比特币的“金十字”——比特币下一步大涨至 7 万美元的催化剂？

比特币在周末经历了飙升，一度突破 6 万美元大关。然而，此后价格又回到了发稿时的 58,507.40 美元。

Bitcoin’s peaks of the NVT Golden Cross were observed to be trending lower over the past six months.

据观察，比特币 NVT Golden Cross 的峰值在过去六个月中呈下降趋势。

Those values above 2.2 indicate that the network is likely overpriced, while values below -1.6 signal a market bottom.

高于 2.2 的值表明网络可能定价过高，而低于 -1.6 的值则表明市场触底。

The peaks in the NVT Golden Cross began above 6 in late 2022. However, they declined sharply as Bitcoin formed lower highs on the weekly chart.

NVT Golden Cross 的峰值于 2022 年底开始高于 6。然而，随着比特币在周线图上形成较低的高点，它们急剧下跌。

At press time, the peaks were around 1.5, indicating that the market may have been undervalued relative to transaction volume and presenting an accumulation opportunity.

截至发稿时，峰值在1.5左右，表明市场相对于交易量可能被低估，存在吸筹机会。

Bitcoin 180-day mean coin age continued to trend higher even as the weekly market structure turned bearish in recent months.

尽管近几个月每周市场结构转为看跌，但比特币 180 天平均币龄继续走高。

This metric showed the average age of coins being transacted on the Bitcoin network. A rising 180-day mean coin age suggested that older coins were being moved, while a declining value indicated that newer coins were being sold.

该指标显示了在比特币网络上交易的硬币的平均年龄。 180 天平均币龄的上升表明旧币正在被转移，而价值下降则表明新币正在被出售。

The 180-day mean coin age peaked at around 220 days in late March. After forming lower lows, it began trending higher again as Bitcoin formed lower highs on the weekly chart. At press time, the metric was valued at 203 days.

180 天的平均币龄在 3 月下旬达到峰值，约为 220 天。在形成较低的低点后，随着比特币在周线图上形成较低的高点，比特币开始再次走高。截至发稿时，该指标值为 203 天。

Past month saw strongly positive social media engagement despite choppy Bitcoin price trend.

尽管比特币价格走势波动，但上个月社交媒体的参与度仍非常积极。

This metric measured the total number of likes, shares, and comments on the top 500 crypto-related posts on social media platforms.

该指标衡量了社交媒体平台上前 500 个加密货币相关帖子的点赞、分享和评论总数。

Past month saw strongly positive social media engagement, even though the Bitcoin price trend was choppy. This suggested that retail traders were still interested in crypto, despite the recent downturn.

尽管比特币价格趋势波动，但上个月社交媒体的参与度仍非常积极。这表明，尽管最近经济低迷，零售交易者仍然对加密货币感兴趣。

At press time, the metric was valued at 100k, indicating strong retail interest in Bitcoin.

截至发稿时，该指标的价值为 100k，表明散户对比特币有浓厚的兴趣。

Bitcoin’s MVRV was negative to show holders were at a loss and that the asset was likely undervalued.

比特币的 MVRV 为负，表明持有者处于亏损状态，并且该资产可能被低估。

This metric compared the market value to the realized value of all coins that were moved on a given day.

该指标将市场价值与特定日期移动的所有代币的实现价值进行比较。

Values above 1 indicated that, on average, holders were in profit if they were to sell their coins at the current market price. Conversely, values below 1 showed that, on average, holders were at a loss.

高于 1 的值表明，平均而言，如果持有者以当前市场价格出售代币，他们就会获利。相反，低于 1 的值表明持有者平均处于亏损状态。

Bitcoin’s MVRV was valued at -0.24 at press time, indicating that holders were at a loss and that the asset was likely undervalued.

截至发稿时，比特币的 MVRV 估值为-0.24，表明持有者处于亏损状态，且该资产可能被低估。

Bitcoin daily active addresses metric remained stable since June.

自 6 月份以来，比特币每日活跃地址指标保持稳定。

This metric counted the number of unique Bitcoin addresses that were either sending or receiving coins on a given day.

该指标计算了在给定日期发送或接收硬币的唯一比特币地址的数量。

Past months saw a downturn in daily active addresses, coinciding with a period of low volatility in the Bitcoin market. However, the metric remained largely stable since June.

过去几个月，每日活跃地址数量有所下降，恰逢比特币市场的低波动时期。然而，自六月以来该指标基本保持稳定。

At press time, the metric was valued at 600k, indicating a stable level of on-chain activity.

截至发稿时，该指标值为 600k，表明链上活动水平稳定。