比特币价格看起来很舒适。回到其范围的中间

BTC 目前处于 64,000 美元至 63,000 美元水平附近的支撑位。如果这种情况不成立，则可以在 61,000 美元找到进一步的强劲支撑。

The Bitcoin price is showing signs of stalling after a rapid rally. However, key support levels could prevent a major sell-off.

比特币价格在快速上涨后出现停滞迹象。然而，关键支撑位可能会阻止大规模抛售。

Back in the middle of its range, BTC is currently at support around the $64,000 to $63,000 level. Should this not hold, further strong support can be found at $61,000. Once this small pull-back is over, Bitcoin might be expected to resume its latest rally.

回到区间中间，BTC 目前处于 64,000 美元至 63,000 美元水平附近的支撑位。如果这种情况不成立，则可以在 61,000 美元找到进一步的强劲支撑。一旦这次小幅回调结束，比特币可能有望恢复最近的反弹。

Bitcoin Taking a Breather

比特币喘口气

比特币喘口气

All appears to be perfectly normal for Bitcoin. The BTC price is currently experiencing a small pull-back after its exertions of the last couple of weeks.

对于比特币来说，一切似乎都很正常。经过过去几周的努力，比特币价格目前正在经历小幅回调。

During this time, the price rallied 24%, which is nearly $13,000, from the low of $53,400. After such a strong price surge, it’s only normal that Bitcoin bulls would take a breather and allow indicators to reset. It now remains to be seen just how much of a correction the BTC price will take.

在此期间，价格从 53,400 美元的低点上涨了 24%，接近 13,000 美元。在价格如此强劲的上涨之后，比特币多头会喘口气并让指标重置，这是很正常的。现在，比特币价格将出现多大程度的调整还有待观察。

Tail Winds In Evidence, Despite the Pull-Back

尽管出现回调，但逆风明显

尽管出现回调，但逆风明显

Despite the pull-back, tail winds are still very much in evidence. The Spot Bitcoin ETFs are maintaining their latest buying spree, and rumors (unconfirmed) are propagating across social media, and even some mainstream media platforms, that Donald Trump will announce a US Bitcoin strategic reserve at the Nashville 2024 Bitcoin Conference.

尽管出现回调，但顺风仍然非常明显。现货比特币 ETF 正在维持最新的购买热潮，而有关唐纳德·特朗普将在纳什维尔 2024 年比特币会议上宣布美国比特币战略储备的传言（未经证实）正在社交媒体甚至一些主流媒体平台上传播。

Where Will BTC Bounce?

BTC会在哪里反弹？

BTC会在哪里反弹？

Looking at the daily time frame for the BTC price, the first of the orange support levels, at just under $64,000, is currently still holding. However, it might be expected that more of a pull-back will be needed for a healthier correction.

从 BTC 价格的每日时间框架来看，第一个橙色支撑位略低于 64,000 美元，目前仍然坚守。然而，为了更健康的调整，可能需要更多的回调。

Therefore, the second big level of support is at around $61,000. This coincides with the 0.382 Fibonacci level for this move. A retrace to this level, and a bounce from it, would be an extremely bullish result.

因此，第二大支撑位在61,000美元左右。这与此次走势的 0.382 斐波那契水平一致。回调至该水平并从中反弹，将是一个极其看涨的结果。

That said, there is also the possibility that the shallowest Fibonacci level of 0.236 could be where the bounce takes place. This is at $63,133, which is a level that the BTC price has already all but touched.

也就是说，斐波那契最浅水平 0.236 也有可能是反弹发生的地方。该价格为 63,133 美元，这是 BTC 价格几乎已经触及的水平。

5 Months Of Price Structure

5个月的价格结构

5个月的价格结构

Zooming right out into the monthly time frame, it can be seen that the BTC price over the last 5 consecutive months has kept above the very important $61,000 support, which marks the highest monthly candle tops of the 2021 bull market.

放大到月度时间范围，可以看到 BTC 价格在过去连续 5 个月一直保持在非常重要的 61,000 美元支撑位上方，该支撑位标志着 2021 年牛市的最高月度蜡烛顶部。

Five months of price action above this level has had the result of building price structure on top of the 2021 bull market top, and this will be very important going forward.

五个月的价格走势高于该水平已经在 2021 年牛市顶部构建了价格结构，这对于未来非常重要。

The latest July monthly candle looks as though it can have the greatest impact so far. A huge candle wick to the downside shows the amount of buying that is pushing the Bitcoin price up. A monthly close for this candle at or above the bull flag top trend line could signal the next massive price surge that takes Bitcoin towards $100,000.

最新的 7 月月度蜡烛看起来可能会产生迄今为止最大的影响。向下的巨大烛芯显示了推动比特币价格上涨的购买量。该蜡烛的每月收盘价位于或高于牛旗顶部趋势线，可能预示着下一次价格大幅上涨，将比特币推向 100,000 美元。