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加密货币新闻

比特币蓄势待发,可能飙升至 65,065 美元

2024/05/12 14:01

比特币最近的市场表现表明它可能正在接近重新积累区域,表明可能反弹至 65,065 美元。据Rekt Capital称,BTC已脱离危险区域,进入重新吸筹阶段,标志着减半后回调的结束。清算水平周围磁区的存在和有利的霍德勒互联网头寸变化表明比特币价格的潜在上涨空间。然而,交易者应谨慎行事,因为比特币可能会在未来两天内进一步下跌,然后才会开始看涨反弹。

比特币蓄势待发,可能飙升至 65,065 美元

Bitcoin Poised for Re-Accumulation, Surge to $65,065 Anticipated

比特币有望重新积累,预计将飙升至 65,065 美元

Bitcoin (BTC) has emerged from the danger zone and is now poised for a re-accumulation phase, according to renowned crypto analyst Rekt Capital. This analysis, shared via the social media platform X (formerly Twitter) on May 11th, provides compelling evidence of Bitcoin's impending recovery and potential trajectory.

著名加密货币分析师 Rekt Capital 表示,比特币 (BTC) 已脱离危险区域,目前正准备进入重新积累阶段。该分析于 5 月 11 日通过社交媒体平台 X(以前称为 Twitter)分享,为比特币即将复苏和潜在轨迹提供了令人信服的证据。

Rekt Capital's analysis relies on the post-halving correction pattern observed in Bitcoin's historical price movements. The analyst highlights the formation of three bearish engulfing candlesticks within 21 days during the 2016 post-halving cycle. Subsequently, BTC surged beyond $4,250 within a few months. Notably, a similar set of red candlesticks has appeared on the 2024 chart, indicating that Bitcoin's correction may be nearing its end.

Rekt Capital 的分析依赖于比特币历史价格走势中观察到的减半后修正模式。该分析师强调了 2016 年减半周期中 21 天内形成的三个看跌吞没烛台。随后,BTC 在几个月内飙升至 4,250 美元以上。值得注意的是,2024 年图表上出现了一组类似的红色烛台,表明比特币的回调可能已接近尾声。

At the time of writing, Bitcoin's value stands at $60,509, reflecting a 5.61% decline over the past seven days. This dip has resulted in the liquidation of a significant number of BTC contracts in the market.

截至撰写本文时,比特币的价值为 60,509 美元,过去 7 天下跌了 5.61%。此次下跌导致市场上大量比特币合约被清算。

Data provided by Hyblock reveals the existence of a "magnetic zone" around liquidation levels. This indicator identifies price levels at which traders face a high risk of liquidation. In the case of Bitcoin, the magnetic zone (blue) suggests that the price may move towards $65,065 in the near term.

Hyblock 提供的数据揭示了清算水平周围存在“磁区”。该指标确定交易者面临高清算风险的价格水平。就比特币而言,磁性区域(蓝色)表明价格可能在短期内升至 65,065 美元。

This projection assumes a successful bounce by BTC. Failure to reverse upwards could trigger further price declines. Additionally, the Cumulative Liquidation Level Delta (CLLD) remains negative, indicating that short positions are experiencing a higher proportion of liquidations. Sustained negative CLLD values are considered bullish indicators for Bitcoin's price.

该预测假设 BTC 成功反弹。未能向上逆转可能会引发价格进一步下跌。此外,累积清算水平增量(CLLD)仍然为负,表明空头头寸正在经历更高比例的清算。持续的负 CLLD 值被认为是比特币价格的看涨指标。

Another metric supporting the potential price increase is the Hodler Net Position Change, tracked by Glassnode. This metric measures the monthly net position of long-term investors. A negative value indicates that Bitcoin holders are realizing gains or cashing out their holdings. Conversely, a positive reading implies accumulation.

支持潜在价格上涨的另一个指标是 Glassnode 跟踪的 Hodler 净头寸变化。该指标衡量长期投资者的每月净头寸。负值表明比特币持有者正在实现收益或兑现其持有的资产。相反,积极的读数意味着积累。

Until the last week of April, the Hodler Net Position Change metric was negative, suggesting that investors were booking profits. However, since the first week of May, this trend has reversed. Notably, long-term holders purchased 26,990 BTC on May 10th. If this accumulation continues, it could provide further support for Bitcoin's upward trajectory.

直到四月最后一周,Hodler 净头寸变化指标均为负值,表明投资者正在获利了结。然而,自5月第一周以来,这一趋势发生了逆转。值得注意的是,长期持有者在 5 月 10 日购买了 26,990 BTC。如果这种积累继续下去,可能会为比特币的上涨轨迹提供进一步的支持。

Maintaining this momentum would ensure that Bitcoin remains above $60,000 in the coming days. In the long term, this accumulation phase could serve as a catalyst for a parabolic upside.

保持这一势头将确保比特币在未来几天保持在 60,000 美元以上。从长远来看,这种积累阶段可能会成为抛物线上涨的催化剂。

It is important to note that traders should remain cautious as Bitcoin may experience further downside movement in the short term. As Rekt Capital suggests, Bitcoin may still have two additional days of decline before a gradual price recovery commences.

值得注意的是,交易者应保持谨慎,因为比特币短期内可能会经历进一步的下行走势。正如 Rekt Capital 所暗示的那样,在价格开始逐步回升之前,比特币可能还会再下跌两天。

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