分析师 Kyle Doops 预测，比特币牛市可能会持续到 2025 年 3 月

由于六月份的波动和意外的价格波动，加密货币市场，尤其是比特币，让每个人都感到紧张。关键问题是，接下来会发生什么？

Crypto Banter analyst Kyle Doops discusses the upcoming month in his recent trading show. He highlights the importance of June’s price action, especially in relation to the CME weekly closes for Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Crypto Banter 分析师凯尔·杜普斯 (Kyle Doops) 在他最近的交易节目中讨论了即将到来的一个月。他强调了 6 月份价格走势的重要性，特别是与 CME 比特币和以太坊每周收盘价相关。

With June coming to an end, traders are eagerly awaiting the next chapter in the cryptocurrency market. In particular, the performance of Bitcoin and Ethereum during June will be crucial in determining the overall market sentiment and price direction heading into July.

随着六月即将结束，交易者热切等待加密货币市场的下一章。特别是，比特币和以太坊在 6 月份的表现对于确定 7 月份的整体市场情绪和价格走向至关重要。

While discussing the technicals of BTC on the daily chart, the analyst points out a minor pullback in the price as we approach the CME weekly close for Bitcoin. After a strong rally and several failed attempts to break through key resistance levels, the apex of the bull flag on the daily time frame is nearing completion. This formation usually leads to a breakout and a continuation of the prevailing trend.

在日线图上讨论 BTC 的技术面时，分析师指出，随着我们接近 CME 比特币每周收盘价，价格将出现小幅回调。在经历了强劲的反弹和几次突破关键阻力位的尝试失败后，每日时间框架上的牛旗的顶点已接近完成。这种形态通常会导致突破并延续当前趋势。

In this case, with the bullish momentum and technicals, a breakout to the upside is more likely, which could lead to a significant move higher. However, a breakout to the downside or a failure to break out could indicate a change in the market structure and trend.

在这种情况下，由于看涨势头和技术面，突破上行的可能性更大，这可能导致大幅走高。然而，向下突破或未能突破可能表明市场结构和趋势发生变化。

As we approach the Bitcoin and Ethereum June closes, it's essential to consider July's historical performance. According to the analyst, July has generally been a bullish month, with seven green months and four red ones historically. If June closes positively, we may see continued growth in July.

当我们接近比特币和以太坊六月收盘时，有必要考虑七月的历史表现。这位分析师表示，7 月总体上是看涨月份，历史上有 7 个绿色月份和 4 个红色月份。如果 6 月收盘积极，我们可能会看到 7 月继续增长。

In past cycles, after breaking all-time highs post-halving, BTC experienced several months of continuous upward movement. For instance, after the 2017 halving, BTC saw about eight months of growth before reaching the cycle top. Similarly, the 2017 cycle showed significant gains for nine months after breaking previous highs.

在过去的周期中，BTC在减半后突破历史高点后，经历了几个月的持续上涨。例如，2017 年减半后，BTC 在达到周期顶部之前经历了大约八个月的增长。同样，2017 年周期在突破先前高点后连续九个月出现显着上涨。

In the 2021 cycle, BTC broke all-time highs, saw three months of growth, a pullback, and then a final top after 10 months. This pattern suggests an 8-10 month period of growth after breaking all-time highs.

在 2021 年周期中，BTC 突破历史新高，经历了三个月的增长、回调，然后在 10 个月后最终见顶。这种模式表明在突破历史高点后将出现 8-10 个月的增长期。

Currently, we haven't closed a candle at all-time highs post-halving yet. If this happens in July, we could see growth until March to May 2025. If we consider a scenario with diminishing returns (a shorter period of growth), we might see significant movement until January or February 2025.

目前，我们尚未在减半后收盘于历史高点。如果这种情况发生在 7 月，我们可能会在 2025 年 3 月至 5 月之前看到增长。如果我们考虑收益递减的情况（增长期较短），我们可能会在 2025 年 1 月或 2 月之前看到显着的变化。

Finally, the analyst concludes that if we look at the timing cycle from the first top in the 2021 cycle, there is a potential continuation of this bull run into February or March 2025. Given these analyses, he says that one should expect continued growth for the rest of this year. The bull run isn't over yet.

最后，分析师得出的结论是，如果我们从 2021 年周期第一个顶部开始的时间周期来看，这次牛市有可能持续到 2025 年 2 月或 3 月。根据这些分析，他表示，人们应该预计 2021 年的持续增长今年剩下的时间。牛市尚未结束。

Even simple technical analysis, like the bull flag pattern, suggests further upward movement. A significant measured move could see Bitcoin reaching the $100,000 to $120,000 range, doubling from its current price around $60,000.

即使是简单的技术分析，例如牛旗形态，也表明进一步上涨。如果比特币出现重大波动，其价格可能会达到 100,000 美元至 120,000 美元的范围，比目前 60,000 美元左右的价格翻一番。