就在最近，比特币（BTC）的200周移动平均值超过47,000美元，这种转变可能标志着不到47,000美元的价格水平的结束，可能是永久的。
The 200-week moving average for Bitcoin (BTC) has recently shifted above $47,000, a development that could mark the final chapter for sub-$47,000 price levels—possibly permanently.
比特币（BTC）的200周移动平均线最近转移了47,000美元，这一发展可能标志着最终章节的价格低于47,000美元的价格水平，可能是永久性的。
This level, considered one of the most reliable long-term indicators in crypto, tends to act as a soft floor for Bitcoin’s price during major cycles. Since its inception, Bitcoin dipped below the 200-week moving average only during periods of extreme market stress, such as early 2020 and late 2022.
该水平被认为是加密货币中最可靠的长期指标之一，它倾向于在主要周期期间对比特币的价格柔软。自成立以来，比特币仅在极端市场压力（例如2020年初和2022年末）的时期下降到200周的移动平均水平。
But now that the average is rising past $47,000, it’s possible that a new era of higher Bitcoin price is beginning. As shown in a recent chart by Bitcoin pioneer Adam Back, the 200WMA is steadily climbing, mirroring the broader rally in cryptocurrency prices over the past year. While the market remains subject to short-term fluctuations, Back's chart showcases how the average reflects longer-term investor behavior and market structure better than short-term hype.
但是，既然平均值上涨了47,000美元，那么比特币价格较高的新时代可能已经开始。如比特币先驱亚当（Adam Back）最近的一张图表中所示，200WMA正在稳步攀登，这反映了过去一年中加密货币价格更广泛的集会。尽管市场仍然会受到短期波动的影响，但Back的图表展示了平均值如何反映长期投资者的行为和市场结构，而不是短期炒作。
This isn’t to say that Bitcoin is completely done with corrections, but it suggests that the odds of seeing prices drop below $47,000 are slim. The longer Bitcoin stays above this threshold and the average continues upward, the stronger the case that $47,000 could become a new long-term baseline.
这并不是说比特币完全通过校正完成，而是表明看到价格下跌以下47,000美元的几率很小。比特币较长以上，平均水平持续上升，而47,000美元可能成为新的长期基准的情况越强。
