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在比特币近期飙升至 71,000 美元以上的推动下,比特币恐惧与贪婪指数已达到“极度贪婪”区域,表明投资者的乐观情绪有所提高。该指标根据波动性、交易量、社交媒体情绪和其他因素衡量市场情绪,数值高于 75 表示极度看涨。从历史上看,这种情绪与重大的市场转折点同时发生,表明潜在的调整或回调可能即将出现。
Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Signals Extreme Exuberance as BTC Surges Past $71,000
随着 BTC 飙升至 71,000 美元以上,比特币恐惧与贪婪指数显示极度繁荣
Fear & Greed Index: A Thermometer of Market Sentiment
恐惧与贪婪指数:市场情绪的温度计
The Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index, a widely followed indicator created by Alternative.me, provides a quantitative measure of investor sentiment in the Bitcoin and broader cryptocurrency market. This index assigns a score between zero and 100, with zero representing extreme fear and 100 representing extreme greed.
比特币恐惧与贪婪指数是由 Alternative.me 创建的一项受到广泛关注的指标,它提供了比特币和更广泛的加密货币市场投资者情绪的定量衡量标准。该指数的得分在 0 到 100 之间,0 代表极度恐惧,100 代表极度贪婪。
The index incorporates various metrics to determine sentiment, including volatility, trading volume, social media sentiment, market capitalization dominance, and Google Trends data. When the index falls below 46, it suggests that the average investor is fearful, while a reading above 54 indicates a prevalent sentiment of greed in the market. The range between 47 and 53 represents a neutral sentiment.
该指数综合了各种指标来确定情绪,包括波动性、交易量、社交媒体情绪、市值主导地位和谷歌趋势数据。当该指数跌破46时,表明普通投资者感到恐惧,而高于54则表明市场普遍存在贪婪情绪。 47 到 53 之间的范围代表中性情绪。
Extreme Greed Enters BTC Market
极度贪婪进入比特币市场
As of the latest update, the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index stands at 81, firmly within the "extreme greed" territory. This elevated reading, exceeding 75, historically precedes significant market movements.
截至最新更新,比特币恐惧与贪婪指数为 81,稳居“极度贪婪”区间。从历史上看,这一读数超过 75,出现在重大市场波动之前。
Historically, extreme greed and fear have been strong contrarian indicators in the Bitcoin market. When sentiment becomes heavily skewed in either direction, the likelihood of a corrective move increases. Major price peaks and troughs in Bitcoin's history have often coincided with these extreme zones.
从历史上看,极端的贪婪和恐惧一直是比特币市场的强烈逆向指标。当情绪严重偏向任一方向时,采取纠正行动的可能性就会增加。比特币历史上的主要价格高峰和低谷往往与这些极端区域同时发生。
Recent Sentiment Trends
近期情绪趋势
Earlier in the month, as Bitcoin rallied towards new all-time highs, the Fear & Greed Index reached exceptionally high levels of extreme greed. The two major peaks of this period, including the current all-time high, occurred alongside peaks in the index, suggesting that excessive optimism may have contributed to these price movements.
本月早些时候,随着比特币上涨至历史新高,恐惧与贪婪指数达到了异常高的极度贪婪水平。这一时期的两个主要峰值,包括当前的历史高点,都是与该指数的峰值同时出现的,这表明过度乐观可能是导致这些价格走势的原因。
However, with the subsequent price decline, sentiment cooled and exited the extreme greed zone. In bullish market conditions, such a retracement often serves as a positive indication for potential upward momentum.
然而,随着随后价格下跌,市场情绪降温并退出极端贪婪区域。在看涨的市场条件下,这种回调通常是潜在上涨动力的积极迹象。
Resurgence of Extreme Greed
极度贪婪的死灰复燃
As Bitcoin has rebounded in recent days, returning towards the $71,000 mark, sentiment has once again heated up. The index's latest reading reflects this renewed surge of optimism, signaling extreme greed.
随着比特币近几日反弹,重返71,000美元大关,市场情绪再次升温。该指数的最新读数反映了乐观情绪重新高涨,表明极度贪婪。
While the current extreme greed value of 81 is slightly lower than the previous peaks of 90 and 88, it remains within a range where further price appreciation is still possible.
虽然当前的极端贪婪值 81 略低于之前的峰值 90 和 88,但仍处于价格仍有可能进一步升值的范围内。
BTC Price Action
比特币价格走势
Following a brief surge above $71,000 earlier today, Bitcoin has experienced a slight pullback, currently hovering around $70,700.
在今天早些时候短暂飙升至 71,000 美元上方之后,比特币经历了小幅回调,目前徘徊在 70,700 美元附近。
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