比特币价格自由下跌，CME 缺口尚未填补

目前，比特币正面临压力，其下行趋势进一步扩大，并违背了一些充满希望的分析师的短期复苏预测。

Bitcoin price slipped lower on spot exchanges on Monday, as a recent downturn in the coin’s price continues.

由于近期比特币价格持续下跌，周一现货交易所比特币价格下跌。

However, one BTC analyst expects prices to rebound, reclaiming $64,000 and closing the CME Gap.

然而，一位 BTC 分析师预计价格将反弹，重回 64,000 美元并缩小 CME 缺口。

Bitcoin price pain continues, but one analyst sees prices rebounding, closing the CME Gap and reclaiming $64,000.

比特币价格持续低迷，但一位分析师预计价格将会反弹，缩小 CME 缺口并收复 64,000 美元。

Fresh analysis now expects prices to continue lower, with capitulation kicking in below $60,000, presenting an opportunity for long-term holders.

现在最新的分析预计价格将继续走低，投降价将跌至 60,000 美元以下，这为长期持有者提供了机会。

Bitcoin Price Free Falling, CME Gap Not Yet Filled

比特币价格自由下跌，CME 缺口尚未填补

For now, Bitcoin is under pressure, extending its downward spiral and defying short-term recovery predictions from some hopeful analysts.

目前，比特币正面临压力，其下行趋势进一步扩大，并违背了一些充满希望的分析师的短期复苏预测。

As things stand, the coin is down 15% from all-time highs and printing worrying lower lows, looking at the candlestick arrangement in the daily chart.

就目前情况而言，从日线图表中的烛台排列来看，该代币较历史高点下跌了 15%，并创下了令人担忧的较低低点。

(BTCUSDT)

(比特币/USDT)

Examining price action on the daily chart, it is clear that the downward momentum is strong.

检查日线图上的价格走势，很明显下降势头强劲。

Bear bars are banding along the lower BB. At the same time, the lower BB is diverging from the 20-day moving average, the middle BB. This suggests that price volatility is high.

熊棒沿着下BB线呈带状。与此同时，下BB线与20日移动均线、中BB线背离。这表明价格波动很大。

While the path of least resistance currently favors bears, a potential bounce could be forming.

虽然目前阻力最小的路径有利于空头，但潜在的反弹可能正在形成。

Taking to X, one analyst has picked out an “unfilled CME gap” on the daily chart.

就 X 而言，一位分析师在日线图上指出了“未填补的 CME 缺口”。

One must know the details behind this gap.

人们必须了解这一差距背后的细节。

(Source – X)

（来源-X）

Since BTC futures are also listed on a centralized bourse, the CME, a gap could form since trading on this regulated platform stops on Friday and opens on Sunday.

由于 BTC 期货也在中央交易所 CME 上市，因此该受监管平台的交易于周五停止并于周日开盘，因此可能会形成缺口。

The problem is that BTC is decentralized, and trading continues every day of the week, including weekends, albeit mostly with thin liquidity.

问题在于，比特币是去中心化的，交易每天都在继续，包括周末，尽管大部分流动性都很薄弱。

Historically, these “gaps” tend to “fill” as the price moves back to the level where the gap occurred.

从历史上看，当价格回到出现缺口的水平时，这些“缺口”往往会“填补”。

The gap was formed at around $64,000.

缺口形成于 64,000 美元左右。

Therefore, if history guides us, prices will highly likely rebound from spot rates toward $64,000, filling the gap and creating market equilibrium.

因此，如果历史指引我们，价格很可能会从即期汇率反弹至 64,000 美元，填补缺口并创造市场平衡。

DISCOVER: How to Buy Bitcoin Anonymously Without an ID – No KYC Guide 2024

发现：如何在没有 ID 的情况下匿名购买比特币 – 无 KYC 指南 2024

Will The Capitulation Below $60,000 Allow Long-Term Holders To Double Down?

低于 60,000 美元的投降会让长期持有者加倍下注吗？

Besides this, another analyst said the max pain for long traders or buyers is around the $60,400 and $61,800 zone.

除此之外，另一位分析师表示，多头交易者或买家的最大痛苦是在 60,400 美元和 61,800 美元区域附近。

If there is a break of $60,000, longs will likely capitulate, an opportunity for long-term holders to double down, riding the leg up.

如果突破 60,000 美元，多头可能会投降，这是长期持有者加倍下注、乘势上涨的机会。

(Source – X)

（来源-X）

This preview might make sense now.

这个预览现在可能有意义。

While there is no precise prediction on where BTC will be trading in the sessions ahead, macro factors might help give a rough estimate.

虽然没有准确预测比特币在未来几个交易日的交易价格，但宏观因素可能有助于给出粗略的估计。

Ahead of the November presidential election, global liquidity is surging, a net positive for BTC.

在 11 月总统大选之前，全球流动性激增，这对 BTC 来说是一个净利好。

Moreover, considering the Bitcoin Halving on April 20, there could be more room for BTC to grow in the months ahead.

此外，考虑到 4 月 20 日比特币减半，未来几个月 BTC 可能还有更大的增长空间。

Explore: Standard Chartered Establishes Spot Trading Desk For Bitcoin And Ether Transactions

探索：渣打银行为比特币和以太币交易建立现货交易平台