比特币有望上涨 15 万美元

比特币仍被封闭在一个巨大的盘整区域中，目前已持续 38 天。这种横盘运动已经持续了很长时间，并且被许多人看到

Bitcoin’s price has remained largely unchanged over the past few days, continuing to trade within a narrow range. After forming a local top at around $104,000 on March 28, BTC price dropped to a low of $89,000 on April 11. Since then, Bitcoin has been consolidating, forming higher lows and lower highs.

过去几天，比特币价格基本保持不变，继续在窄幅区间内交易。在3月28日在104,000美元左右形成局部顶部后，BTC价格于4月11日跌至89,000美元的低点。此后，比特币一直在盘整，形成更高的低点和更低的高点。

Bitcoin price dropped below $92,000 on May 12 and quickly recovered, forming a bullish engulfing candle on the 15-minute chart. This signaled a potential bullish reversal from the lower support level. Now, BTC price attempts to rally once more towards the upper resistance at $94,200.

5 月 12 日，比特币价格跌破 92,000 美元，随后迅速回升，在 15 分钟图表上形成看涨吞没蜡烛。这标志着较低支撑位的潜在看涨逆转。现在，BTC 价格试图再次反弹至上方阻力位 94,200 美元。

Bitcoin price now trades at a premium on Coinbase, indicating a bullish market structure. However, the Shiller CAPE shows extreme fear in the market, presenting an opportunity to buy BTC at a lower price before the next bullish leg.

目前，Coinbase 上的比特币价格存在溢价，表明市场结构看涨。然而，希勒 CAPE 显示出市场的极度恐惧，提供了在下一个看涨阶段之前以较低价格购买 BTC 的机会。

Bitcoin’s price has been largely affected by the CME gap, which currently stands at around $94,200. These gaps tend to get filled through either an upward or downward price movement. This technicality could be guiding Bitcoin’s price movement in the short term, either pushing it up or pulling it back for a while longer. Traders follow these levels closely as they can hint at the next directional move in the price.

比特币的价格很大程度上受到 CME 缺口的影响，目前缺口约为 94,200 美元。这些缺口往往会通过价格上涨或下跌来填补。这种技术性可能会在短期内引导比特币的价格走势，要么将其推高，要么将其拉低一段时间。交易者密切关注这些水平，因为它们可以暗示价格的下一个方向变动。

Despite the market consolidation seen in recent months, BTC continues to be in a long-term bull trend. On the MVRV Z-score, BTC is still far from the blow-off top stage, suggesting that the current bull market is not done yet with its growth.

尽管近几个月市场出现盘整，但比特币仍处于长期牛市趋势。在 MVRV Z 分数上，BTC 距离爆发顶峰还很远，这表明当前牛市的增长尚未结束。

Historically, Bitcoin’s price tends to rally after the Christmas period, with many analysts anticipating another leg up in early 2025.

从历史上看，比特币的价格往往会在圣诞节后上涨，许多分析师预计 2025 年初会再次上涨。