比特币，菲亚特信号，运行：解码加密水晶球

全球货币供应激增暗示了潜在的比特币公牛运行。是时候驶向加密货币了吗？

Bitcoin, Fiat Signal, Run: Decoding the Crypto Crystal Ball

比特币，菲亚特信号，运行：解码加密水晶球

The crypto world's buzzing! The global money supply's gone up 9%, a signal that historically, Bitcoin's partied hard. But what does it all mean for your wallet? Let's dive in.

加密世界的嗡嗡声！全球货币供应量增长了9％，这一信号从历史上看，比特币的竞选艰难。但是这对您的钱包意味着什么？让我们潜水。

The Fiat Floodgates Are Open

菲亚特闸门开放

Central banks are apparently hitting the 'print' button like there's no tomorrow. All this new fiat currency sloshing around often means good things for Bitcoin. Think of it like this: when traditional money becomes more abundant, folks start looking for alternatives. Enter Bitcoin, stage right.

中央银行显然正在按照“印刷”按钮，就像没有明天一样。所有这些新的法定货币闲逛通常意味着比特币的好东西。这样想：当传统资金变得更加丰富时，人们就开始寻找替代方案。输入比特币，正确的舞台。

Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards pointed out that past surges in the global money supply have preceded major bull rallies for Bitcoin. We're talking 663% gains after the August 2017 signal, 136% after November 2017, and a whopping 580% after June 2020. That's an average gain of 460%! So, history suggests we might be in for a wild ride.

Capriole Investments的创始人查尔斯·爱德华兹（Charles Edwards）指出，全球货币供应的过去浪潮已经在比特币的大公牛集会之前。我们会说2017年8月信号之后的收益663％，2017年11月之后的136％，在2020年6月之后的580％。这是460％的平均收益！因此，历史表明我们可能会狂奔。

Ancient Coins Stir

古代硬币搅拌

Recently, a massive amount of old Bitcoin – we're talking coins over ten years old – moved. About 81,000 BTC, worth billions, suddenly shuffled around. Usually, that means someone's cashing out profits. But here's the kicker: even with that big sell-off, demand for Bitcoin remains strong. Edwards noted that Bitcoin's Apparent Demand is still bullish, despite the 80,000 BTC changing hands. This metric looks at Bitcoin production versus inactive supply, suggesting continued interest even as some early adopters take profits.

最近，大量的旧比特币（我们在谈论十年的硬币）搬了出来。大约81,000 BTC，价值数十亿美元，突然流浪。通常，这意味着某人兑现利润。但这是踢球者：即使卖出了很大的抛售，对比特币的需求仍然很强劲。爱德华兹（Edwards）指出，尽管有80,000 BTC易手，比特币的明显需求仍然是看好的。该度量标准着眼于比特币的生产与非活动供应，这表明即使一些早期采用者获利，也持续了兴趣。

Bitcoin's Price: Riding the Wave?

比特币的价格：骑波浪？

Currently, Bitcoin's hanging around $108,969, showing a slight increase. It's facing resistance at $109,574 but finding support at $107,876. Some analysts are drawing parallels to previous bull runs, suggesting we could see a market top in about six months if the current trend continues. Of course, crypto's never a straight line up; expect some bumps along the way.

目前，比特币的挂在108,969美元左右，显示出略有增加。它面临109,574美元的抵抗力，但以107,876美元的价格找到支持。一些分析师正在与以前的公牛跑步相似，这表明如果当前趋势继续下去，我们可以在大约六个月内看到市场的顶峰。当然，加密从来都不是直线阵容。期待一路上一些颠簸。

Altcoin Season on the Horizon?

Altcoin季节即将到来？

While Bitcoin's been hogging the spotlight, altcoins haven't exactly been setting the world on fire. But some think an “altcoin season” is coming, where coins like XRP could catch up. If XRP continues to follow Bitcoin's trajectory, we could see some significant gains. I mean, imagine XRP at $70. Crazy, right? But in crypto, never say never.

当比特币一直引起人们的关注时，Altcoins并没有完全着火。但是有些人认为即将到来的“ Altcoin赛季”，例如XRP这样的硬币可以追赶。如果XRP继续遵循比特币的轨迹，我们可以看到一些显着的收益。我的意思是，想象XRP $ 70。疯了，对吗？但是在加密中，永远不要说永远不会。

My Take: Buckle Up!

我的看法：搭扣！

So, what's the takeaway? The fiat signal is flashing green, Bitcoin's showing resilience, and altcoins might be gearing up for their moment. I think it’s a cocktail for potential gains, but also a reminder that crypto's volatile. I would not bet the house on any single crypto asset. Based on this analysis, the smart thing is to invest what you can afford to lose, do your own research, and be prepared for some ups and downs.

那么，收获是什么？菲亚特信号正在闪烁绿色，比特币表现出弹性，而Altcoins可能正在准备时刻。我认为这是一种潜在收益的鸡尾酒，但也提醒了加密货币的动荡。我不会在任何一个加密资产上打赌房子。基于此分析，聪明的事情是投资您能负担得起的损失，进行自己的研究，并为某些起伏做好准备。

The bottom line? Keep an eye on the money supply, watch for those old coins moving, and maybe, just maybe, get ready to run... towards opportunity! Just remember, it's a marathon, not a sprint. Now, if you'll excuse me, I'm off to check my own portfolio. Wish me luck!

底线？请密切关注货币供应，注意那些旧硬币的移动，也许，也许，准备跑步...朝着机会奔跑！请记住，这是一场马拉松，而不是冲刺。现在，如果您能原谅我，我要去检查自己的投资组合。祝我好运！