contrast to other recent economic data that had previously bolstered investor optimism.

这份令人失望的非农就业报告与此前提振投资者乐观情绪的其他近期经济数据形成鲜明对比。

Fed Interest Rate Outlook and Market Projections

美联储利率展望和市场预测

Based on the latest projections from the CME Group's FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate cut at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in June is approximately 15%. For the July meeting, the odds of a modest 0.25% reduction stand at 33%.

根据芝商所FedWatch工具的最新预测，6月联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议降息的可能性约为15%。对于 7 月份的会议，小幅降息 0.25% 的可能性为 33%。

Factors Driving Bitcoin's Upswing

推动比特币上涨的因素

Bitcoin's recent upswing was triggered by a combination of factors, including Block's announcement regarding its Bitcoin acquisition strategy. In its latest earnings report, Block outlined its intention to allocate 10% of its gross profit from Bitcoin products towards monthly Bitcoin purchases. This move may have further fueled the current buying momentum.

比特币最近的上涨是由多种因素引发的，其中包括 Block 宣布其比特币收购策略。 Block 在最新的收益报告中概述了其计划将比特币产品毛利润的 10% 用于每月购买比特币。此举可能进一步推动了当前的购买势头。

Analysts had previously highlighted the $62K level as a crucial resistance point for Bitcoin. Ki Young Ju, founder of on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant, observed that the area below $60,000 had been a popular zone for "buying the dip." Ju noted that Bitcoin whales had accumulated approximately $BTC 47K over the preceding 24 hours.

分析师此前曾强调 6.2 万美元水平是比特币的关键阻力位。链上分析公司 CryptoQuant 的创始人 Ki Young Ju 观察到，60,000 美元以下的区域一直是“逢低买入”的热门区域。 Ju 指出，比特币鲸鱼在过去 24 小时内积累了约 4.7 万美元的 BTC。

Technical Analysis and Future Outlook

技术分析及未来展望

Bitcoin's price has been on a recovery trajectory since buyers successfully defended the $56k support line. In recent hours, BTC price experienced a surge in buying pressure, breaking above the $60k level. However, it encountered some resistance around $62k. As of this writing, BTC price is trading at $61,783, marking a 4.6% increase over the past 24 hours.

自买家成功守住 5.6 万美元支撑线以来，比特币价格一直处于复苏轨道。最近几个小时，BTC 价格经历了购买压力的激增，突破了 6 万美元的水平。然而，它在 62,000 美元附近遇到了一些阻力。截至撰写本文时，BTC 价格交易价格为 61,783 美元，在过去 24 小时内上涨了 4.6%。

Currently, BTC price is attempting to break above its 200-day EMA trend line, indicating the dominance of bullish sentiment over bearish sentiment. While buyers aim to reclaim ground above $65,000, bears may have contrasting intentions. A retreat from this level could signal a shift towards bearish resistance, potentially leading to a decline towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $60K.

目前，BTC 价格正试图突破 200 日均线趋势线，表明看涨情绪占主导地位。虽然买家的目标是收复 65,000 美元以上的地盘，但空头可能有相反的意图。从该水平回落可能标志着转向看跌阻力位，可能导致跌向 60,000 美元的 61.8% 斐波那契回撤位。

However, this bearish outlook could potentially shift if the price manages to hold above $65k, triggering a rally towards $67k. As the RSI level maintains a position above the midline, buying demand may continue to intensify in the coming hours.

然而，如果价格设法保持在 65,000 美元之上，这种看跌前景可能会发生转变，从而引发涨向 67,000 美元的反弹。由于RSI水平维持在中线上方，未来几个小时内购买需求可能会继续增强。