比特币 (BTC) 交易员预测资产价格将重返 40,000 美元水平可能更多是出于恐惧

比特币技术公司 Jan3 首席执行官 Samson Mow 表示，比特币可以“同样轻松”达到 10 万美元

Bitcoin ( BTC ) traders predicting the asset’s price returning to the $40,000 level might be driven more by fear than by any technical fundamentals, according to Bitcoin technology firm Jan3 CEO Samson Mow.

比特币技术公司 Jan3 首席执行官 Samson Mow 表示，比特币 (BTC) 交易员预测该资产价格将重返 40,000 美元水平，这可能更多是出于恐惧，而不是任何技术基本面。

“Bears saying Bitcoin will drop to $0.04M have no basis for that prediction other than self induced fear,” Mow wrote in an Sept. 6 X post.

“空头说比特币将跌至 040 万美元，除了自我引发的恐惧之外，这种预测没有任何依据，”Mow 在 9 月 6 日的一篇帖子中写道。

Mow says Bitcoin can ‘just as easily’ reach $100K

Mow表示比特币可以“同样轻松”达到10万美元

Despite Bitcoin's recent seven-day period trading below $60,000, Mow believes Bitcoin could just as easily hit six figures, citing macroeconomic factors like the significant amount of interest the United States government pays on its debts daily, and the growing number of businesses holding the asset.

尽管比特币最近 7 天的交易价格低于 60,000 美元，但 Mow 认为，比特币可能很容易达到六位数，理由是宏观经济因素，例如美国政府每天为其债务支付大量利息，以及持有该资产的企业数量不断增加。

“Bitcoin can just as easily go to $0.1M and that is supported by brrrr, +$3B in debt per day, strategic Bitcoin reserves, pensions allocating, and corporations buying,” he stated.

他表示：“比特币很容易达到 10 万美元，这是由每天 30 亿美元的债务、比特币战略储备、养老金分配和企业购买所支撑的。”

Macroeconomic resource The Kobeissi Letter added that the $3 billion daily interest expense for the US government on its debt “is TRIPLE the amount paid 10 years ago and has DOUBLED in just 2.5 years.”

宏观经济资源《Kobeissi Letter》补充道，美国政府每天的债务利息支出为 30 亿美元，“是 10 年前支付金额的三倍，并且在短短 2.5 年内翻了一番”。

“Debt crisis is an understatement,” The Kobeissi Letter wrote.

“债务危机是一种轻描淡写的说法，”《科贝西信》写道。

Fundementals ‘win out’ over time

随着时间的推移，基本面“胜出”

However, Mow said that fear-driven markets are only a short-term issue, with fundamentals eventually coming out on top.

不过，缪表示，恐惧驱动的市场只是一个短期问题，基本面最终会发挥作用。

“Can fear move the market? Sure. But it never lasts long because the fundamentals win out over time. Even the unwinding of some of the greatest frauds like FTX can’t keep price down,” he claimed.

“恐惧能够推动市场吗？当然。但它永远不会持续太久，因为基本面会随着时间的推移而胜出。即使像 FTX 这样的一些最严重的欺诈行为被揭露也无法压低价格，”他声称。

Bitcoin is currently trading at $53,823, having not traded above the crucial $60,000 level since Aug. 30, according to CoinMarketCap data.

根据 CoinMarketCap 的数据，比特币目前的交易价格为 53,823 美元，自 8 月 30 日以来交易价格从未高于 60,000 美元的关键水平。

Bitcoin is down 5.75% over the past 30 days. Source: CoinMarketCap

过去 30 天，比特币下跌了 5.75%。资料来源：CoinMarketCap

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is at an “Extreme Fear” score of 23. On Sept. 5 Cointelegraph reported that several analysts warned of a potential price correction below $50,000 in the coming days.

加密货币恐惧和贪婪指数的“极度恐惧”分数为 23。9 月 5 日，Cointelegraph 报道称，几位分析师警告称，未来几天价格可能会跌至 50,000 美元以下。

BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes wrote in an X post that “BTC is heavy, I’m gunning for sub $5k this weekend. I took a cheeky short. Pray for my soul, for I am a degen.”

BitMEX 创始人 Arthur Hayes 在 X 帖子中写道：“BTC 很重，我本周末的目标是低于 5000 美元。我厚颜无耻地做了一个短裤。为我的灵魂祈祷，因为我是一个堕落者。”