比特币摇摇欲坠，值得关注的前两个级别

从技术上讲，比特币正处于 8 月 8 日扩张后建立的牛旗的看涨突破形态内。

output: Bitcoin is trending lower at the time of writing, cooling off after the encouraging leg up on August 23. Although the uptrend remains, and the coin is not far away from $63,000, there is no discounting the possibility of sellers pressing on. The alignment with the dip of early August could trigger another wave of liquidation, causing panic.

产出：在撰写本文时，比特币呈走低趋势，在 8 月 23 日令人鼓舞的上涨后逐渐降温。尽管上涨趋势依然存在，而且比特币距离 63,000 美元不远，但卖家继续追压的可能性是不容忽视的。与八月初的下跌一致可能会引发另一波清算，引发恐慌。

Bitcoin Shaky, The First Two Levels To Watch

比特币摇摇欲坠，值得关注的前两个级别

Technically, Bitcoin is within a bullish breakout formation from the bull flag established after the expansion on August 8.

从技术上讲，比特币正处于 8 月 8 日扩张后建立的牛旗的看涨突破形态内。

Moreover, from a volume analysis perspective, bulls stand a chance since prices are still inside the bull bar of August 23. As long as trading volume remains light as prices trickle lower, buyers may jump back and drive prices higher above $66,000.

此外，从成交量分析的角度来看，多头仍有机会，因为价格仍在 8 月 23 日的牛市区间内。只要随着价格逐渐走低而交易量依然清淡，买家可能会反弹并推动价格升至 66,000 美元以上。

However, assuming Bitcoin bears have the upper hand, one analyst on X thinks it will be important for traders to closely monitor how prices will react at the following four reaction lines. From the Bitcoin cost-basis comparison by CryptoQuant, the first support level, now resistance following the ongoing dump, is $63,450.

然而，假设比特币空头占据上风，X 的一位分析师认为，交易者密切关注价格在以下四个反应线的反应非常重要。根据 CryptoQuant 的比特币成本基础比较，第一个支撑位（现在是持续抛售后的阻力位）为 63,450 美元。

At this price point, the analyst notes that this is the average price at which new whales buy BTC. It remains to be seen whether prices will recover and print above $64,000 in the coming days. However, the fact that whales are in the picture is a net positive. Usually, whales, unlike retailers, tend to be HODLers and won’t be shaken off whenever prices fluctuate.

分析师指出，在这个价格点上，这是新鲸鱼购买 BTC 的平均价格。未来几天价格是否会回升并突破 64,000 美元还有待观察。然而，鲸鱼出现在图片中这一事实是一个积极的因素。通常，与零售商不同，鲸鱼往往是持有者，并且不会在价格波动时摆脱困境。

If bears are unyielding and prices break below $60,000, the analyst continued traders should watch how prices react at $55,540. According to the trader’s analysis, Binance users have placed their support at $55,540. Hence, prices dropping below this level could easily trigger panic selling as traders on this exchange dump to safety.

如果空头不屈服并且价格跌破 60,000 美元，分析师继续说道，交易者应该关注价格在 55,540 美元的反应。根据交易员的分析，币安用户的支撑位为 55,540 美元。因此，价格跌破这一水平很容易引发恐慌性抛售，因为该交易所的交易者纷纷转向安全。

Miners And Long-Term Holders: The Last Walls

矿工和长期持有者：最后的墙

A level deeper, a key support level is seen at $44,400. This zone is where most miners are deemed profitable. As long as prices trade above this line, most miners, most of whom are whales, can HODL, anticipating price gains. In early August, Bitcoin fell hard but didn’t breach this zone, highlighting its importance in BTC price action.

再往深处看，关键支撑位为 44,400 美元。该区域是大多数矿工被认为有利可图的区域。只要价格交易在这条线之上，大多数矿工（其中大多数是鲸鱼）就可以持有，预期价格上涨。 8 月初，比特币大幅下跌，但并未突破该区域，凸显了其在 BTC 价格走势中的重要性。

Below this, $25,000 is another accumulation level that traders will watch out for in the event of a general collapse. The $25,000 is the average price at which long-term holders (LTHs) bought BTC. LTHs are those who bought BTC over 155 days ago. Most of this cohort is said to be whales and network believers. A break below $50,000 and August 2024 lows could set the stage for another leg down to $40,000 and lower.

低于此水平，25,000 美元是另一个积累水平，交易者在全面崩盘时需要留意。 25,000 美元是长期持有者（LTH）购买 BTC 的平均价格。 LTH 是指在 155 天前购买过 BTC 的人。据说这群人中的大多数都是鲸鱼和网络信徒。跌破 50,000 美元和 2024 年 8 月的低点可能会为再次跌至 40,000 美元及更低奠定基础。

While bears might be taking over, there are also supportive factors that continue to spur bulls on. For instance, one of the world’s largest asset managers, BlackRock, recently added BTC to its Strategic Global Bond Fund as a hedge against traditional assets. Its spot Bitcoin ETF, IBIT, already holds billions of BTC on behalf of its institutional clients.

虽然空头可能会占据上风，但也有一些支撑因素继续刺激多头。例如，全球最大的资产管理公司之一贝莱德最近将比特币添加到其战略全球债券基金中，作为对传统资产的对冲。其现货比特币 ETF IBIT 已代表其机构客户持有数十亿比特币。