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加密货币新闻

分析师表示,比特币交易流多次暗示看涨反弹的潜力

2024/10/01 13:24

比特币价格显着上涨,成功从八月份的损失中反弹。过去两周,加密货币

分析师表示,比特币交易流多次暗示看涨反弹的潜力

As Bitcoin continues to experience price fluctuations, an analyst from the on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant has shared their insights on the potential for a more significant rally in the coming period based on key indicators.

随着比特币价格持续波动,链上分析平台 CryptoQuant 的分析师根据关键指标分享了他们对未来一段时间更大幅上涨潜力的见解。

The analysis focuses on the "Exchange Flow Multiple," a metric that provides insight into the movement of Bitcoin on exchanges by measuring the ratio between short-term (30-day) and long-term (365-day) BTC inflows and outflows. A decline in this multiple indicates that short-term exchange movements are substantially lower compared to long-term exchange activity, which could suggest a potential for decreased volatility in the market.

该分析的重点是“交易流量倍数”,该指标通过测量短期(30 天)和长期(365 天)BTC 流入和流出之间的比率来深入了解比特币在交易所的变动。该倍数的下降表明,与长期交易活动相比,短期汇率波动要低得多,这可能表明市场波动性可能会降低。

According to the CryptoQuant analyst, two main factors can influence the decline in the Bitcoin Exchange Flow Multiple.

CryptoQuant 分析师表示,有两个主要因素会影响比特币交易流量倍数的下降。

The first factor is Long-Term Holders Retaining Assets, which pertains to the behavior of long-term Bitcoin holders. These holders, often referred to as “HODLers,” typically prefer to retain their assets over extended periods with the anticipation of future price increases, rather than actively engaging in trading. This strategy contributes to a decrease in the exchange flow multiple.

第一个因素是长期持有者保留资产,这与长期比特币持有者的行为有关。这些持有者通常被称为“HODLers”,通常更愿意长期保留其资产,并预期未来价格上涨,而不是积极参与交易。该策略有助于降低交换流量倍数。

The second factor relates to the natural process of market correction and recovery, specifically following significant drops in Bitcoin's price. During these periods, the market tends to require time to stabilize. This stabilization period is characterized by a slowdown in exchange activity as investors adopt a "wait-and-see" approach, anticipating a more favorable price shift before re-entering the market actively.

第二个因素与市场调整和复苏的自然过程有关,特别是在比特币价格大幅下跌之后。在此期间,市场往往需要时间才能稳定。这一稳定期的特点是交易活动放缓,因为投资者采取“观望”态度,预计在积极重新进入市场之前会出现更有利的价格变化。

The analyst also draws parallels to previous bullish trends, highlighting that the current behavior of the Exchange Flow Multiple is reminiscent of patterns observed prior to major market uptrends, such as the one experienced in 2023. The CryptoQuant analyst suggests that if history repeats itself, the current low levels of this indicator could set the stage for the next significant upward movement in Bitcoin's price.

该分析师还与之前的看涨趋势进行了比较,强调当前交易流量倍数的行为让人想起在主要市场上涨趋势之前观察到的模式,例如 2023 年经历的情况。CryptoQuant 分析师表示,如果历史重演,那么该指标目前的低水平可能为比特币价格的下一次大幅上涨奠定基础。

These insights from the analyst suggest a potential for an impending positive shift in Bitcoin's market dynamics, signaling possible opportunities for investors as the cryptocurrency market prepares for its next phase.

分析师的这些见解表明,比特币市场动态即将发生积极转变,这表明随着加密货币市场为下一阶段做准备,投资者可能面临机会。

原文来源:westislandblog

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