比特币（BTC）在美联储鲍威尔之前摇摆不定

比特币 (BTC) 在 7 月 31 日华尔街开盘时出现波动，市场正在为美国宏观事件和月度收盘做好准备。

Bitcoin ( BTC ) price volatility hit the headlines at the July 31 Wall Street open as markets prepared for United States macro events and the monthly candle close.

7 月 31 日华尔街开盘时，随着市场为美国宏观事件和每月蜡烛收盘做准备，比特币 (BTC) 价格波动成为头条新闻。

BTC price hit highs of $66,814 on Bitstamp before the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rate changes, set to be announced later in the day.

在美联储将于当天晚些时候宣布利率调整决定之前，比特币价格在 Bitstamp 上触及 66,814 美元的高位。

According to data from CME Group's FedWatch Tool, markets do not expect the FOMC to alter rates until September. However, traders were paying close attention to subsequent commentary from Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

根据 CME 集团 FedWatch 工具的数据，市场预计 FOMC 在 9 月份之前不会调整利率。然而，交易员密切关注美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔随后的评论。

“We anticipate increased volatility ahead of tonight’s FOMC. We do not expect a cut and place higher importance on the statement and Powell’s presser after,” trading firm QCP Capital noted in its latest update to Telegram channel subscribers.

“我们预计今晚联邦公开市场委员会 (FOMC) 会议之前波动性将会加剧。我们预计不会降息，并更加重视声明和鲍威尔之后的新闻发布会，”贸易公司 QCP Capital 在向 Telegram 频道订阅者发布的最新消息中指出。

Other macro data on the day highlighted the chance of that scenario playing out. In Europe, eurozone inflation quickened to 2.6%, exceeding expectations of 2.5%.

当天的其他宏观数据凸显了这种情况发生的可能性。在欧洲，欧元区通胀率升至2.6%，超出预期的2.5%。

“Core inflation in Europe hit 2.9%, above expectations of 2.8%,” trading resource The Kobeissi Letter noted in part of a reaction on X.

交易资源《Kobeissi Letter》在对 X 的部分反应中指出，“欧洲核心通胀率达到 2.9%，高于预期的 2.8%”。

As reported by Cointelegraph, major tech stocks continued to come under pressure as a week of earnings reports failed to lift the mood.

据 Cointelegraph 报道，由于一周的财报未能提振市场情绪，主要科技股继续承受压力。

Moving average becomes key BTC price support Turning to Bitcoin itself, Material Indicators co-founder Keith Alan said that he was in “wait and see” mode ahead of the Fed and monthly candle close.

移动平均线成为关键的 BTC 价格支撑谈到比特币本身，Material Indicators 联合创始人 Keith Alan 表示，在美联储和每月蜡烛收盘之前，他处于“观望”模式。

“Whatever the case, it’s safe to say that we have a recipe for volatility through the Monthly candle close/open,” part of his analysis on X reads on July 30.

他在 7 月 30 日对 X 的分析中写道：“无论如何，可以肯定地说，我们有通过每月蜡烛收盘/开盘来应对波动的方法。”

Alan highlighted the 21-week simple moving average at $65,700 as the key level to hold in the event of downside volatility.

艾伦强调，21 周简单移动平均线 65,700 美元是在出现下行波动时需要守住的关键水平。

“Losing the 21-Week MA would open the door to fill some CME Gaps, but at the moment we do have some bid support laddered in the $63k - $65k range,” he explained, referring to “gaps” between open and closing prices on CME Group’s Bitcoin futures market.

“失去 21 周均线将为填补 CME 的一些缺口打开大门，但目前我们确实在 6.3 万美元至 6.5 万美元的范围内获得了一些买盘支撑，”他解释说，指的是开盘价和收盘价之间的“差距”芝商所比特币期货市场的价格。

Data from monitoring platform CoinGlass showed order book buy liquidity increasing around $65,500 at the time of writing.

监控平台 CoinGlass 的数据显示，截至撰写本文时，订单簿购买流动性增加了约 65,500 美元。

“I was expecting Bitcoin to provide us with a bit more of a bounce yesterday, but ultimately I'm still looking for that 63k range low to get swept,” popular trader Mark Cullen added, hoping for a liquidity sweep through a key long BTC cluster.

受欢迎的交易员 Mark Cullen 补充道：“昨天我预计比特币会为我们带来更多反弹，但最终我仍然在寻找 63000 区间低点的机会，”他希望流动性能够席卷关键的多头 BTC簇。