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比特币BTC/USD再次向100,000美元大关,分析师预测潜在的突破到112,000美元及以后
Bitcoin BTC/USD price is inching closer to the $100,000 mark once again, with analysts forecasting a potential breakout to $112,000 and beyond.
比特币BTC/USD的价格再次接近100,000美元,分析师预测潜在的突破将达到112,000美元及以后。
What Happened: At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $99,350, up 2.5% in the last 24 hours after hitting a session high of $99,868.
发生了什么:在撰写本文时,比特币的交易价格为99,350美元,在售价为99,868美元后的最后24小时内增长了2.5%。
The broader crypto market is showing signs of bullishness, with Ethereum ETH/USD climbing 7.5% to $1,965, Solana SOL/USD up 5.4%, BNB BNB/USD gaining 1% and XRP XRP/USD rising 4%.
更广泛的加密货币市场显示出现了看涨的迹象,以太坊ETH/美元攀升7.5%至1,965美元,Solana Sol/usd上涨了5.4%,BNB BNB/USD上涨了1%,XRP XRP/USD上涨了4%。
However, the divergence between Bitcoin and altcoins remains stark.
但是,比特币和替代币之间的差异仍然很明显。
What Experts Are Saying: According to The Coin Bureau's analyst and founder, Nic Puckrin, Bitcoin's current momentum is driven more by geopolitical developments than monetary policy.
专家说的是:根据硬币局的分析师兼创始人Nic Puckrin的说法,比特币目前的势头比货币政策更受地缘政治发展所驱动。
"Markets this morning are reacting to President Donald Trump's hint at a major UK trade deal, not Fed policy. If the announcement is in good detail today, then we could see BTC finally crack $100,000 again."
“今天上午的市场正在对唐纳德·特朗普总统对英国一项重大贸易协议的提示,而不是美联储政策。如果宣布今天已经详细介绍,那么我们可以看到BTC终于再次赚了100,000美元。”
But Puckrin added a note of caution for short-term traders. "BTC is rallying on very light volume and if Trump's announcement is hype over substance then we could see some nasty price volatility as that buying pressure evaporates rapidly."
但是Puckrin为短期交易者增加了注意。 “ BTC正在大量的体积上进行集会,如果特朗普的公告宣传了实质,那么我们可以看到一些令人讨厌的价格波动,因为购买压力会迅速蒸发。”
Longer term however, Puckrin remains optimistic. "Bitcoin ETF inflows remain strong and legislative momentum like reserve bills in New Hampshire and Arizona continues to build. Add to that China making some interesting liquidity moves, and it's shaping up to be a very strong month for Bitcoin."
但是,从长远来看,Puckrin仍然乐观。 “比特币ETF的流入仍然强大和立法势头,例如新罕布什尔州和亚利桑那州的预备账单继续建立。加上中国进行了一些有趣的流动性,这对于比特币来说是一个非常强大的月份。”
Technical analysis also suggests more upside potential.
技术分析还提出了更多的上升潜力。
FxPro's chief market analyst Alex Kuptsikevich noted that the crypto market has now broken above its 200-day moving average and is targeting a new high of $3.2 trillion in total market capitalization.
FXPRO的首席市场分析师Alex Kuptsikevich指出,加密货币市场现在已经超过了其200天的移动平均线,目标是将全新的3.2万亿美元的总市值高高目标。
"Bitcoin reaching $99,000 sets up a Fibonacci extension that could push it past $112,000, with broader upside aiming toward $162,000."
“达到99,000美元的比特币建立了一个斐波那契扩展,将其推到了112,000美元以上,更广泛的上升空间的目标是162,000美元。”
That bullishness stands in stark contrast to the bleak outlook for the altcoin sector, which has been heavily under pressure.
这种看涨与山寨币行业的黯淡前景形成鲜明对比,山寨币在压力下遭受了巨大的压力。
According to a new report by 10x Research, the top 140 altcoins have on average lost 58% since December 2024 peak, compared to a mere 3% drop for Bitcoin over the same period.
根据10倍研究的一份新报告,自2024年12月以来,前140个山寨币平均损失了58%,而同一时期比特币仅下降了3%。
The divergence, analysts say, is due to a combination of factors, including a gluts of tokens and a lack of compelling narratives.
分析人士说,分歧是由于多种因素的组合,包括刻有代币和缺乏引人注目的叙述。
"An annualized $57 billion in token unlocks has overwhelmed demand, while new narratives to drive prices haven't materialized despite a record $65 billion in disclosed crypto VC funding in 2023."
“每年一次的570亿美元的代币解锁的需求不堪重负,而新的叙述却没有实现,尽管2023年披露的Crypto VC资金有创纪录的650亿美元。”
With venture capital funding now slowing and no "killer" use case emerging to drive demand, 10x Research says, altcoins are likely to remain in a structural bear market.
10倍研究称,随着风险投资资金现在正在放缓而没有“杀手”用例以促进需求,山寨币很可能仍在结构性熊市中。
As a result, Bitcoin's dominance has surged to 64.5%, the highest since the first Bitcoin ETFs were approved in early 2024, while Ethereum gas fees have dropped from 16 Gwei to just 3 Gwei, highlighting the collapse in on-chain activity.
结果,比特币的优势飙升至64.5%,这是自2024年初批准的第一批比特币ETF以来最高的,而以太坊气体费用从16 GWEI下降到只有3 GWEI,突显了链活动的崩溃。
Even as major altcoins showed modest daily gains, their cumulative performance over the past three months showcases a more fragile recovery.
即使主要的Altcoins显示出适度的每日增长,它们在过去三个月中的累积表现也表现出更脆弱的恢复。
Meanwhile, $376 million in liquidations were reported over the past 24 hours, with $86 million in longs and $290 million in shorts liquidated as traders adjust to the new market structure, presenting an opportunity for a fresh start.
同时,据报道,在过去的24小时内,有3.76亿美元的清算量为8600万美元,随着交易员适应新的市场结构,耗资2.9亿美元的短裤清算了2.9亿美元的短裤,为新的开始带来了机会。
See More: Best Cryptocurrency Scanners
查看更多:最佳加密货币扫描仪
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