比特币价格预测：鲸鱼增持，12.3 万美元目标在望？

随着鲸鱼的悄悄积累，比特币稳定在 10.7 万美元左右，暗示比特币可能飙升至 12.3 万美元。多头会保持控制吗？

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Whales Accumulate, $123K Target in Sight?

比特币价格预测：鲸鱼增持，12.3 万美元目标在望？

Bitcoin's been playing it cool lately, hovering around $107K. But beneath the surface, whales (those big-money Bitcoin holders) are quietly loading up. Could this mean a surge towards $123K is on the horizon? Let's dive in.

比特币最近表现得很冷静，徘徊在 10.7 万美元左右。但在表面之下，鲸鱼（那些大笔的比特币持有者）正在悄悄地增加资金。这是否意味着价格即将飙升至 12.3 万美元？让我们深入了解一下。

Whales: The Silent Accumulators

鲸鱼：沉默的蓄能器

Despite some recent price dips, on-chain data shows Bitcoin whales are accumulating. Analysts see this as a sign of growing institutional confidence and long-term strategic positioning. Crypto King on X (formerly Twitter) noted that the short-term noise around $107K is insignificant, emphasizing that whales are consistently accumulating. Data from Glassnode and Bitget confirms over 16,000 BTC have been added to whale addresses recently, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.

尽管最近价格有所下跌，但链上数据显示比特币鲸鱼正在积累。分析师认为这是机构信心和长期战略定位不断增强的迹象。 X（前 Twitter）上的 Crypto King 指出，10.7 万美元左右的短期噪音微不足道，并强调鲸鱼正在持续积累。来自 Glassnode 和 Bitget 的数据证实，最近鲸鱼地址已添加超过 16,000 个 BTC，强化了看涨情绪。

Critical Support Levels Holding Strong

关键支撑位保持强劲

Bitcoin's 50-week Simple Moving Average (SMA), around $101,700, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 45 are vital indicators. Crypto analyst @Crypflow points out that these metrics have historically defined bull and bear markets. As long as Bitcoin stays above these levels, the broader bullish trend remains intact.

比特币的 50 周简单移动平均线 (SMA) 约为 101,700 美元，相对强弱指数 (RSI) 为 45，都是重要指标。加密货币分析师 @Crypflow 指出，这些指标在历史上定义了牛市和熊市。只要比特币保持在这些水平之上，更广泛的看涨趋势就保持不变。

$123K and Beyond: Rally Targets

12.3 万美元及以上：反弹目标

Market sentiment is cautiously optimistic. Some analysts predict a "parabolic squeeze" towards $135,000+ by year-end. While some claims remain unverified, the general feeling is that Bitcoin might be setting up for a substantial rally. However, a break below the 50-SMA could lead to retracements toward $95K before any rebound.

市场情绪谨慎乐观。一些分析师预测，到年底，价格将“抛物线挤压”至 135,000 美元以上。尽管一些说法尚未得到证实，但普遍的感觉是比特币可能正在为大幅反弹做好准备。然而，跌破 50 移动平均线可能会导致在反弹之前回撤至 95,000 美元。

Factors to Watch

值得关注的因素

• Exchange Outflows: Bitcoin withdrawals from exchanges are increasing, suggesting declining supply pressure—a bullish signal.
• ETF Inflows: Institutional products like the BlackRock and Fidelity Bitcoin ETFs are key drivers of demand. Sustained inflows could amplify upside momentum.
• Macro Factors: Global market liquidity, interest rate policy, and crypto ETF performance continue to influence Bitcoin’s price.

My Take: Calm Before the Storm?

我的看法：暴风雨前的平静？

Considering the whale accumulation, resilient technical support, and increasing institutional participation, a move towards $123K seems increasingly likely. It feels like we're in a "calm before the storm" scenario. However, keep a close eye on those support levels and macro factors; a sudden shift could change everything. I'm keeping my eye on the ETF inflows as they are a good indicator of institutional demand. For example, if BlackRock continues to increase its Bitcoin holdings, that is an excellent sign that institutions are increasingly interested.

考虑到鲸鱼的积累、有弹性的技术支持以及不断增加的机构参与，迈向 12.3 万美元的可能性似乎越来越大。感觉我们正处于“暴风雨前的平静”之中。然而，请密切关注这些支撑位和宏观因素；突然的转变可能会改变一切。我正在密切关注 ETF 的流入，因为它们是机构需求的良好指标。例如，如果贝莱德继续增加其比特币持有量，这是一个很好的迹象，表明机构越来越感兴趣。

Final Thoughts

最后的想法

As Bitcoin trades steadily, the market narrative points towards accumulation and resilient support. If Bitcoin maintains its trajectory, the next breakout towards $123K—and potentially beyond—may be closer than many think. But hey, remember to stay vigilant for those sudden corrections, because in the world of crypto, anything can happen! Keep HODLing and keep an eye on those whales!

随着比特币交易稳定，市场叙述指向积累和弹性支持。如果比特币保持其轨迹，下一次突破 12.3 万美元（甚至可能更高）可能比许多人想象的更接近。但是，嘿，请记住对那些突然的修正保持警惕，因为在加密世界中，任何事情都可能发生！继续持有并留意那些鲸鱼！