到2035年，比特币稀缺：消失的供应会推动月球的价格吗？

比特币的稀缺性正在增加。到2035年，多达30％的供应可能会永远损失，从而影响其长期价值。这对投资者意味着什么？

Bitcoin, already a hot topic, is about to get even spicier. The buzz around 'Bitcoin, Scarcity, 2035' is real, with a potential supply crunch reshaping the crypto landscape. Get ready for a wild ride!

比特币已经是一个热门话题，即将变得更加辣。围绕“比特币，稀缺，2035”的嗡嗡声是真实的，潜在的供应紧缩使加密景观重塑了。准备狂野！

The Disappearing Bitcoin: Scarcity by 2035

消失的比特币：到2035年稀缺

Here's the deal: Bitcoin isn't just digital money; it's a rare asset, and its supply is vanishing faster than you can say "HODL." Since the 2024 halving, a new trend has emerged. Experts predict that by 2035, up to 30% of all Bitcoin could be “lost forever.” That's like losing your keys to a treasure chest filled with digital gold!

这就是交易：比特币不仅仅是数字货币；这是一项罕见的资产，它的供应速度比您说的“ hodl”更快。自2024年减半以来，出现了新趋势。专家预测，到2035年，所有比特币中有多达30％的比特币可能“永远丢失”。这就像将钥匙丢给装满数字黄金的宝藏！

As of June 8, 2025, around 566 BTC daily enter the “ancient supply” category (coins untouched for over 10 years), outpacing the 450 BTC mined daily. This means more Bitcoin is going into long-term hibernation, potentially forever. Currently, over 17% of mined Bitcoin is already in this ancient supply. If this continues, we could see 6.3 million BTC inaccessible by 2026!

截至2025年6月8日，大约566 BTC每天进入“古代供应”类别（硬币未触及10年以上），每天开采的450 BTC超过了450 BTC。这意味着更多的比特币正在长期冬眠中，这可能永远存在。目前，超过17％的开采比特币已经在这种古老的供应中。如果继续这样做，我们可能会看到630万BTC到2026年无法访问！

What This Means for Bitcoin's Price

这对比特币的价格意味着什么

Scarcity alone doesn't guarantee a Lambo, but with Bitcoin's fixed supply and rising dormant coins, things could get interesting. Fewer coins available mean even a small demand increase could send prices soaring. Think of it like limited-edition sneakers – everyone wants them, and the price goes bonkers.

仅凭稀缺性并不能保证兰博，但是随着比特币的固定供应和休眠硬币的增加，事情可能会变得有趣。较少的硬币可用意味着甚至需求量的增加也可能导致价格飙升。可以将其视为限量版运动鞋 - 每个人都想要它们，而且价格也会变得笨拙。

To hit that magical $1 million per coin mark, Bitcoin's market cap needs to hit $21 trillion – ten times its current value. Ambitious? Maybe. Impossible? Some analysts say no, given the dwindling active supply and Bitcoin's deflationary design.

为了达到每个硬币标记的100万美元，比特币的市值需要达到21万亿美元，这是当前价值的十倍。雄心勃勃？或许。不可能的？考虑到越来越多的主动供应和比特币的通缩设计，一些分析师拒绝了。

The Wild Card: Post-Election Volatility

通配符：选举后波动率

Hold your horses! Short-term volatility is still a thing. The 2024 U.S. elections stirred the pot, causing turbulence in financial markets, including crypto. Even long-term holders are getting jittery, reacting to global events and policy changes.

握住你的马！短期波动仍然是一回事。 2024年的美国大选激起了锅，导致金融市场的动荡，包括加密货币。即使是长期持有人也会感到紧张，对全球事件和政策变化做出了反应。

Investor Sentiment: Still Bullish

投资者的情绪：仍然看涨

Despite the bumps, most Bitcoin holders are chilling. Data shows nearly 89% of BTC addresses are in profit, meaning most investors are comfy holding their positions. The growing share of dormant Bitcoin and profitable addresses paints a picture of a maturing market focused on long-term value.

尽管有颠簸，但大多数比特币持有人都令人震惊。数据显示，将近89％的BTC地址是有利可图的，这意味着大多数投资者都持有自己的职位。休眠的比特币和盈利问题的份额日益增长，描绘了一个熟悉的市场，集中在长期价值上。

Bitcoin's Unique Supply Curve

比特币的独特供应曲线

Bitcoin's supply curve is unlike anything else. Unlike fiat currencies, Bitcoin has a hard cap of 21 million coins. As more coins disappear into digital vaults, this limit becomes super meaningful. This structural disinflation makes Bitcoin appealing as a hedge against inflation. If the ancient supply keeps growing, the remaining liquid supply could become incredibly scarce.

比特币的供应曲线与其他不同。与法定货币不同，比特币的硬币硬币为2100万个硬币。随着越来越多的硬币消失在数字保险库中，此限制变得非常有意义。这种结构性解散使比特币吸引人，作为对通货膨胀的对冲。如果古老的供应不断增长，剩余的液体供应可能会非常稀缺。

Looking Ahead: The Crystal Ball

展望未来：水晶球

The idea that nearly a third of all Bitcoin could be inaccessible within a decade is mind-blowing. It changes the supply-demand game. Secure your wallets, folks! We need robust recovery solutions. Regardless of short-term hiccups, Bitcoin's long-term trajectory is increasingly driven by scarcity and its utility as a decentralized store of value.

十年内将近三分之一的比特币可能无法访问的想法令人震惊。它改变了供需游戏。伙计们，固定钱包！我们需要强大的恢复解决方案。无论短期打ic不管，比特币的长期轨迹都越来越受到稀缺性及其作为分散的价值存储的效用。

My Two Sats

我的两个坐着

I think there's a real potential for Bitcoin to shock the world. The increasing scarcity, combined with growing institutional interest, could create a perfect storm for price appreciation. However, remember that risks are still involved. Regulations, technological advancements in other cryptocurrencies, and even unexpected global events could impact Bitcoin's trajectory.

我认为比特币具有震惊世界的真正潜力。越来越多的稀缺性，再加上日益增长的机构利益，可能会为价格升值带来完美的风暴。但是，请记住，仍然涉及风险。法规，其他加密货币的技术进步，甚至全球意外事件都可能影响比特币的轨迹。

For example, Fidelity Digital Assets recent report, revealed that the number of coins entering the “ancient supply” category—defined as coins that haven’t moved in over 10 years—is growing faster than new Bitcoin being mined. As of June 8, 2025, approximately 566 BTC are entering this long-dormant status each day, exceeding the current issuance of 450 BTC per day.

例如，Fidelity Digital Assets最近的报告表明，进入“古代供应”类别的硬币数量被定义为十多年来没有迁移的硬币 - 比开采的新比特币要快。截至2025年6月8日，每天约有566 BTC进入这种长期状态，超过目前每天发行450 BTC。

The key takeaway? Stay informed, diversify your portfolio, and don't put all your eggs in one digital basket. But if you're looking for a long-term investment with serious upside potential, Bitcoin's increasing scarcity makes it a compelling option.

关键要点？保持了解，使您的投资组合多样化，并且不要将所有鸡蛋都放在一个数字篮中。但是，如果您正在寻找具有严重上升潜力的长期投资，那么比特币的稀缺性越来越大，这是一个令人信服的选择。

Final Thoughts

最后的想法

The clock is ticking, and Bitcoin's disappearing supply may turn out to be its strongest value driver. So, buckle up, buttercup! The future of Bitcoin is looking scarce, and that might just be its superpower. Who knows, maybe we'll all be sipping Mai Tais on a beach paid for with Bitcoin gains by 2035!

时钟在滴答作响，比特币的消失供应可能是其最强的价值驱动力。所以，扣紧，毛cup！比特币的未来看起来稀缺，这可能只是它的超级大国。谁知道，也许我们所有人都在2035年到达比特币收益的海滩上a饮Mai Tais！