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加密货币新闻

比特币期货,期权和$ 110K探戈:下一步是什么?

2025/09/29 00:05

比特币的舞蹈约11万美元涉及期货,选择和市场情绪转变。是健康的重置还是看跌警告?让我们分解。

比特币期货,期权和$ 110K探戈:下一步是什么?

Bitcoin Futures, Options, and the $110K Tango: What's Next?

比特币期货,期权和$ 110K探戈:下一步是什么?

Bitcoin's been doing the cha-cha around the $110,000 mark, and it's all thanks to the wild world of futures, options, and ever-shifting market sentiment. The big question: Is this a healthy reset, or are we looking at a bearish warning sign? Let's dive in, New York style.

比特币一直在$ 110,000大关左右进行CHA-CHA,这全都归功于期货,期权和不断变化的市场情绪。最大的问题:这是健康的重置,还是我们正在查看看跌警告信号?让我们潜入纽约风格。

The $110K Battleground

售价11万美元的战场

Over the weekend, Bitcoin flirted with $109,449, making that sweet $110,000 level a crucial zone. Think of it as a tug-of-war between the bulls placing their bets and the bears setting up protective hedges. Right now, caution's the name of the game, with technical indicators leaning bearish and futures/options flows revealing some serious positioning.

在周末,比特币以109,449美元的价格调情,这使得$ 110,000的级别至关重要。将其视为公牛下注和熊队建立防护篱笆之间的拔河。目前,谨慎是游戏的名称,技术指标倾斜看跌和期货/选项流,揭示了一些严重的位置。

Futures Market: A $77 Billion Playground

期货市场:770亿美元的游乐场

The futures market is still buzzing, boasting a total open interest (OI) of 707.59K BTC, which translates to a whopping $77.45 billion. CME is leading the pack. Binance is hot on its heels. Smaller exchanges are showing mixed signals, with some rising and others taking a nosedive.

期货市场仍在嗡嗡作响,拥有707.59k BTC的总开放息(OI),这一比例高达774.5亿美元。 CME正在领导背包。 Binance在脚后跟很热。较小的交流显示出混合的信号,有些升起,有些则呈鼻子。

Options: Calls Still Rule, But Puts Are Gaining Ground

选项:呼叫仍然规则,但投票正在发展

When it comes to options, calls are still king, holding a solid 60.66% of the OI. Puts are putting up a fight, grabbing more short-term flow. Recent activity on Deribit shows puts accounting for a larger share of volume, hinting at some serious hedging going on.

在选择方面,呼叫仍然是国王,持有OI的60.66%。权利正在打架,抓住了更多的短期流程。最近在deribit上的活动显示,占数量的份额更大,暗示了一些严重的对冲。

Contracts near the current trading level are dominating short-term plays. Looking further out, December expiries reveal traders are still hungry for higher prices, with the $140,000 and $200,000 calls leading the charge.

当前交易级别接近的合同主要是短期戏剧。进一步,12月的到期显示,交易者仍然渴望更高的价格,其中140,000美元和20万美元的电话带领了这一费用。

Market Sentiment: Cautiously Optimistic?

市场情绪:谨慎乐观?

Despite the heavy positioning, market sentiment has turned cautious. Profit-taking and ETF outflows have slowed things down, keeping Bitcoin just shy of that $110K level. Some analysts believe this could be a temporary cooldown after volatility spikes.

尽管位置很重,但市场情绪还是谨慎的。获利和ETF的流出使事情放慢了速度,使比特币远远超过了11万美元的水平。一些分析师认为,这可能是波动率峰值后的临时冷却。

The Analyst's Take

分析师的看法

Jean-David Péquignot, chief commercial officer at Deribit by Coinbase, thinks this drawdown could be a healthy reset, purging excessive leverage and stabilizing speculative positioning. However, he warns that failure to hold support levels could shift sentiment bearish. It all hinges on macroeconomic clarity and price stabilization.

Coinbase的Deribit首席商务官Jean-DavidPéquignot认为,这种缩减可能是一个健康的重置,清除了过多的杠杆作用并稳定投机位置。但是,他警告说,未能保持支持水平可能会改变看跌的情绪。这一切都取决于宏观经济的清晰度和价格稳定。

Looking Ahead: Volatility and Potential Recovery

展望未来:波动和潜在的恢复

Lower trading volume suggests a cautious approach, but positive economic news could set the stage for a Bitcoin recovery. Bullish signals could drive Bitcoin towards $120,000, while hawkish tones might retest $110,000. With October's bullish seasonality on the horizon, this retreat could pave the way for a V-shaped recovery. But vigilance is key!

较低的交易量表明一种谨慎的方法,但是积极的经济新闻可能为比特币恢复奠定了基础。看涨的信号可能会将比特币驱动到120,000美元,而霍克斯的音调可能会重新估算110,000美元。随着十月的看涨季节性,这种静修会为V形恢复铺平道路。但是警惕是关键!

Final Thoughts: Buckle Up!

最终想法:搭扣!

So, what's the takeaway? Bitcoin's journey around $110K is a complex dance influenced by futures, options, and a whole lot of market sentiment. Whether it's a brief dip or a sign of things to come, one thing's for sure: it's gonna be an interesting ride. So, keep your eyes peeled, your wits about you, and maybe grab a slice of New York pizza to ease the tension. After all, in the world of crypto, anything can happen!

那么,收获是什么?比特币的旅程约为11万美元,是一种复杂的舞蹈,受期货,选择和大量市场情绪的影响。无论是简短的蘸料还是即将发生的事情的迹象,肯定是一件事:这将是一个有趣的旅程。因此,请保持眼睛剥皮,对您的智慧,也许抓住一片纽约披萨以缓解紧张局势。毕竟,在加密货币世界中,任何事情都可能发生!

原文来源:cointribune

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