比特币盘整，在最深度回调后准备突破

尽管本周早些时候跌破 61,000 美元，但比特币 (BTC) 在过去 24 小时内反弹 2%，重回 63,000 美元水平。虽然 BTC 的交易价格在 61,000 美元至 64,000 美元之间，但分析师表示，它可能很快就会突破当前的盘整阶段。值得注意的是，本次回调是本次比特币周期中最深（-23.6％）和最长（50天）的回调，超过了之前的跌幅。

Bitcoin Consolidates, Poised for Breakout After Deepest Retracement in Current Cycle

比特币盘整，在本周期最深回调后准备突破

[May 9, 2024] - The Bitcoin (BTC) price has gained ground over the past 24 hours, rising by 2% to reclaim the $63,000 level after dipping below $61,000 on Thursday, May 9. However, Bitcoin remains within a narrow range between $61,000 and $64,000.

[2024 年 5 月 9 日] - 比特币 (BTC) 价格在 5 月 9 日星期四跌破 61,000 美元后，在过去 24 小时内上涨了 2%，收复 63,000 美元的水平。然而，比特币仍处于窄幅区间内61,000 美元和 64,000 美元。

Crypto analyst Rekt Capital's recent analysis suggests that the ongoing market retracement has surpassed previous records, with a decline of -23.6%, making it the deepest pullback since the -22.9% observed in early 2023. This retracement is also one of the longest in this cycle, spanning nearly 50 days.

加密货币分析师 Rekt Capital 最近的分析表明，持续的市场回调已经超过了之前的记录，跌幅为 -23.6%，是自 2023 年初观察到的 -22.9% 以来最严重的回调。这次回调也是本次回调中最长的回调之一。周期近50天。

Notably, Bitcoin's current pullback exceeds the extent of any previous retracement in this cycle, indicating a significant shift in market dynamics. Additionally, there has been a surge in Bitcoin whale activity, indicating strong accumulation.

值得注意的是，比特币当前的回调超过了本周期之前任何回调的程度，表明市场动态发生了重大转变。此外，比特币鲸鱼活动激增，表明积累强劲。

Historically, the longest pullback cycle has lasted for 63 days, suggesting that Bitcoin's price retracement is nearing its end. A breakout from this consolidation phase could potentially lead to a rise towards $70,000 and new all-time highs beyond that.

从历史上看，最长的回调周期已持续63天，这表明比特币的价格回调已接近尾声。突破这一盘整阶段可能会导致价格上涨至 70,000 美元，并创下新的历史新高。

Rekt Capital's analysis further postulates that Bitcoin's consolidation within its current price range, potentially extending up to $70,000 post-Halving, could signal a deceleration of the cycle. This consolidation phase may contribute to a resynchronization with Bitcoin's regular Halving Cycle, which has historically exhibited recurring patterns. Rekt Capital speculates that this could culminate in a Bull Market peak around mid-September to October 2025.

Rekt Capital 的分析进一步假设，比特币在当前价格范围内的整合可能会在减半后扩大到 70,000 美元，这可能预示着周期的减速。这一整合阶段可能有助于与比特币的常规减半周期重新同步，该周期在历史上一直表现出反复出现的模式。 Rekt Capital 推测，这可能会在 2025 年 9 月中旬至 10 月左右牛市达到顶峰。

Despite the recent dip, on-chain data provider Santiment indicates that overly bearish sentiment in the market, coupled with the absence of an immediate price surge following the Halving, could increase the likelihood of a bounce.

尽管近期价格下跌，但链上数据提供商 Santiment 表示，市场过度看跌情绪，加上减半后价格并未立即飙升，可能会增加反弹的可能性。

Amidst uncertainty, the departure of small wallets from the sector could potentially catalyze gradual recoveries in Bitcoin and numerous altcoins leading up to summer, as reported by Santiment.

据 Santiment 报道，在不确定的情况下，小钱包退出该行业可能会促进比特币和众多山寨币在夏季之前逐步复苏。

Disclaimer: The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market conditions. Conduct thorough research before investing in cryptocurrencies. Neither the author nor the publication assumes any responsibility for your financial losses.

免责声明：所呈现的内容可能包含作者的个人意见，并受市场情况影响。在投资加密货币之前进行彻底的研究。作者和出版物均不对您的经济损失承担任何责任。