比特币的未来从未如此模棱两可

比特币的未来从未如此模棱两可。一方面，美国正在创建一个战略性的比特币储备。另一方面，第一个加密货币的许多著名支持者都担心该项目正在远离其根源。

The future of Bitcoin has never looked so ambiguous. On the one hand, the U.S. is creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve. On the other, many prominent supporters of the first cryptocurrency are concerned that the project is moving away from its roots.

比特币的未来从未如此模棱两可。一方面，美国正在创建战略性比特币储备。另一方面，第一个加密货币的许多著名支持者都担心该项目正在远离其根源。

Jack Dorsey: "If #bitcoin ends up being just digital gold, I think it has failed."

杰克·多尔西（Jack Dorsey）：“如果#bitcoin最终只是数字黄金，我认为它已经失败了。”

Jack Dorsey, founder of Twitter and a well-known Bitcoin enthusiast, stated earlier this year that if Bitcoin becomes simply a form of "digital gold," the project could be considered a failure. A national Bitcoin reserve may be good for the state, but I'm not sure it's good for Bitcoin itself.

Twitter的创始人，著名的比特币爱好者杰克·多尔西（Jack Dorsey）表示，今年早些时候，如果比特币仅仅是“数字黄金”的一种形式，则该项目可能被认为是失败的。国家比特币储备可能对国家有好处，但我不确定这对比特币本身是否有益。

Dorsey is convinced that Bitcoin needs to return to the original concept described in the white paper and work towards becoming a form of peer-to-peer cash that can be used around the world – only then can the project succeed.

Dorsey坚信比特币需要返回白皮书中描述的原始概念，并致力于成为可以在世界范围内使用的点对点现金的一种形式 - 只有这样，该项目才能成功。

Closed-loop Bitcoin economies vs. Wall Street

闭环比特币经济与华尔街

Around the world, "closed-loop Bitcoin economies" – localized economic systems that use BTC as currency – are being created to demonstrate the viability of the cryptocurrency and show what the future of Bitcoin might look like.

在世界范围内，正在创建“使用BTC作为货币的本地经济体系“闭环比特币经济体”，以证明加密货币的可行性，并展示比特币的未来可能是什么样。

The Bitcoin Federation defines the closed-loop Bitcoin economy as "a localized economic ecosystem where Bitcoin is used as a medium of exchange, a unit of account, and a means of preserving value." There are places where Bitcoin fulfills all three functions of currency in the usual sense.

比特币联合会将闭环比特币经济定义为“一个本地化的经济生态系统，比特币被用作交换媒介，账户单位和保留价值的手段。”在某些地方，比特币在通常的意义上履行了所有三个货币功能。

Such communities are scattered around the world, but they are united by the belief that Bitcoin is a superior form of money that should be used "as a means of payment for goods and services and to settle other financial obligations."

这些社区遍布世界各地，但他们的信念是，比特币是一种优越的货币形式，应“用作商品和服务的支付手段并履行其他财务义务”。

This approach differs significantly from the prevailing attitude in the United States, where crypto-enthusiasts view Bitcoin as a reserve asset to be hoarded – a kind of digital gold. President Donald Trump, at a Bitcoin conference in Nashville in July 2024, bluntly stated, Never sell your Bitcoins.

这种方法与美国普遍的态度有很大不同，在美国，加密助人的热心将比特币视为要ho积的储备资产 - 一种数字黄金。唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）总统在2024年7月在纳什维尔举行的比特币会议上说，从不出售您的比特币。

In a lecture at the Bitcoin Policy Institute on March 17, Strategy CEO and Bitcoin maximalist Michael Saylor compared the digital currency to an investment asset. In his view, a significant hoard of Bitcoins would allow the US government to establish dominance in the digital economy, similar to how it expanded its territory and influence in the 19th century under the banner of manifest destiny.

在3月17日在比特币政策研究所的一场演讲中，战略首席执行官和比特币最大主义者迈克尔·塞勒（Michael Saylor）将数字货币与投资资产进行了比较。他认为，一大堆比特币将使美国政府能够在数字经济中建立统治地位，类似于在明显的命运的旗帜下，它如何扩大19世纪的领土和影响力。

Manifest destiny was a 19th century U.S. concept and political doctrine that Americans had a historical right and even divine destiny to expand their territories and spread their values across the North American continent, an ideological rationale used to justify U.S. territorial expansion.

明显的命运是美国19世纪的一个概念和政治学说，美国人拥有历史权，甚至是神圣的命运，可以扩大其领土并在北美大陆上传播其价值观，这是一种意识形态的理由，用于证明美国领土的扩张是合理的。

The golden mean – inevitability of acceptance by states

黄金平均值 - 国家接受接受

There's no denying that the mass adoption of Bitcoin by countries like the US does indeed distance the cryptocurrency from its founding principles. But that's the paradoxical beauty of Bitcoin – it's created equally accessible to everyone, even potential opponents of the seed itself.

不可否认的是，像美国这样的国家大量采用比特币确实距离加密货币与其创建原则相距甚远。但这就是比特币的悖论美 ​​- 每个人都可以同样地使用它，即使是种子本身的潜在反对者。

The adoption of Bitcoin by governments was inevitable from the beginning. If there was a way to prohibit governments from using Bitcoin, it would go against the most fundamental principle of cryptocurrency – to be money that doesn't require anyone's permission.

政府从一开始就不可避免地采用比特币。如果有一种禁止政府使用比特币的方法，那将违背加密货币的最基本原则 - 是不需要任何人许可的钱。

That said, the Bitcoin community has a set of core values that promote the adoption of cryptocurrency at a grassroots level, not as state charity. Bitcoin is now at a stage of development where it is more important to think about how it is accepted rather than whether it is accepted at all.

也就是说，比特币社区拥有一系列核心价值，可以在基层层面上促进加密货币的采用，而不是州慈善机构。现在，比特币正处于开发阶段，考虑到它的接受方式更重要，而不是完全接受。

Closed-loop economies are crucial to creating a future where Bitcoin is owned and used by ordinary people, not just stored as a pure asset in the digital vaults of big banks and governments.

闭环经济体对于创造普通百姓拥有和使用比特币的未来至关重要，而不仅仅是在大银行和政府的数字库中存储为纯资产。

The benefits of Bitcoin adoption by governments cannot be overlooked. Adoption in a large country like the United States could have a positive effect, given that many view the United States as a benchmark in the financial world. Plus, the adoption of Bitcoin by the U.S. will raise awareness of the first cryptocurrency, which will benefit the entire network and have a beneficial effect on closed-loop economies around the world.

政府采用比特币的好处不可忽视。鉴于许多人认为美国是金融界的基准，因此在像美国这样的大国采用可能会产生积极的影响。另外，美国采用比特币将提高人们对第一次加密货币的认识，这将使整个网络受益，并对世界各地的闭环经济体产生有益的影响。

What is Bitcoin doing within the closed-loop economy?

闭环经济中比特币在做什么？

Closed-loop Bitcoin economies are present all over the world. They are especially prevalent in developing countries where the local currency is unreliable as a store of value.

全世界都有闭环比特币经济体。在当地货币作为价值存储不可靠的发展中国家中，它们尤其普遍。

In Cuba, where inflation is galloping and wages are unbearably low, Bitcoin and closed economies have allowed locals to protect their savings.

在古巴，通货膨胀正在疾驰而来，工资却难以忍受，比特币和封闭经济体允许当地人保护他们的储蓄。

In rural Peru, where most people do not have bank accounts or access to financial services, Bitcoin has provided a way for locals to save money and pay for school and daily expenses.

在秘鲁农村地区，大多数人没有银行帐户或获得金融服务，比特币为当地人提供了一种省钱并支付学校和每日费用的方式。

However, there are also challenges. In particular, Bitcoin's notorious volatility makes it difficult to promote it as a savings instrument in rural communities. Such exchange rate volatility makes it challenging to explain to rural residents, especially in developing countries, why they should entrust their funds to an asset whose value can change dramatically in a short period of time.

但是，也有挑战。尤其是，比特币臭名昭著的波动率使得很难将其作为农村社区的储蓄工具推广。这种汇率波动率使向农村居民（尤其是在发展中国家）解释为什么他们应该将资金托付给资产的资产，其价值可以在短时间内发生巨大变化。

Bitcoin communities also face challenges in expanding beyond the group of existing expats and enthusiasts. Bitcoin supporters flocked to El

比特币社区在扩大现有的外籍人士和发烧友群体方面也面临挑战。比特币支持者蜂拥而至