比特币价格的眼睛有史以来新高：季度蜡烛信号牛？

比特币与新的ATH调情，作为分析师的新ATH指出，美元，M2货币供应量的上升和积极的技术指标会减弱。最大的季度蜡烛是即将发生的事情的标志吗？

Bitcoin Price Eyes New All-Time High: Quarterly Candle Signals Bull Run?

比特币价格的眼睛有史以来新高：季度蜡烛信号牛？

Bitcoin is back in the spotlight, folks! After a rocky start to July, the OG crypto is showing serious resilience. With analysts buzzing about a potential new all-time high (ATH) on the horizon, let's dive into what's fueling this optimism.

伙计们，比特币又回到了聚光灯下！在艰难的开始到七月之后，OG加密货币表现出严重的弹性。随着分析师对潜在的新历史高（ATH）的嗡嗡作响，让我们深入研究这一乐观的助长。

Key Drivers Suggest a Potential Surge

主要驱动力建议潜在的激增

Several factors are converging to create a bullish outlook for Bitcoin. A weakening dollar, a record high US M2 money supply, and positive momentum in major indices like the S&P 500 are all playing a role. Historically, Bitcoin has shown a strong correlation with the M2 money supply, and its inverse relationship with the dollar often sees investors flocking to BTC as an inflation hedge.

几个因素正在融合，以创造比特币的看涨前景。弱化的美元，创纪录的美国M2货币供应量以及标准普尔500指数等主要指数的积极势头都在扮演角色。从历史上看，比特币与M2货币供应有很强的相关性，其与美元的逆关系经常将投资者涌向BTC是通货膨胀对冲。

Plus, Bitcoin's supply on exchanges has dropped to levels not seen since August 2018, suggesting reduced selling pressure and a move towards long-term holding. Analyst Crypto Rover even highlighted a bull flag pattern on the BTC price chart, hinting at a potential move towards $120,000!

另外，比特币在交易所的供应量已降至自2018年8月以来从未见过的水平，这表明销售压力降低了，并且朝着长期持有的转变。分析师Crypto Rover甚至在BTC价格图表上强调了公牛旗图案，这暗示了潜在的转移到120,000美元！

The Quarterly Candle: A Sign of Strength?

季度蜡烛：力量的迹象？

Adding fuel to the fire, Bitcoin closed June with a bang, notching its highest monthly close ever at a staggering $107,179, according to crypto analyst PlanB. This surge has reignited speculation about whether a new ATH is within reach. The previous high monthly closes were in May and January, at $104,600 and $102,450, respectively.

根据Crypto Analyst Planb的说法，比特币增加了燃料，比特币爆炸了，每月最高的收盘价以惊人的$ 107,179。这次激增重新激发了关于新ATH是否可以触及的猜测。先前的每月关闭时间分别为5月和一月，分别为104,600美元和102,450美元。

Institutional interest is also soaring. Spot Bitcoin ETFs are attracting mainstream capital, and leading asset manager BlackRock saw inflows of over $1.3 billion in a single week. Michael Saylor's MicroStrategy continues to gobble up BTC, recently adding another 4,980 coins to its massive holdings.

机构的兴趣也在飙升。现货比特币ETF吸引了主流资本，领先的资产经理贝莱德（Blackrock）在一周内的流入超过13亿美元。迈克尔·赛勒（Michael Saylor）的微观策略继续吞噬BTC，最近在其大量持有量增加了4,980个硬币。

Not So Fast: Challenges Remain

不太快：仍然存在挑战

Despite the bullish signs, some caution is warranted. Ray Youssef, CEO of NoOnes, points out that Bitcoin has been range-bound between $106,000 and $108,700 for several days, struggling to break above $108,500. He emphasizes the need for a clear macro catalyst to trigger a decisive breakout.

尽管有看涨的迹象，但仍有一些谨慎。 Noones首席执行官Ray Youssef指出，比特币在几天内一直在106,000美元至108,700美元之间，努力赚钱超过$ 108,500。他强调需要清晰的宏催化剂来引发决定性的突破。

If Bitcoin fails to hold above $107,000, we could see a pullback towards $105,000 or even $102,000. So, while the potential for upside is there, keep an eye on those key levels.

如果比特币无法持有超过107,000美元的售价，我们可能会看到$ 105,000甚至$ 102,000的回调。因此，虽然存在上行的潜力，但请密切关注这些关键水平。

Bitwise Doubles Down: $200K Target in 2025

钻头加倍：2025年的$ 200k目标

Adding to the bullish chorus, Bitwise has reaffirmed its $200,000 Bitcoin price prediction for the end of 2025. They cite post-halving supply tightening, institutional adoption, and growing regulatory clarity as the main drivers. Unlike Ethereum and Solana, which face headwinds, Bitcoin is positioned as the strongest institutional-grade digital asset.

除了看涨的合唱，Bitwise在2025年底重申了其200,000美元的比特币价格预测。他们引用了售后供应收紧，机构采用和日益增长的监管清晰度为主要驱动因素。与面对逆风的以太坊和索拉纳不同，比特币被定位为最强的机构数字资产。

The Bottom Line

底线

Bitcoin's price action is definitely heating up, and the potential for a new all-time high is real. The combination of technical indicators, macroeconomic factors, and institutional interest is creating a compelling narrative. However, as always, volatility is part of the game. Buckle up, crypto enthusiasts, because the next few months could be a wild ride!

比特币的价格动作肯定是在加热，而新的历史最高水平的可能性是真实的。技术指标，宏观经济因素和机构兴趣的结合是创造了令人信服的叙述。但是，与往常一样，波动率是游戏的一部分。加油，加密爱好者，因为接下来的几个月可能是一个疯狂的旅程！

So, is Bitcoin ready to moon? Only time will tell. But one thing's for sure: the world's watching!

那么，比特币准备好月亮了吗？只有时间会证明。但是可以肯定的是：世界正在观看！