比特币修正：道路上的暂时颠簸还是长期下跌趋势的开始？

上周，随着一波消息席卷市场，主要加密货币经历了过山车般的波动。投资者争先恐后地做

Major cryptocurrencies experienced a turbulent week as a wave of news impacted the market. From the early week’s U.S. CPI and PPI data to negative inflow in spot ETFs and Bitcoin miner capitulation, investors are attempting to decipher its collective meaning. Among the key questions on everyone’s mind is whether Bitcoin has begun a prolonged correction or if this is merely a temporary bump on the road.

随着一波消息影响市场，主要加密货币经历了动荡的一周。从本周初的美国 CPI 和 PPI 数据到现货 ETF 的负流入和比特币矿商的投降，投资者正试图解读其集体含义。每个人都关心的一个关键问题是，比特币是否已经开始了长期的调整，或者这只是路上的一个暂时的颠簸。

Analyst Ted (@tedtalksmacro) provides insights into the critical elements influencing Bitcoin’s outlook.

分析师 Ted (@tedtalksmacro) 提供了对影响比特币前景的关键因素的见解。

1/ Critical Week Ahead for Bitcoin: Disinflation ContinuesImplied weekly ranges:

1/ 比特币即将到来的关键一周：通货紧缩仍在继续隐含的每周范围：

BTC – $65.1k – $74.1k USD

比特币 – 6.51 万美元 – 7.41 万美元

ETH – $3,388 – $4,025 USD

以太币 – 3,388 美元 – 4,025 美元

Thanks to @_WOO_X for supporting this content.

感谢@_WOO_X 对本内容的支持。

Here's what I am watching this week ? pic.twitter.com/6ummQSDKce

这是我本周正在观看的内容? pic.twitter.com/6ummQSDKce

Recent U.S. economic data, such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI), carried positive implications for risk assets like Bitcoin. These figures suggested that inflationary pressures might be easing, which usually benefits assets perceived to offer safe haven during periods of economic uncertainty.

最近的美国经济数据，例如消费者价格指数（CPI）和生产者价格指数（PPI），对比特币等风险资产产生了积极影响。这些数据表明通胀压力可能正在缓解，这通常有利于被认为在经济不确定时期提供避风港的资产。

However, despite these favorable economic signals, the Federal Reserve's cautious approach to potential interest rate cuts instilled a sense of FOMO in the market. The upcoming FOMC meeting and its updated projections will provide further clarity on the Fed's plans for interest rates, influencing investor sentiment towards Bitcoin and other markets.

然而，尽管有这些有利的经济信号，美联储对潜在降息的谨慎态度向市场灌输了一种“害怕错过”的感觉。即将举行的联邦公开市场委员会会议及其更新的预测将进一步明确美联储的利率计划，从而影响投资者对比特币和其他市场的情绪。

In the current scenario, Ted highlights that it is crucial for Bitcoin to hold above the $66,000 mark to maintain stability. If it manages to stay above this level, it could bolster confidence and attract buyers. On the other hand, if it dips below $66,000, it might encounter selling pressure and lead to a price decrease, impacting market sentiment negatively.

Ted 强调，在当前情况下，比特币保持在 66,000 美元大关上方以保持稳定至关重要。如果它能够保持在这一水平之上，就可以增强信心并吸引买家。另一方面，如果跌破66,000美元，可能会遇到抛售压力并导致价格下跌，从而对市场情绪产生负面影响。

Traders are keeping a close eye on the weekly trading ranges for Bitcoin, which is set at $65,100 to $74,100, and Ethereum, which spans from $3,388 to $4,025. These ranges provide insights into market expectations and potential price movements for both cryptocurrencies.

交易员正在密切关注比特币和以太坊的每周交易区间，比特币的交易区间为 65,100 美元至 74,100 美元，以太坊的交易区间为 3,388 美元至 4,025 美元。这些范围提供了对两种加密货币的市场预期和潜在价格变动的见解。

Interestingly, U.S. tech stocks, such as the NASDAQ, reached new highs amid expectations of central bank monetary policies. This divergence in performance between tech stocks and Bitcoin suggests a broader shift in market sentiment that could influence Bitcoin's trajectory.

有趣的是，纳斯达克等美国科技股在央行货币政策预期下创下新高。科技股和比特币之间的表现差异表明市场情绪发生了更广泛的转变，可能会影响比特币的走势。

Moreover, investment flows into Bitcoin-related ETFs, which serve as a critical indicator of market sentiment, are expected to resume as key economic announcements bring greater clarity.

此外，随着重要的经济公告变得更加清晰，作为市场情绪关键指标的比特币相关 ETF 的投资预计将恢复。

According to the analyst, Ethereum might catch up to Bitcoin in the cryptocurrency market. The prospect of upcoming Ethereum ETF launches on Wall Street bodes well for its potential, indicating institutional interest in cryptocurrencies beyond just Bitcoin.

这位分析师表示，以太坊可能会在加密货币市场上赶上比特币。即将在华尔街推出的以太坊 ETF 的前景预示着其潜力，表明机构对加密货币的兴趣不仅仅是比特币。

Meanwhile, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) and Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rate decisions will also impact economic stability and investor confidence. While interest rate cuts are unlikely this week, any indications of future changes could influence the overall global market mood.

同时，瑞士央行（SNB）和澳大利亚储备银行（RBA）的利率决定也将影响经济稳定和投资者信心。尽管本周不太可能降息，但任何未来变化的迹象都可能影响全球市场的整体情绪。

Overall, Bitcoin's current price is about 10% below its all-time high of $73,750, and a 20-30% correction is normal for this volatile asset. But the broader trend is still positive, and this correction offers opportunities for investors to buy the dip. As of now, Bitcoin is trading eagerly for any news that could shift its direction, currently at $65,965.

总体而言，比特币当前价格比历史高点 73,750 美元低约 10%，对于这种波动性资产来说，20-30% 的调整是正常的。但整体趋势仍向好，此次调整为投资者逢低买入提供了机会。截至目前，比特币正在热切等待任何可能改变其方向的消息，目前价格为 65,965 美元。