尽管崩盘，比特币仍然看涨？

最近的比特币价格暴跌引发了人们的担忧，人们担心预期牛市的希望可能正在消退，但最近的分析表明这可能不是真的。

The crypto market experienced a turbulent weekend with a crash that wiped out nearly $360 billion in a short period. Bitcoin took a significant hit, dropping 14% through key support levels to a 25-week low of $49,300.

加密货币市场经历了一个动荡的周末，崩盘在短时间内蒸发了近 3600 亿美元。比特币遭受重创，跌破关键支撑位 14%，跌至 25 周低点 49,300 美元。

The drastic plunge in Bitcoin's price triggered a wave of reactions across the market. While the majority expressed bearish sentiments, some maintained a positive outlook.

比特币价格的大幅暴跌引发了整个市场的一波反应。虽然大多数人表达了悲观情绪，但也有一些人保持了积极的前景。

Bitcoin Still Bullish Despite Crash?

尽管崩盘，比特币仍然看涨？

The recent Bitcoin price crash sparked concerns that hopes for the anticipated bull run might be fading, but recent analysis suggests this may not be true. According to market analyst Rekt Capital, while the retrace is deep enough to shake investor confidence, it does not necessarily signal the end of the bull market.

最近的比特币价格暴跌引发了人们对预期牛市的希望可能正在消退的担忧，但最近的分析表明这可能不是真的。市场分析师Rekt Capital表示，虽然回调幅度足以动摇投资者信心，但这并不一定意味着牛市结束。

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Rekt Capital's analysis observed that Bitcoin has recently filled a CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) Gap, which might indicate that the recent drop is just a normal correction. This gap refers to the price difference between the closing and opening prices of Bitcoin futures on the CME, which does not operate continuously like the cryptocurrency market.

Rekt Capital的分析发现，比特币最近填补了CME（芝加哥商品交易所）的缺口，这可能表明最近的下跌只是正常的调整。这个差距是指芝加哥商品交易所比特币期货收盘价和开盘价之间的价差，它不像加密货币市场那样持续运行。

#BTC Bitcoin has completely filled the CME Gap

#BTC 比特币完全填补了 CME 的缺口

But the severity and extent of this current correction means a brand new CME Gap has developed

但当前调整的严重性和程度意味着全新的 CME 缺口已经形成

New CME Gap is located between ~$59400-$62550

新的 CME 差距位于 ~$59400-$62550 之间

Bitcoin would need to reverse to the upside to fill it$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/Rdvx2DPq4Q pic.twitter.com/qg4N9g384K

比特币需要逆转上涨才能填补$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/Rdvx2DPq4Q pic.twitter.com/qg4N9g384K

However, the severity of the recent correction has created a new CME Gap between approximately $59,400 and $62,550. According to Rekt Capital, Bitcoin needs to reverse its direction and move upwards to fill this new gap, suggesting that the bull market might not be over and a recovery could be on the horizon.

然而，最近的严重调整造成了 CME 的新缺口，约为 59,400 美元至 62,550 美元。 Rekt Capital 表示，比特币需要扭转方向并向上移动以填补这一新缺口，这表明牛市可能尚未结束，复苏可能即将到来。

Also weighing in, financial analyst Peter Brandt highlighted that the decline in Bitcoin’s value since the completion of the fourth halving draws parallels to a past cycle. Brandt pointed out that it follows the same pattern as the 2015-2017 Bull market cycle, further indicating that a bull market could still occur as it did in the past.

金融分析师 Peter Brandt 也强调，自第四次减半完成以来，比特币价值的下跌与过去的周期相似。布兰特指出，它遵循与2015-2017年牛市周期相同的模式，进一步表明牛市仍可能像过去那样发生。

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But what triggered the Bitcoin crash in the first place?

但到底是什么引发了比特币崩盘呢？

Factors Contributing to the Crypto Crash

导致加密货币崩溃的因素

The unexpected crash that rocked the crypto market over the weekend was due to a combination of factors, ranging from financial to geopolitical. According to BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes, the crash was likely caused by a major firm’s forced liquidation of significant crypto holdings.

周末震撼加密货币市场的意外崩盘是由金融和地缘政治等多种因素造成的。 BitMEX 联合创始人 Arthur Hayes 表示，此次崩盘很可能是由一家大公司强制清算大量加密资产造成的。

While the information remains unverified, comments by Crypto Podcast founder Ran Neuner provided additional context, revealing that trading firm Jump Trading was selling crypto at an unusually fast rate, which was likely due to potential liquidations or urgent financial obligations.

虽然该信息尚未得到证实，但 Crypto Podcast 创始人 Ran Neuner 的评论提供了更多背景信息，透露交易公司 Jump Trading 正在以异常快的速度出售加密货币，这可能是由于潜在的清算或紧急的财务义务。

Additionally, the August 4 Bank of Japan’s announcement of a rise in its short-term interest rate and a reduction in monthly bond purchases have been highlighted as potential factors contributing to the crash.

此外，8月4日日本央行宣布上调短期利率并减少每月债券购买量也被认为是导致崩盘的潜在因素。

Mounting geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have also been noted as strongly casting a shadow over global financial markets, which likely aided the severe downturn in the crypto market.

中东不断加剧的地缘政治紧张局势也被认为给全球金融市场蒙上了阴影，这可能助长了加密货币市场的严重低迷。

On the Flipside

另一方面

Why This Matters

为什么这很重要

Investor sentiment following the weekend crash has been largely bearish. However, the recent analysis offers hope to the otherwise grim outlook, potentially restoring faith in Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.

周末股市崩盘后，投资者情绪基本看跌。然而，最近的分析为原本严峻的前景带来了希望，有可能恢复人们对比特币和更广泛的加密货币市场的信心。

Read more about how Bitcoin’s dominance is shifting following the weekend wipeout:

了解更多有关周末比特币暴跌后比特币的主导地位如何发生变化的信息：

Bitcoin Dominance Hits 174-Week High Amid Market Meltdown

市场崩盘期间，比特币主导地位创 174 周新高

Discover the division in opinions regarding the Bitcoin crash and opposing comments by this crypto critic:

了解有关比特币崩盘的观点分歧以及这位加密货币评论家的反对评论：

Peter Schiff Mocks Bitcoin Crash: “HODLers Are In Denial”

彼得·希夫嘲笑比特币崩盘：“持有者否认”