分析师预测比特币减半前暴跌

在即将到来的减半之前，比特币 (BTC) 一个多月来首次暂时跌破 60,000 美元。尽管遭遇这一挫折，专家预计供应冲击将导致比特币价格飙升。 4 月 20 日的减半将使矿工的奖励减少一半，从而限制供应并可能增加需求。从历史上看，比特币在减半事件后曾创下新高，预计这次也会出现类似的模式。

Bitcoin Suffers Pre-Halving Dip, Analysts Project Bullish Rebound

比特币减半前遭遇下跌，分析师预测看涨反弹

Bitcoin (BTC), the world's largest cryptocurrency, experienced a temporary setback on April 18th, momentarily dropping below $60,000 for the first time in over a month. This decline raised concerns among investors ahead of the highly anticipated Bitcoin halving event scheduled for April 20th.

全球最大的加密货币比特币（BTC）在 4 月 18 日经历了短暂的挫败，一个月以来首次跌破 60,000 美元。在备受期待的 4 月 20 日比特币减半事件之前，这种下跌引起了投资者的担忧。

The halving, a significant event that occurs every four years, involves a reduction in the block reward granted to Bitcoin miners by 50%. This reduction, designed to control the supply of BTC, has historically been associated with price increases.

减半是每四年发生一次的重大事件，涉及将给予比特币矿工的区块奖励减少 50%。这种减少旨在控制比特币的供应，历史上一直与价格上涨有关。

Despite the temporary setback, analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects. The anticipated supply shock, coupled with strong demand, is expected to drive prices higher in the coming days and weeks. Historically, Bitcoin has set new all-time highs in the months following its halvings.

尽管出现暂时的挫折，分析师仍然对比特币的长期前景持乐观态度。预期的供应冲击，加上强劲的需求，预计将在未来几天和几周内推高价格。从历史上看，比特币在减半后的几个月内创下了历史新高。

"We anticipate a strong rebound after the halving," said David Branch, a crypto analyst at Cointelegraph. "The reduced supply and increased demand will create a supply shock that will push prices higher."

Cointelegraph 的加密货币分析师 David Branch 表示：“我们预计减半后将出现强劲反弹。” “供应减少和需求增加将造成供应冲击，从而推高价格。”

Analysts also note that Bitcoin has reached record popularity levels, particularly since the launch of a spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) earlier this year. This has attracted a new wave of institutional investors who could further bolster the cryptocurrency's value.

分析师还指出，比特币的受欢迎程度已达到创纪录水平，特别是自今年早些时候推出现货交易所交易基金（ETF）以来。这吸引了新一波机构投资者，他们可能会进一步提升加密货币的价值。

"The institutional adoption we've seen recently is a game-changer for Bitcoin," said Emily Carter, a research analyst at Bloomberg. "These investors are betting on the long-term growth potential of the asset, which will likely drive prices higher."

彭博社研究分析师艾米丽·卡特 (Emily Carter) 表示：“我们最近看到的机构采用改变了比特币的游戏规则。” “这些投资者押注于该资产的长期增长潜力，这可能会推高价格。”

However, it's important to note that the price gains following previous halvings have diminished with each event. While Bitcoin's price multiplied 93x, 30x, and 8x in the three previous halving cycles, analysts predict a more modest rally this time around.

然而，值得注意的是，之前减半后的价格涨幅随着每次事件的发生而减少。虽然比特币的价格在前三个减半周期中分别上涨了 93 倍、30 倍和 8 倍，但分析师预测这一次的反弹将更为温和。

"We may see a smaller return on investment compared to previous halvings," said Jeff Dorman, chief investment officer at Arca. "However, even a modest gain could result in substantial profits for investors."

Arca 首席投资官 Jeff Dorman 表示：“与之前的减半相比，我们可能会看到投资回报率下降。” “然而，即使是微小的收益也可能为投资者带来可观的利润。”

Despite the short-term fluctuations, analysts maintain a positive outlook for Bitcoin's future. The halving, coupled with the ongoing institutional adoption, is expected to fuel further price increases, potentially pushing it towards the $100,000 mark before the end of the year.

尽管出现短期波动，分析师仍对比特币的未来持乐观态度。减半加上机构的持续采用，预计将推动价格进一步上涨，有可能在年底前将其推向 10 万美元大关。

"Bitcoin is in a strong position," said Mati Greenspan, a senior market analyst at eToro. "The halving is a catalyst for price growth, and the long-term fundamentals remain bullish. Investors should consider this dip as an opportunity to acquire BTC at a discounted rate."

eToro 高级市场分析师马蒂·格林斯潘 (Mati Greenspan) 表示：“比特币处于强势地位。” “减半是价格上涨的催化剂，长期基本面仍然看涨。投资者应将这次下跌视为以折扣价购买比特币的机会。”

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $62,707, reflecting a 10% decline over the past week. However, analysts anticipate a reversal of this trend in the coming days, with the halving acting as a pivotal catalyst for a bull run.

截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格为 62,707 美元，较过去一周下跌 10%。然而，分析师预计这一趋势将在未来几天发生逆转，减半将成为牛市的关键催化剂。